Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/2/4)-(3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/1/6)-(4/8/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST BIKE May02 Mar20 Mar09 Feb08 Jan24 (pasley iii)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
FUTURE VICTORY Apr27 Mar20 Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
THISPOINTINTIME May02 Apr25 Mar27 Mar09 Feb07 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
MOON CHARGER Apr25 Mar28 Feb28 Feb14 Feb02 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S PLACE Mar20 Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 1.80    
 
BTP-2   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGEANT BARGER Apr26 Mar22 Feb16 Jan18 Apr27 (alessi james)COLON H 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  OUT WORK'N May03 Oct11 Sep08 Aug02 Jul19 (alessi jam)BATISTA X 123 5.00    
INHERENT POWERS Apr26 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 4.00    
SCR  COMEDIC TIMING Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 Feb07 Jan03 (villa francis)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00    
PINEDALE Mar28 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (pino v)PARKER L 123 3.50    
 
BTP-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S LEGACY Apr26 Mar09 Feb10 Jan26 Jan03 (smith larry)ZONETT KEYNER 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
UNWHIRLED Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 Feb21 Feb04 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
FABIOLA PRINCESS Mar12 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50    
MAGESTAL BASTIDA May02 Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan03 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Apr25 Apr10 Mar14 Feb29 Feb17 (caramori eduar)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAIYAS SONG May02 Apr22 Mar16 Feb08 Jan05 (acevedo is)MELENDEZ MARIANO 123 3.50    
COMPETITIVE FIRE Oct18 Sep27 Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
CHICA DE ORO Mar09 Feb10 Dec21 Nov05 Oct10 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
SURE ENOUGH Feb24 Jan27 Dec15 Sep11 Aug15 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 3.00    
SCR  NANA ROZE May09 Nov08 Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 (morelos mateo)ZONETT KEYNER 123 4.50    
 
BTP-5   05/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLOSSOMING Apr26 Mar20 Feb25 Feb18 Jan20 (alessi james)MURGIA A 123 20.00    
YOGA QUEEN Apr27 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 Dec12 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
ROYAL TO BE Apr27 Mar15 Feb18 Jan12 Dec30 (ocasio osvald)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00    
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Apr24 Mar23 Feb11 Dec31 Dec06 (mendieta al)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
HIGH MEADOWS May03 Feb01 Jan03 Dec21 Oct07 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
SCR  SONHO DE VERAO May03 Jan25 Dec06     (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00    
SCR  BEL ARIA Apr27 Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Feb07 (townley steve)MCKEE J 123 8.00    
SPARE A DIME Apr25 Mar28 Feb15 Feb07 Jul12 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
FUTURE FLAY May01 Mar14 Feb29 Feb01 Dec21 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
SCR  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 Dec28 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00    
 
BTP-6   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT DREAM May02 Apr10 Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 (salcedo ramon)PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.00    
TABOO HOO Mar28 Feb15 Jan10 Jul06 Jun16 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
SECRET GLENDA Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 Nov17 (west m)COLON H 117 2.00    
MS. THE LAW Apr23 Oct23 Oct03 Aug10 Jun20 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
SOPHISTICATED Nov08 Oct06 Aug30 Aug01 Jun17 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50 6% 15.60    
 
BTP-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST CHANCE DANCE Apr26 Mar22 Mar06 Feb24 Feb02 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
FROSTED QUEEN Feb11 Jan21       (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 119 10.00    
ELORA Apr26 Mar22 Feb22     (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 3.50    
YEHAWMEMAW May09 Apr25 Jan10 Jul20 Jul06 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
CAPTIVE STAR Mar06 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 Nov15 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
ROYAL ITCH May03 Apr23 Mar27 Mar15 Feb21 (wilson david )SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS May03 Apr25 Mar20 Feb14 Feb02 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
 
BTP-8   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY POOPER Apr25 Apr01 Mar09     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
SMILING CLOUD         (reed r)COLON H 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CHARLEY'S SMILE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SATISKY May02         (cross kenn)CARPIO J 125 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
I'M HIM Apr25 Jan06       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
DAME STRAIGHT Mar14         (ladd erin)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
WAY TOO FAST Apr24         (morey e)MCKEE J 119 4.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of RAFFIE'S BEBE by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SON OF A MAN         (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LADY REDD by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
DIAPER DANDY         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by KLIMT out of SHOCK THE WORLD by WORLD STAGE (IRE))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.