Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/7)-(3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4)-(6/3/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/8/3/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/3/2/4)-(6/3/7/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/2/4)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(6/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(6/4/8)-(3/1/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8)-(3/1/8/5)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/5)-(1/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/5)-(1/7/3)-(3/9/8/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(3/9/8/6/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/9/8/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6/10)-(3/9/8/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6/10)-(3/9/8/6/10)-(3/9/8/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPERTULLIO Sep09 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11   (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 12.00    
2  DUKE OF SICILY Sep03 Aug21 Jul29     (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50    
SCR  OVERTIME CHARLIE Aug21 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
4  STARFORCE Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 (hendriks rich)WALKER M 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
5  BLUE SOLDIER Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 May29 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  HOLLYWOOD HERO Sep11 Aug31 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
7  TORREFACTOR Sep11 Sep03 Mar14 Mar03 Feb10 (amaya joan)CARPIO JAIMEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WARRIOR ON TAP Sep02 Jul31 Jul11     (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
 
PID-2   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRIDER'S SLIDER Sep18 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
2  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 May23 May09 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  SMART JOKER Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 Apr03 Mar20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  TIZ LUCKY Sep04 Aug13 Jul16 Jul04 Jun12 (bourke jo)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Aug23 Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 6.00    
6  OSBIN Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Nov06 (wilson b)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
7  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 Nov22 Nov06 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.50    
 
PID-3   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE SKYWALKER Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jul01 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
2  ALL THE RAGE Sep04 Aug06 Jun22 Apr27 Feb02 (rice linda)ALENCAR WALBER 118 3.50 8% 11.50    
3  DANCING MISCHIEF Sep02 Jul25 Jul07 Jun14 May26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
4  RAPA NUI Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAC'S CAT Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jul01 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
6  SNIP THE ROSES Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jun25 (judd cassandra)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
7  SON OF LIBERTY Sep10 Aug23 Jul24 Jun22 Oct06 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  TRAVELLER Sep10 Aug26 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
9  SEMINARIAN Sep11 Aug26 Jun26 Jun10 May29 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
 
PID-4   09/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MANTICORE Jul26 Sep04 Jun19 Jun21   (meadow patrici)LOPEZ DERECK 117 10.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CHANNEL KING Jun26 Feb07       (o'callahan c)AYALA J 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of K QUEEN by K ONE KING)
3  AZOI Aug29 Aug10 Jul05 Jun12 Mar02 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 18% 4.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of LOCKET by ROSBERG)
4  PARTY AT THE BEACH Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun11   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  HOLD THE PHONE Dec15 Oct03 Apr07     (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
6  IRISH STONE Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 May21 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
7  FROZEN FOUR Sep09 Aug20 Jul31 Jun28 May25 (barron r)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
8  ON SECRET SERVICE Sep04 Jun12       (gordon-watson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of EASTER SERVICE by SERVICE STRIPE)
 
PID-5   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN DUTTON Sep09 Aug13 Jul03 May31 Apr19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
SCR  MR. REDOLFO Sep12 Aug16 Jul26 Jun20 Oct17 (lawrence j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
3  SACHMO Sep02 Aug23 Aug02 Jul04 Jun11 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 122 3.50    
4  MAJOR THOMAS Aug30 Jul04 Jun11 May24 May02 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 10.00    
6  EFF THIRTY FIVE Aug28 Aug02 Jun25 May17 Apr06 (russell )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  MORNING MARCH Sep02 Aug22 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 (gordon-watson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
8  KNIGHT LEGEND Sep11 Aug26 Oct05 Aug28 Aug08 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEROKEE Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.50 16% 5.50    
2  SPERANZAS WILL Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 Jun07 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
3  WEEKEND CONCERTO Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 May17 Apr20 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  YEAH TAKE THAT Aug19 Jul31 Jul24 Jul16 Jun04 (brooks geral)AYALA J 118 10.00    
5  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 (russell ran)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ON HIS TOES Aug27 Jul17 May15 Apr24 Apr09 (winters michell)BAYS BROOKE 115 15.00    
7  COUNTRY RUCKUS Aug07 Dec26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 122 12.00    
8  EMPTY MY POUCH Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 (albright ge)CALDERON OLIVER 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
9  GOLDEN ARM Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul20 Jul03 (pappada )GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY POUR Aug14 Jul26 Jun24 May22 Nov28 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  MAKOTO Sep14 Aug29 Jul31 Jul12 Dec15 (agnew naoise)TORRES JOMAR 122 20.00    
3  BLESS AMERICA May19 Apr26 Feb24 Jan27 Dec23 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  TARSUS WARRIOR Aug27 Aug05       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
SCR  FALK Aug07 Jul29 Jun13 Jan26 Dec30 (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00    
6  TAP EM Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (inirio o)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50    
7  RECYCLE Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun12 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
8  R BOY CHEEKUM Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (thompson mar)AYALA J 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENCH PRESS Aug30 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (agnew naoise)TORRES JOMAR 122 20.00    
2  THREE O ONE Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jul09 Jun10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00    
3  COOPERSTOWN Sep03 Jul24 Jul03 Mar15 Jan24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  TIMO Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jun16 May29 (herrington c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
5  BOOKER'S CHARM Sep10 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 10.00    
6  SIGMUND Sep10 Aug26 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
7  BALLINDINE Sep10 Aug26 Jul26 Jun22 May26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
8  SIREN Aug28 Aug21 Aug02 Jul04 Jun25 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 118 8.00 14% 6.00    
9  MY SANCTUARY Aug30 Aug13 Jul11 Jun20 May25 (stidham )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
10  MINELLA Aug19 Jul16 Jun11 May26 May06 (schneider kim)CARPIO JAIMEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.