Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (8/6/1/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2/7)-(7/6/8/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/2/7)-(7/6/8/3/9)-(2/8/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
IND-2   WIN (7/6/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/3/9)-(7/6/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/3/9)-(7/6/8/3/9)-(7/6/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/8/3/9)-(2/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/3/9)-(2/8/4)-(5/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(8/5/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(8/5/1/4/9)-(8/5/1/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(5/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4)-(5/9/6/2)-(7/9/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/2)-(9/6/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/2)-(9/6/3/7/2)-(9/6/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/6/2)-(7/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/2)-(7/9/1/3)-(2/8/5/10/6) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/3)-(7/9/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/3)-(7/9/1/3/8)-(7/9/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/1/3)-(2/8/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1/3)-(2/8/5/10/6)-(9/1/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/8/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/10/6)-(8/10/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/10/6)-(8/10/6/4/7)-(8/10/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/10/6)-(9/1/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/10/6)-(9/1/10/6)-(3/1/9/6/2) 100 $1.00 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (9/1/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/6)-(9/1/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/6)-(9/1/7/10/6)-(9/1/7/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/10/6)-(3/1/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/1/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/6/2)-(3/1/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/6/2)-(3/1/9/6/2)-(3/1/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREADMAN Sep25 Aug18 Jul25 Sep27 Jul19 (shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
AMERICAN HERO Aug08 Jul03 Jun20 May12 May02 (garcia gen)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 12.00 10% 9.00    
CAPPY HOUR Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Oct05 (adams nan)CORREA L 121 10.00    
PALHACO Sep26 Sep10 Aug15 Jul28 Jun27 (meraz a)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
SCR  QUENCIO Jun20 May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar08 (garcia genar)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 4.00    
LEGENDARY LORE Aug26 Aug04 Jun22 May16 Apr21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
CONTACT TRACING Sep26 Aug29 Aug08 Jul09 Jun12 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 121 8.00    
SCR  BOITANO Jun07 May01 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 (camejo m)PARKER L 121 15.00 22% 3.60    
 
IND-2   10/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B B PRINCE         (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of BUTTERCUP BAY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
THE JIG IS UP (IRE) Mar30         (maker j)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of DARING DANCER by EMPIRE MAKER)
SPECIAL JUSTICE Sep17 Jun27 May21     (molloy thomas)ELLIOTT JANE 120 6.00 5% 18.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HEAVENS PULPIT by HANSEN)
ROYCE         (walsh brenda)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PLAYFUL HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ETON         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JOY OF LEARNING by KITTEN'S JOY)
OSCARWORTHY Aug25 Jul05 Feb29 Jan28   (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOYA by CITY ZIP)
REDEMPTION SPEIGHT Aug27 Jul22 Jun20 May30   (lobo h)ROMAN A 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GAS TOTAL by SULAMANI)
SATURDAY LONG LEGS Aug27 Jul11 Jun20 May30 Apr24 (frazier matt)PARKER L 124 4.00 7% 13.40    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
LIVE TO RIDE (GB) Jan20 Oct26 Sep28     (hiles j)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of MILITANTE by JOHANNESBURG)
 
IND-3   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY MATCH Sep16 Aug22       (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WILL IT BE LOVE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  FOXY JUSTICE Aug29 Jul17 Jun26     (west m)PARKER L 118 4.50 56% 0.80    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of ALEGRA by EXCHANGE RATE)
GET EVEN KID Sep17 Aug17 Jul17 Jun26   (haran john)ROMAN A 118 15.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of HARD TO GET EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
COOL D OR Sep17 Aug29 Jul30 Jul17   (douglass dev)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
SCR  DIRTY TALKER Aug29         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of POPPY'S DREAM by BROKEN VOW)
TEMPLE PAYNTER Aug29 Aug01       (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 121 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LADY TEMPLE by TEMPLE CITY)
HAZEL MY CANDY Aug22 Aug01 Jul05     (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MAMA'S THE CAUSE Sep16 Aug22 Jul29 Jun25   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 1.60 22% 3.70    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MITOLE'S SECRET Sep16 Aug29 Jun11 May13   (elliott mich)RAMOS D 121 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
10  COPPER CHROME Sep16 Aug22       (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of PROPHESY by PULPIT)
SCR  CAUSE IT'S TRUE Sep16 Aug01       (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 121 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of WOSIE by MUNNINGS)
 
IND-4   10/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($40.8K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEHILLONWOODSIDE Sep16 Aug14 Jul16     (maker m)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
GALENE         (wojczynski just)SERPA ANGEL 121 15.00    
BERRIES AND CREAM Aug04         (schultz l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ Jul16         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00    
SCR  FLEET STREET Jul31 Jun26 May24 Apr24   (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
PACHIRA         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
RIGHTINTHATWRONG         (corrigan )CORREA L 121 8.00    
LADY SPUN SUGAR Sep01 Aug10       (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
MISS TIFEYE Sep15 Aug25       (baker james)MOJICA O 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
10  EMBRASSER         (camejo m)PARKER L 121 20.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY GIRL Aug10         (danner kelse)MONCADA IRVING 114 30.00    
 
IND-5   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POWDER SKIER         (wilson jr)PRESCOTT R 124 20.00 34% 1.90    
TENNYSON KID May21 Apr24       (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00    
RUNTOFIGHT Sep12 Aug20 Jul18 Jun11 May29 (jurado luis)PARKER L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACK D Sep16 Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 May10 (bland greg)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 6.00    
ISWHATITIS Sep12         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
R GUY MAX Aug27 Aug05 Jul13 Jun25 Jun11 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
HUMOR'S IMAGE Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul06 Jun08 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 117 0.80 32% 2.20    
BENNY'S DAY Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun25 May22 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 10.00    
IT'S LAST CALL Sep16 Aug29 May07 Apr17 Nov10 (duran a)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
 
IND-6   10/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON RAY (FR) Sep08 Aug22 Jul21 Apr20 Mar23 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Jul28 Jul07 May03 Nov24 Nov04 (maker j)MOJICA O 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
FOURFIFTYSEVEN Jul11 Jun16 May26 May01 Apr07 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
GHOSTLY GAL Aug16 Jun06 Jan13 Dec21 Jan27 (catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00    
SCR  TIMELESS ROSE Aug21 Jun20 Apr13 Mar17 Jan31 (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
INTO DISCO Aug12 Jul16 May29 May03 Apr04 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAUMSETT Sep18 Jun27 Dec30 Nov11 Nov01 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 122 20.00    
PURSUIT OF LIBERTY Aug29 Jul13 Mar09 Dec31 Nov10 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
MARMALADE SKYE Aug13 Jul16 Jun19 May18 Apr17 (jacobs magda)PARKER L 122 10.00    
10  LITHE SPIRIT Aug07 Jul05 May27 Apr27 Mar17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  SARA MIA Sep18 Sep08 Jul21 Jun23 May26 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 8.00    
SCR  IN JUST MY HEELS Aug05 Jul06 Apr26 Mar30 Feb24 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 30.00    
 
IND-7   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALTY ACT Aug27 Aug08 Jul10 Jun11 May21 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 115 8.00 27% 2.70    
NEON LEON Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 Jul06 Jun20 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 115 5.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE WARRIOR Oct01 Aug26 Aug17 Jul31 Jul10 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 30.00    
EL TULIPAN Sep18 Aug29 Nov10 Oct18 Sep19 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 108 8.00    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Oct01 Sep09 Aug17 Aug05 Jul16 (douglass devarus)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
FOXY BOXY Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Nov07 Oct09 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
HADLEY'S MAX Sep09 Aug08 Jul03 May22 May07 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 4.50    
INFINITY'S WARRIOR Sep16 Aug29 May22 Nov13 Oct25 (elliott mich)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 10.00    
GREEWHIZ Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 Jul09 Jun20 (garcia )DE CRUZ 115 4.00 40% 1.50    
10  AMATEUR DAY Sep18 Jul31 Jul16 Nov15 Nov02 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  BUCKET LIST Sep18 Sep04 Jul16 May22 May07 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 6.00    
SCR  FOREVER FRIENDS Sep18 Aug27 Aug08 Jul09 Jun05 (shorter aaron)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
 
IND-8   10/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCLINED Sep23 Sep05 Aug08 Jul10 Jun20 (lauer michae)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 3.50 12% 7.40    
NINE POINTER Sep18 Sep06 Aug15 Jul10 Jun13 (short rick)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
V MAX Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 May23 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 117 1.80 47% 1.10    
SLINK Sep19 Aug27 Jul31 Jul02 Jun11 (short zachar)MONCADA IRVING 110 30.00    
FLOWERED Sep17 Aug29       (holden j)PARKER L 120 30.00    
CADILLAC JUSTICE Sep18 Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Jun19 (rechy c)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 18.50    
ZACH Sep18 Sep05 Jul13 Jun19 Jun08 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 4.50    
PRETTYONTHEPRARIE Sep16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 (holden j)PEREZ E 114 20.00    
TREMOR Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 Aug15 Aug05 (elliott mich)RAMOS D 117 5.00 10% 9.20    
10  MYSTERY IMPACT Sep18 Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
SCR  STAR REVIEW Sep18 Sep05 Aug01 Jul10 Jun05 (mullins scott )ROMAN A 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.