Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - October 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/1/9)-(4/3/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9)-(5/3/1)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/2/1)-(9/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(9/6/3)-(2/9/1/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (9/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/3)-(9/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6/3)-(9/6/3)-(9/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3)-(2/9/1/6/10)-(4/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/9/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/6/10)-(2/9/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/6/10)-(2/9/1/6/10)-(2/9/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/6/10)-(4/6)-(4/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4/5)-(6/5/3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/4/1)-(6/5/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN STORM Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 May19 May13 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 2.00 ★    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
SCR  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) Sep16         (ramos rafae)JIMENEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by TORONADO out of MAREDSKAYA by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
3  TUENDA Sep14 Aug17       (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TUSTARTA by TREMPOLINO)
4  GOLD SPIN Sep14 Aug26       (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MARIPOSA DE PISTA Sep12 Aug28 Jul17 Jun14 May22 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  NILE CANDY Aug26         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GLORY OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  RUN IN GOLD Sep12 Aug28 Jul30 Jun29   (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
8  TONI MARIE Sep06 Jul22 Jul04     (stephen anth)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of MALIBU ROYALTY by MALIBU MOON)
9  MOON DANCE LAURA Sep14 Aug28 Aug01     (hernandez rey)LUCILLE GEENA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of BOLD INTENT by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-2   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PINK Z Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Jun26 May25 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WEEKENDER Jul26 Jun12 Apr08 Feb19 Jan23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 6.00    
3  WHAT A RUSH Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Jul04 Jun07 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  AINT NO BANDLEADER Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50    
5  SHANGHAI PRINCE Sep10 Aug12 Jul26 May30 May15 (cline rob)CORREA L 125 4.50 36% 1.80    
6  GAPPER Sep07 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00    
 
BTP-3   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY CHARM Sep12 Aug14 Jul17 Jun29   (dailey ronald)HESS SARA 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOOKATMYBUCKLE Sep12 Aug28 Aug17 Aug05 Jun26 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  SPEED COLLECTOR Sep12 Aug01 Jul17 Jun15   (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 119 4.00    
4  MALEAH Sep12 Aug10 Jul19     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
5  HOLLABACK Aug10 Jul19 May03     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
BTP-4   10/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ISLAND SWAGGER Sep18 Dec29 Dec29 Dec08 Oct30 (lynch a)NELSON TYRONE 123 2.50    
SCR  LIBERTY BLUE Sep18 Jul27 Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 (kriple zvi)SERPA ANGEL 123 20.00    
3  B THEATRICAL Nov01 Sep21 Aug03     (clark rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 20.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  FAVORITE HAUNT Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jun12 May15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
5  KING DEIVYS Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (perez car)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00    
6  MO BETTA Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Aug27 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 123 6.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  LANEHAYA Sep18 Aug30 Jul17 Jun05 May03 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 4.50    
8  SKY KEY Sep14 Aug31 Aug07 Jul13 Jun19 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
9  ROYALLY BITTER Sep14 Aug31 Jul06 Jun21 May29 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  FLOWERY PATH Aug31 Feb21 Dec30     (murphy conor)MCKEE J 116 10.00    
SCR  STUNNEM Sep18 Mar08 Feb17 Feb08 Nov18 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00    
SCR  DOOQ Sep18 Sep07 Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 (hernandez debb)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
13  MY BROTHER MIKE Sep22 Jul14 Jul07 May25 May04 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
BTP-5   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANIDOSO Aug29 Jul18       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 4.00 7% 13.30    
  (by VEKOMA out of MS DELFY by DIXIE UNION)
2  CINCAZUL Aug15         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KNARSDALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  IMPROBABLE CAUSE Aug29 Jul18 Jul05     (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DARK CORNER by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  SCOVILLE         (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FRIED PICKLES by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  REMAINING NAMELESS Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 (jazdzewski jon)SERPA ANGEL 120 3.50    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HAPPY'S ARM CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
6  UP TO NO GOOD         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BARDS MISSCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  FAST LUCK Sep19 Aug29 Aug02     (short thomas)HESS SARA 115 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
8  OUR ARMEN Sep19         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of STREET SAILING by STREET BOSS)
9  MOGORDY         (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
10  BAMBY BOOM Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18   (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SACRED MOON by MALIBU MOON)
11  LUKE'S LASSO Sep19 Aug29 Aug02     (short travis )SOSA LAUREANO 120 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
 
BTP-6   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ZHOUL Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 Oct06 (bennett rober)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
2  K C OUTWORK Aug31 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 Apr23 (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
3  C V SHACKLES Sep07 Aug24 Jul28 May30 Mar16 (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 2.00 ★    
4  SGT YORK Aug24 Oct31       (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 3.00 68% 0.50    
5  ENTICED BY CHANCE Sep14 Aug15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun07 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 120 3.50    
6  CONSTITUTION COAL Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   10/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Aug31 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.00    
2  SOUTH DECATUR Sep13 Sep05 Aug17 Aug06 Jul03 (galindo-torres cl)MEZA JOSE 123 3.00    
SCR  BOAT HOUSE Aug17 Jul13 Jul06 Jun19 Jun06 (galindo-torre)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 8.00    
4  RAISON KARTER Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 Jun01 May15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 3.50 72% 0.40    
5  FALCONS FURY Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 Jul05 Jun12 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY ROMEO LIMA Aug17 Jul17 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 123 1.60 ★    
 
BTP-8   10/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Sep14 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun29 (kinmon k)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  NATIVE MOONSHINE Sep21 Sep11 Aug22 Aug10 Jul31 (smith r)BELISARIO JUAN 118 12.00    
3  CAJUN CRACKER Sep11 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 May06 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 6% 16.40    
4  AMERICAN SILVER Sep21 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (melancon paul)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 ★    
5  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Aug01 Jul19 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  DECEITFUL Jan21 Oct06 Sep18 Aug24 Jul19 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MANSION PARTY Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 Jul05 Jun12 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
8  WILDERZAR Sep21 Sep05 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 (dailey ronald)HESS SARA 118 8.00    
9  FIRE WIRE Sep21 Sep07 Aug22 Aug07 Jul19 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 10.00    
10  PAYMASTER GENERAL Sep14 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 May23 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.