Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/4)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/4/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/4/6/5)-(4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(4/5/6)-(5/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/6/7/4)-(3/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(3/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(3/2/4/7)-(4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/7)-(4/7/2)-(7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(7/5/6)-(2/9/5/10/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-8   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(2/9/5/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/9/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/10/7)-(2/9/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/10/7)-(2/9/5/10/7)-(2/9/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZENCHUA SKY Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May05 Apr13 (castro isidro)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
2  JOCELYN Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May12 Apr20 (campbell jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUSED (GB) May30 Apr27 Mar16 Feb15 Jan04 (gonzalez a)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 14% 5.90    
4  KITTEN ROCKS May19 Aug10 Jul30 Jun29 Jun18 (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00    
5  SMOOTH JUSTICE Jun25 May30 Apr30 Apr13 Mar23 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
6  LUNARCHY Jul11 Jun16 Jun01 May05 Apr14 (flores ped)SIMPSON M 122 12.00    
 
HAW-2   08/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLURT Jul18 Jun15 Jun02 May11 Apr28 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 8.00    
2  NOT VERY GENTLE Jul18 Jun23 May26 May05 Aug30 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
3  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Jul18 Jun13 May26 Apr14 Mar31 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 1.60 ★    
4  MILLARD'S SMILE Jul06 Apr28 Apr13 Mar24 Feb18 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAMOND DAVE Jul06 Nov04 Sep30 Aug05 Jun20 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00    
6  UNIFIED WEEKEND Jun23 Jun02 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (rodriguez hugo)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
 
HAW-3   08/01/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALADINE Jul18 Jun22 May26 May12 Apr21 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
2  BE LUCKY Jul07 Jun16 May19 Feb02 Dec14 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00    
3  ALL CHOKED UP Jun23 Jun09 May25 Mar10 Feb23 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  SIMPLE LOGIC Jul07 Jun22 May26 Apr06 Jan28 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
5  LAWMAKER Jul11 Jun23 May25 Sep19 Aug30 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HAY MOON Jun30 Jun09 May18 May05 Apr14 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
7  HELIOCHROME Nov14 Jul22 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
8  EUCLID AVENUE Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 May05 Apr06 (haran john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
 
HAW-4   08/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE STOPPED SHORT         (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TWICE AROUND by JIMMY CREED)
2  SHOW ME THE LIGHT Jul09         (wells duan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SWEET SEVENTEEN by HARD SPUN)
3  LYLAH RENEE         (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 ★    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SHELBI RENEE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
4  LITTLE POISON         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by DIALED IN out of WHISTLEBERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
5  BELLA VITTORIA         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DRAW IT by TAPIT)
6  NOTIPTONI Jul11         (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  ELIZA VANCE Jun23         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
8  FAITH HOPE N LOVE Jul11 Jun23       (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
 
HAW-5   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMAND Jun29 Jun09 Dec16 Oct27 Sep23 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
2  HYPERSPORT Jun29 Jun09 Apr26 Mar16 Apr21 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 5.00    
3  WILMA MANKILLER Jun29 Oct12 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
4  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jul14 Jun22 May05 Apr13 Mar30 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIRST HILL Jun29 May20 Apr10 Mar06 Feb21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  COMMISSIONER GULCH Jun16 May19 Apr14 Nov07 Oct24 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  BEEHIVE Jun22 Jun01 May05 Mar30 Nov07 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
HAW-6   08/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING SAMURAI Jul18 Jul06 Jun15 May26 May11 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 4.00    
2  BOURBON DELIGHT Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May18 May04 (castro isi)SIMPSON M 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  TWO COOKIE RULE Jul18 Jul11 Jun22 Dec10 Nov27 (dizeo dino)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  ZARMAE Jul18 Nov18 Nov11 Oct21 Oct03 (bahena fernand)COLON H 122 10.00 6% 14.90    
5  KRAMDEN Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May26 May05 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
6  MISTER CHARMING Jul06 Jun15 May26 May05 Apr14 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00    
7  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 May18 Apr27 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   08/01/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF GRACE Jul11 Jun22 May11 Mar30 Mar23 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
2  ROGUE ELEMENT Jun22 Jun01 Apr14 Mar31 Jan12 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  RED HORNET Jun23 Jun01 Apr07 Mar24 Oct24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 ★    
4  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jun16 May30 May13 Mar10 Jan21 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
5  REMEMBER THE MAINE Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 Jun02 May04 (castro isidro)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
6  WICKED SUPRISE Jul11 Jun22 Jun02 May26 May11 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
7  POLICY OPTION Jul18 Sep03 Jul30 Jun24 Jun01 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
8  COMEDIC TIMING Jul07 Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
SCR  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jul18 Jun02 May19 Apr28 Mar13 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00    
SCR  COOL QUARTET Jul20 Jun13 May23 May01 Jan05 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
 
HAW-8   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONASA Jul17 Jun22 Jul20 Jun24 Mar26 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 124 5.00    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Jul28 Jun22 May27 Apr16 Mar30 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 4.00    
3  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 May04 Apr14 (knott nanc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
4  FAITHFUL RULER Jun10 May11 Apr21 Feb28 Jan05 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
5  FIT TO FLY Jul07 Oct13 Aug16 Jun24 May31 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
6  TWIRLING ROSES Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr21 Mar31 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RICHIESONAROLL Jun22 May26 May11 Apr21 Apr06 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
8  ELI'S PROMISE Jun22 Jun08 May12 Mar31 Dec08 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
 
HAW-9   08/01/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LADY SLEW Jun23 May11 Apr07 Mar23 Oct03 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
2  BOLTORO Jul14 Apr24 Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
3  GET N TIPSY Jun25 May23 May08 Apr08 Nov13 (haran john)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
4  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jul18 Jul11 Jun30 May29 May03 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
5  ALL ABOUT ME Jul06 Jun15 May01 Apr14 Mar30 (rosas rigo)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 6.00 5% 17.70    
6  VISIONISTA Jun16 May25 May05 Apr13 Mar24 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
7  SECRET OPERATION Jul14 Jun01 May05 Mar30 Feb24 (slager mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHURCH PEW Jul07 Jun09 May26 Feb25 Sep02 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 15.00    
9  COMMAND POINT Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Sep03 (gonzalez a)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 25% 2.90    
10  R KATIEBUG Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar24 Feb21 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  SPICY ITALIAN Jul11 Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug17 (catalano way)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
SCR  CALISUE Jul11 Jun16 May25 May05 Mar30 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.