Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(1/5/3)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/4/6)-(3/1/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(3/1/9/7)-(1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/7)-(3/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/7)-(3/1/9/7)-(3/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/9/7)-(1/8)-(6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(6/5/3)-(2/1/5/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/1/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/1/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/11)-(2/1/5/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/11)-(2/1/5/3/11)-(2/1/5/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLEDDAVIDDORO Jul24 Jul06       (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 122 5.00    
2  EL PELIGRO Sep11 Jul15 Jun27 May21 Apr19 (torres concepci)SERPA ANGEL 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
3  ICE MINISTER         (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 18% 4.50    
4  HAVEGUNSWILLTRAVEL Sep11 Aug21 May30 May04   (dalton miche)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUL SNATCHER Aug04 Jul06       (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
6  MUCHO GRANDE Sep12 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06   (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00    
7  CONVERT         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-2   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Sep13 Aug10 Jul24 Jun15 May23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.00 44% 1.20    
2  SAY IT AIN'T SO Aug29 Aug10 Sep30 Aug26 Aug09 (cook k)MURGIA A 125 3.50 ★    
3  RIDING IN THE WIND Sep21 Aug30 Jul19 Jul04 Jun19 (dalton miche)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Nov16 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 May20 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50    
5  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun11 (cannon steve)BUSH V 125 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  LOCK ON Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 Jun26 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00    
7  CELTIC MISCHIEF Aug29 Aug10 Feb10 Dec16 Aug02 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
 
BTP-3   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT DANCER Sep14 Aug03       (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 1.40 46% 1.20    
2  PRAYED TODAY Sep13 Jul31 Sep13 Aug26 Jun05 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  PALACE TEMPTATION Sep21 Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  CANNON MAN Sep13 Aug31 Aug08 Jul15 Jun27 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00    
5  ORFANO Dec30 Nov27 Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00    
 
BTP-4   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARETH Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 Jun14 May25 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Aug21 Jul26 Jun26 May03 Oct11 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 15.00    
3  PLATINUM GHOST Sep12 Aug04 Jul04 May26 Apr27 (molloy thomas)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.00    
4  CHROMED IMPULSE Aug29 Aug09 Jun15 May18 Mar01 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
5  EL BOHEMIO Sep06 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 5.00 ★    
6  FIRERY TALE Sep06 Aug03 Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE LUCKY DAY Sep14 Jul24 Jun27 May29 Jan04 (hernandez rey)SERPA ANGEL 123 6.00    
8  J W RUCKUS Sep13 Aug29 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 (livers cha)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 8.00    
 
BTP-5   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOYMENT Sep14 Aug16 Jul10 Apr24 Mar27 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  WHERE IS LISA Sep14 Aug31 Aug07 Jul27 Jul10 (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 118 8.00    
3  FEUILLETON Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 Aug17 Aug03 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  ROAD MINISTER Sep14 Aug24 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 (chain pearl)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00    
5  SUCCESSION GOLD Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jun27 May29 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
SCR  SERPA Sep14 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Mar02 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 8.00    
7  OVERHAUL Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER Sep14 Aug23 Jul24 Jun19 May27 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
9  URGENT FURY Feb29 Feb07 Jan11 Jul28 Aug28 (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 123 15.00 18% 4.70    
 
BTP-6   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICKY DESIRE Sep20 Sep30 Aug17 Jul02 Jun16 (orantes r)SERPA ANGEL 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  JUST PASSING THRU Sep05 Aug15 May28 May08 Mar14 (short thomas)MURGIA A 120 12.00    
SCR  BLOSSOMING Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 (alessi ja)CORREA L 120 12.00    
SCR  TOUGH AS NAILS Sep11 Aug26 Aug02 Jun24 May28 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
SCR  ZIGGZAPPA Sep19 Aug15 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00    
SCR  ICE QUEEN Aug09 Jul26 May12 Apr11 Mar01 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
7  HIGHLY CREATIVE Sep05 Jun08 Feb04 Dec17 Nov13 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
8  LEMON BOMB Sep07 Aug15 Aug05 Jun27 Jun06 (grubbs jami)JIMENEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Sep19 Aug21 Jul26 May23 Mar13 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S A KEEPER Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 Mar15 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
11  LUCKY ANA Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jun13 May18 (douaihy mi)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
BTP-7   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BUMBUM Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 Jun22 Jan10 (conto kevin)BUSH V 122 5.00    
2  DESDEMONA KAY Sep04 Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 4.50    
3  SARAH JANE Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 May31 May18 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DRUMBEG Sep14 Sep05 Nov17 Nov03 Oct07 (gonzalez agusti)HERMAN NOEL 117 3.50    
5  PRICELESS PICTURE Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May18 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
6  AUJARA Aug15 Jun05 Feb12 Jan23 Jan04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
 
BTP-8   10/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND STAN         (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
  (by MO TOWN out of GRAND SLAM GIRL by GRAND SLAM)
2  MY LILY MAE Nov01 Sep09 Jul22 Jul10 May24 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
3  DADDY'S DINERO Sep08 Aug13 Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 122 3.50 ★    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  COMMANDER'S COIN Sep18 Sep06 Jul15 May04 Mar28 (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 117 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LIDO by STREET CRY)
5  ZEN IT         (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of GREAT LADY ZEN by GRAZEN)
SCR  HANDSOME RASCAL Sep18 Feb09 Jan27     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
  (by RASCAL CAT out of SONGLYRICS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  REBEL WITH A CLUE (IRE)         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00    
  (by KUROSHIO out of PIVOTAL ERA by PIVOTAL (GB))
8  TECHNE Sep17 Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr13 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
9  ARIUS Oct21 Sep06 Aug25 Jun24 May26 (kubinova eliska)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
10  BRAHMS HALO Sep18         (smith r)BELISARIO JUAN 117 20.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of DEVIL PASTDUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
11  AHUMADO Sep12 Aug27       (meredith charles)MURGIA A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEN'S HONOR by BEN BULBEN)
SCR  TAPIT'S TALE Aug01 Jun23 Mar16     (littlefield de)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.