Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/5/6)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/9)-(7/5/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(2/6/4)-(3/6/2/7/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/6/2/7/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/6/2/7/10)-(2/6/5/3/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/6/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7/10)-(3/6/2/7/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7/10)-(3/6/2/7/10)-(3/6/2/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7/10)-(2/6/5/3/4) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7/10)-(2/6/5/3/4)-(5/1/8/6/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
PID-5   WIN (2/6/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3/4)-(2/6/5/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3/4)-(2/6/5/3/4)-(2/6/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/5/3/4)-(5/1/8/6/3) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/3/4)-(5/1/8/6/3)-(10/6/9/8/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
PID-6   WIN (5/1/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/6/3)-(5/1/8/6/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/6/3)-(5/1/8/6/3)-(5/1/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/8/6/3)-(10/6/9/8/1) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/6/3)-(10/6/9/8/1)-(9/10/7/1/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
PID-7   WIN (10/6/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/9/8/1)-(10/6/9/8/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/6/9/8/1)-(10/6/9/8/1)-(10/6/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/9/8/1)-(9/10/7/1/5) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (9/10/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/1/5)-(9/10/7/1/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/1/5)-(9/10/7/1/5)-(9/10/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEING RED Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 Mar20 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXTRA MEDIUM Oct14 Sep26 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
3  TAPSOLUTION Oct07 Sep20 Sep04 Aug20 Jul24 (bernardi)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
4  ELECTROSTATIC Oct09 Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
5  SHANTY SHACK Oct10 Sep20 Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 1.80    
6  UBIQUITOUS Oct17 Oct08 Sep26 Jul28 Jun27 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
PID-2   10/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARTY AT THE BEACH Oct14 Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.00    
2  GRAYTE WHYTE Oct10         (mckinley mary )LOPEZ DERECK 114 20.00    
SCR  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Oct16 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 117 6.00    
4  ELUSIVE CHANGE Oct14 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 4.00    
5  MICHAELSHATRICK Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHAPS KNIGHT Oct09 Sep30 May28 Mar29 Mar06 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  R CHELLO Oct16 Oct03 Sep23 Jul01 Jun11 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 70% 0.40    
8  GRUIT Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 (mckinley ma)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
9  IMFREEFALLIN Oct17 Sep20 Aug23 Jul31   (sharp j)ALENCAR WALBER 121 15.00 ★    
 
PID-3   10/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY JANNET Oct17 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 (kleine berna)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00    
2  VERBAL GEYSER (FR) Oct09 Sep30 Sep09 Jul23 Jul10 (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
3  AZTEC PRINCESS Oct09 Sep09 Jul29 Apr07 Feb25 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
4  READY SHE IS Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARY KATHERINE Oct04 Aug24 Jul08 Jun16 Jun03 (brion keri)SPIETH S 124 3.00 ★    
6  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Oct09 Sep24 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Oct09 Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
8  LA CREMA Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 (hendriks rich)WALKER M 122 4.50    
 
PID-4   10/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN Oct15 Oct03 Sep17 Aug27 Aug01 (depasqua)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
2  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  LESLIE CHOW Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 Jul09 Jun24 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
4  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Aug27 Jul26 May24 Nov06 Oct13 (englehar)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
5  JEN'S SONG Oct10 Sep30 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 (depasquale k)AYALA J 124 10.00    
6  AQUACAT Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul17 Jun23 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  HUNTIN' THE RUT Oct09 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 (carr-rozantz )CARPIO JAIMEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOE PHILLIPS Sep20 Sep09 Jul10 Jun21 May29 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
9  RECONVENE Oct10 Oct04 Sep06 Aug01 Jul11 (lawrence jame)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
10  SECRETARY OF WAR Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 Aug21 Jul22 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE A Oct08 Aug21 Aug06 Jul31 Jul05 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
2  NOBLE JON Oct08 Sep20 Aug29 Aug07 Jul23 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  THE CONNECTOR Oct02 Sep11 Aug23 Jul15 Jul03 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAP EM Oct16 Sep25 Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Oct02 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
6  CITY TRIPPER Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 (barron r)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  ROSE'S PEPINO Sep20 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jul16 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
8  WHERE YOU WAS Oct02 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
9  GET EVEN Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Jun24 May29 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/24/2024 6600ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT DANCER Sep20 Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  HE'S A MESS Oct14 Sep30 Sep20 Aug12 Jul22 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
3  NINJA STAR Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOODIE GOOMER Sep30 Aug21 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 6.00    
5  GROUNDED Oct03 Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
6  HIDDEN STASH Oct03 Sep07 Jul14 Jun28 Jun06 (oliver v)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  POSSIBLEMENTE Sep30 Aug17 Aug01 Jul07 Mar30 (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 124 5.00    
8  CRABS N BEER Oct12 Aug30 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (lawrence james)ALLEN D 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
9  FORTUNE SELLER Oct16 Sep20 Sep02 Aug24 Jul27 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 119 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN CHILE Oct17 Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON BLAST Oct09 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
3  ARROGATES DREAM Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun16 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
4  LOUISE BROOKS Oct09 Sep23 Aug24 Aug17 Aug08 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 4.50    
5  SWEET MAEVE Sep24 Oct28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 (o'callahan carl)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
6  HEART Sep04 Aug13 Mar23 Jan27 Dec29 (russell )GALLARDO A 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Oct17 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
8  FLOAT AWAY Oct14 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Oct17 Sep24 Sep03 Aug19 Jul31 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00 6% 16.50    
10  FLEUR DELACOUR Oct09 Sep23 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
PID-8   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDHARD STONE Sep26 Aug14 Aug03 Oct24 Oct05 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRUE ACCOUNT Oct14 Sep26 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 (brion keri)SPIETH S 124 20.00    
SCR  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Oct14 Sep26 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
4  BRENNAN'S WAR Oct14 Sep25 Aug28 Jul07 Jun22 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
5  TWELVETWO Oct14 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY Oct16 Sep16 Jul24 May20 Oct19 (goodwin gabrie)LOPEZ DERECK 115 3.00    
7  BILLY'S BET Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Mar08 Feb23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  SIREN Sep25 Aug28 Aug21 Aug02 Jul04 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 119 20.00    
9  TRAVELLER Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul16 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
10  MAJESTIC JOHNSON Sep26 Sep02 Aug12 Oct05 Jun23 (grabowski jo)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
11  SHE SPEAKS WELL Sep25 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 (maver eduardo)PENA LUIS 122 20.00    
12  CLASSICAL Oct15 Feb20 Jan31 Dec17 Nov18 (khan aad)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
SCR  MAKAR Oct15 Sep02 Aug20 Oct21 Sep17 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.