Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/3/7)-(7/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/2)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/2)-(7/6)-(6/4/7/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(6/4/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(6/4/7/5)-(5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/5)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/5)-(5/1/6)-(7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-7   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KERRIGAN'S TOUCH         (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 5.00    
DISCREET DEAL Mar24 Feb09 Nov18 Aug26   (reeves jeffer)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY Feb21 Feb08 Aug06 Jul23 May12 (ramirez e)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GET GUSSIED UP Feb25         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
SPECIAL GIRL         (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
LONG SHOT LOUISE Mar17 Jan11 Nov21 Sep10 Aug28 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
 
LAD-2   05/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL APPEAL Jan21 Dec15 Dec03 Aug12 Jun24 (hatcher nathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
MO HAWK MAN Mar02 Feb09 Dec03 Aug27 Aug06 (mouton patri)DEL-CID MARLON 119 3.00    
PAINTED SUNDAY Apr04 Mar06       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00 24% 3.10    
TAKE POINT Mar30 Sep13 Jun23     (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50    
CLASSY SHIPMAN Oct20 Jul03 Feb18 Jan28   (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SIMPLICATED Apr13         (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 8.00    
CHIEF HARLAN Mar20 Feb07 Aug06 Jun24 Sep29 (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-3   05/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL RIDE Apr20 Mar15 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 10% 8.80    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Apr13 Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 Dec01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HANDSOME HAROLD Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Jan04 Dec09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50    
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Dec16 Jul17 Jun26 May14 Mar23 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
ROCK SOLID WORDS Apr24 Feb08 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
LIL WOADIE Mar16 Feb25 Feb10 Jan11 Dec30 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 12.00    
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Mar15 Feb16 Nov29 Nov03 Sep09 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-4   05/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOWARD'S GRIT Apr17 Mar24 Feb29 Feb04 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.80    
SCR  SPECIAL MEMORY Mar24 Mar01 Sep28 Sep01 Jul03 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  BACK BAYOU Apr19 Mar10 Feb15 Jan27 Dec30 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 10.00    
KLIMTOMANIAC Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19 May28 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
BRIARTOWN Feb21 Feb01 Dec30 Dec16 Nov18 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.00    
HELLO MR COPELAND Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb09 Dec29 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BENDETTIJOE Mar03 Feb17 Jan20 Dec30 Nov10 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 48% 1.10    
 
LAD-5   05/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Apr26 Mar30 Mar02 Dec15 Jul19 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00    
FABLED RULER Mar22 Feb29 Feb10 Jan26 Jan13 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.00    
THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Apr17 Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 Dec30 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
CHIEF CHEETAH Mar29 Nov17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
ONE MORE BABY Feb23 Feb01 Jan06 Dec14 Jun11 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST BATTLE Mar24 Feb16 Dec29 Nov17 Oct08 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
ALL TOGETHER Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec21 Nov25 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 6% 15.00    
 
LAD-6   05/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Feb15 Nov26 Nov05 Aug26 Jul07 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 23% 3.40    
MIA ANTONIA Mar08 Feb08 Jan05 Dec09 Mar24 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
STEAL ME OVER Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12   (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 4.00    
SMART IZZY Apr06 Mar20 Feb29 Feb08 Jan07 (hatcher nathan )WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
CERTIFIED GEM Mar07 Dec15 Aug14 Jul02 Jun19 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
TRIPLE FOUR Apr06 Mar17 Apr15     (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   05/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKIN Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 (beavin judy)MURRAY M 124 3.00    
TRIPPER JOHN Apr12 Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Jan04 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 10.00    
RAP ARTIST Mar14 Dec06 Nov18 Aug04 May29 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
PRAY IDE SING Apr12 Feb21 Dec07 Nov11 Aug11 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
HOLY BAYOU Dec21 Oct18 Jul28 Jun15 May11 (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
DONNA'S COURT Feb21 Jan19 Dec08 Nov11 Oct06 (kanhai joseph)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00    
ALTERANA Apr20 Feb17 Feb03 Dec08 Nov23 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.