Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3)-(3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(3/4)-(7/3/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/3/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/3/6/4)-(6/1/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/4)-(6/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/3)-(4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(5/3/7/2)-(10/2/4/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(10/2/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (10/2/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/8/5)-(10/2/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/8/5)-(10/2/4/8/5)-(10/2/4/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOD LAUGHS Jul22 Jun30 Nov12 Oct05   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
2  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Aug05 Jul08 Jun26 Nov21   (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VELMA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  REV PARKER Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
4  WO HOP Aug05 Jun28 Jun09 May10 Apr12 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  DR. DARBY Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
6  ON CLOUD WINE Jul08 Nov20       (smith troy)ROHENA JR 120 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
7  JAKE'S ORCHARD Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 120 4.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  HAL AWAY Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 May29 (falk jac)DAVIS A 120 6.00 6% 15.40    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
 
FL-2   08/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLIFDEN PUNCH Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Nov22 Oct31 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
2  KAUFY FUTURES Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.50    
3  JUST A NYQUIST Jul02 Feb19 Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  QUIET HORIZON Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jul04 Jun17 (cabrera )DAVIS A 124 5.00    
5  RUXTON ROCKS Aug05 Jun12 Jan13 Dec07 Sep19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00 35% 1.90    
6  R GIRL FAITH Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 Aug01 Jul19 (tho)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 ★    
7  KEEN DANCER Aug07 Jul04 Jun25 Jun10 May18 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION LIGHTS Jul29 Jun28 May18 May12 Apr20 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
2  EAST COAST GIRL Jul22 Jun26 May14 Aug20 Jul15 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50    
3  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Jul22 Jul10 Jun12 May20 Apr26 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
4  CIVIL SERVICE Jul22 Jul10 Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NOBLE JOURNEY Jun26 May29 May22 Nov08 Sep26 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
 
FL-4   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO POWER Aug05         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 3.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WOMAN POWER by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
2  BIG BABY HENRY Jul29 Jul01       (marino j)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
3  NOT MY TYPE         (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
4  WITT DASHING SPEED Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Nov22 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
5  FIVE DESTINATIONS Aug05 Jul22 Jun10 May20 Oct18 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
6  CALL IT A NIGHT         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 5.00 10% 8.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TASTE'S CLASSYLADY by AFLEET ALEX)
7  AELFGAR Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 May29 (sells rachel)COA J 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
FL-5   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHTS DANCE Jul30 Jul01 Apr18 Mar03 Jan05 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  LOVE THYSELF Jul15 Jun24 May29 May14 Jan19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.50    
3  ROSEBUD RYDE Jul29 Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 (chamberlin tin)BROWN DALTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR FIRST LADY Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 Jun05 May14 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 10.00    
5  JAYLA Jul15 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
6  WHO ASKED YOU Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Nov21 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
7  IXODES Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 Oct18 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
FL-6   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EDDIES ROCKET Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
SCR  CREWS IN TO WIN Aug05 Jul23 Jul04 Jun25   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
SCR  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Aug05 Jul04 Nov20     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May22 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  BEAUTY'S BANGLE Jul23         (baratta patri)DAVILA A 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of SUTRA by MEADOWLAKE)
SCR  LONG LEGGED QUEEN Aug17 Jun25       (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 120 2.50    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of PEACE QUEEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MIA NIPOTINA Aug01 Jul11 May26 Apr29 Jan11 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
7  MY KINDA MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 May19 Apr06 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
8  DHARMA Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 May28   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
9  OUTTA THE CLOUD Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 May19 Oct16 (dean vic)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
 
FL-7   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHYMES LIKE DIMES Jul16 Jul01 May27 Mar20 Feb17 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
SCR  TACONY ROAD Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 May29 May20 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
2  DATESFREEDOM Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 May17 Apr14 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOC ADVANTAGE Jun11 May20 Mar24 Feb29 Jan13 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  BROTHER JEREMIAH Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 Sep25 Sep04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00    
5  ROSE'S PEPINO Aug04 Jul29 Jul16 Jun26 Jun09 (inman l)WHITACRE B 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  LEO AND ROYAL Jul22 Jan11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct23 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
7  ROYAL SUSPECT Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
FL-8   08/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TOOTH SUE Jul31 Jul01 Jun05 May14 Nov14 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
2  GEORGIE'S LADIES Jul17 Jun19 Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  KITTY TIN TIN Jul23 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Aug23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
4  SWEET SUGAR BABY Jul17 Jun03 May13 Apr30 Nov15 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Jul29 Jul10 May01 Apr19 Mar02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RULER OF THE NIGHT Jul24 Jun17 May27 Apr30 Nov15 (englehar)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
7  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
8  NECESSARYANDPROPER Aug06 Jul16 Jun05 May14 Apr14 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WINE TRAIL Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 Nov15 Nov01 (progno mi)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
10  GEORGE'S VICE Jul28 Jun30 Apr25 Mar16 Jan26 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.