Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(4/1/2/6)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (4/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/6)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/6)-(6/5/1)-(8/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(8/1/5)-(4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
IND-4   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/7/1/5)-(8/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(4)-(10/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
IND-5   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(10/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(10/3)-(4/10/8/7/5) 10 $1.00 $5.00 
IND-6   WIN (10/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/3)-(10/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/3)-(10/4/3/6)-(10/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/3)-(4/10/8/7/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/3)-(4/10/8/7/5)-(5/10/6/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/10/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/7/5)-(4/10/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/7/5)-(4/10/8/7/5)-(4/10/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/8/7/5)-(5/10/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/7)-(5/10/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/7)-(5/10/6/7)-(5/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTRELLA BRILLANTE Jun26         (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of HAWAIIAN SKY by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
PETER'S DREAM Jun27 Jun11       (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
  (by STORM'S EYE out of PERFECT LIST by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
COOL D OR         (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 12.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
FOXY JUSTICE Jun26         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.80 54% 0.90    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of ALEGRA by EXCHANGE RATE)
GLITTER QUEEN         (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of GLAMOUR QUEEN by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SEEYOUINABIT         (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BAHJATTY out of STRAPLESS by STAGE DOOR JOHNNY)
RUNWAY STAR         (leonard george)ROMAN A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of RUNWAY STARLET by POINT OF ENTRY)
SHE'S A WHIRLWIND         (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 119 6.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of SCARLET BULLETIN by RED BULLET)
 
IND-2   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29.92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Jun25 Jun08 May14 Apr24 Oct30 (herrell ron )BURGOS ALBERTO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
CACTUS FLOWER Feb21 Feb03 Dec28 Nov26 Oct17 (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  QUILTER Nov15 Oct30 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Jul05 Jun13 May23 Apr17 Mar24 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
COCKTAIL CUTIE May28 Apr28 Apr07 Jan27 Jan01 (manley steve)MOJICA O 118 20.00    
URBAN COWGIRL Apr25 Apr08 Mar06 Feb15 Jan01 (cline c)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
WILDCATJUSTICE Jul05 Jun19 Oct28 Oct11 Sep27 (granitz ant)ROMERO M 109 8.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Jun30 Jun22 Mar28 Jan25 Dec05 (bahena is)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
 
IND-3   07/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET EVEN KID Jun26         (haran joh)CORREA L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of HARD TO GET EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
KITTEN'S SONG Jun26         (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of KITTEN'S APPROACH by KITTEN'S JOY)
ACE OF CATS         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 4.50    
  (by ISOTHERM out of SAFARI KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  TOTAL LUNA ECLIPSE         (douglass de)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 12.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of FIVE MOONS by FLOWER ALLEY)
MI CAPRICHUDA         (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SHAGAF out of BLUE MAGIC by YES IT'S TRUE)
THE FLINT EXPRESS Jun26         (leonard george)ROMAN A 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of ROSE MEDALLION by LEAR FAN)
SCR  BOOTLEGGER JUSTICE         (douglass de)ROMERO M 109 12.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
 
IND-4   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST ELKTON Jun18 Jun04 May09 Apr23 Nov15 (rechy chaz)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COLOR ME FAST Jun25 Jun04 May09 Apr23 Nov17 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 20.00    
WATCHER Jun25 Jun05 May23 Apr25 Apr16 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 118 5.00    
FIRING FAST Jun12 Apr21       (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00    
SCR  JUST HANGIN ON Jun25 Jun12 Oct26 Sep28   (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
HURRICANE LASSIE Jul02 Apr23 Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
SCR  WILLADEAN Jun13 Jun04 May06 Apr25 Mar07 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
GONNABEE Jun25 May20 Apr30 Feb01 Oct11 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
 
IND-5   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($59.84K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG DREAMING Jul06 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Nov23 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50    
SCR  LEADING THE CHARGE Jun25 Aug24 Jul11 Jun23   (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00    
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY Jun23 May19 Oct13 Sep09 May20 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 124 2.50    
GASOLINE Jun12 May11 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 10.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  SILENT POET Jun22 Apr27 Mar09 Feb17 Nov04 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
MAN IN THE CAN May30 May04 Apr14 Mar22 Mar09 (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00    
SCR  VOTE NO Jun17 Mar23 Feb02 Jan06 Oct08 (morey w)DE CRUZ 116 20.00    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Jun28 May06 Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  EL KABONG Jun19 May09 Apr11 Feb17 Jan04 (arnold georg)TORRES A 120 6.00    
10  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May24 Dec23 Nov03 Sep29 Jul08 (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 10.00    
 
IND-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULEE FOREVER Jun26 Aug10 Jul08 Jun20 Oct17 (martin shawna)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of ANGELNAULE by KILLENAULE)
LILLY ROSE EXPRESS Jun26         (swing)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of SISTER ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
ONE FINALE May22 May01 Apr08 Sep07 Aug16 (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of COBRA'S LOVE by COBRA KING)
CV WICKED NOTIONAL Jun26 Jun06 May29 Jul07 Jun01 (gonzalez ag)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of WICKED RAVNINA by WILD AND WICKED)
SCR  SKY RULES Jun26         (burton roger)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CHRISCINCOCENTS Jun19 May29 May04 Apr17 Jul20 (egbert james)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of EXCELL WITH ELLE by SLEW THE SURGEON)
SCR  SARAHGUCCI         (west m)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SARAH ELIZABETH by SKY MESA)
MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Jul09 Sep29 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (douglass de)ROMERO M 114 30.00    
  (by SLOPE out of THE MUSIC IN YOU by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SKY MY LADY Jul06 Jun26 May22 Sep07 Aug16 (medina )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of KINGDOM GIFT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
10  SARAH'S SMILES Jun26         (delacruz )BERMUDEZ E 120 1.20 72% 0.40    
  (by ROYAL ARTILLERY out of READY TO TAP by TAPITURE)
 
IND-7   07/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURF CAT Jun05         (matejka pavel)KRIGGER K 120 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NOT SURE by LONHRO (AUS))
STARGAZZERS DREAM         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of TEST MY LOVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
EL DANDI Jun26 Jun06 May19 Apr05   (acevedo israel)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TEST OF TIME by CAPOTE)
ONWATCH         (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by ROWAYTON out of WINGS OF DAWN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
COMPLEX CAT May14         (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KITTERY POINT by INCLUDE)
EL OSO         (rivera tirso)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MINE MINE MINE by MINESHAFT)
GIFT CERTIFICATE         (leonard geor)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of SHEER BEAUTY by MIZZEN MAST)
GOODMENARESCARCE         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of NOT A PEEP by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
MASTER OF LIGHT         (vaughan edwar)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DICTATE COOL by CURLIN)
10  DIABLO ROSSO         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by EAGLE out of SKIRT WARNING by CHITOZ)
11  MIGHTY MO         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GIGI JEAN by TEMPLE CITY)
 
IND-8   07/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOASTED ROLL Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 Sep28 Aug31 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA Jun24 Jul13 Jun24 Jun01 Oct25 (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
LAST LEGACY Jun28 May31       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
FOREVER HOME Jun21 Jun06 May17 Apr30 Apr10 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
FAR AND FEW Jun23 May26 May10 Mar15 Feb23 (morey william )ROMAN A 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
THE KID PATAKY Jun24 Jun06 May22 Apr16 Oct28 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 117 12.00 16% 5.20    
GOLD DEL MAR Jul03 Jun06 May26 Apr20 Mar30 (salas felip)CARMONA SERAFIN 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOCS SEVEN Jun30 Jun08 May19 May03 Apr19 (manley steve)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY WORLD Jun24 May28 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (irion heather)PRESCOTT R 118 10.00    
10  TIZZY JOJO Jun05 Apr08 Nov15 Oct28 Oct04 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  ALWAYS WANTING Jun19 May27 May09 Apr18 Mar23 (elliott)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
SCR  IMAGINE THE MOON Jun26 Jun05 May20 Oct28 Oct11 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.