Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7/9)-(4/1/3/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(5/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7)-(5/3/7/1)-(2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/1)-(2/5/6)-(4/5/10/7/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/5/10/7/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/5/10/7/12)-(5/2/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/5/10/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/10/7/12)-(4/5/10/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/10/7/12)-(4/5/10/7/12)-(4/5/10/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/10/7/12)-(5/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/10/7/12)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/8/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4)-(5/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/4)-(5/8/1/7)-(9/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/7)-(9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/7)-(9/8/5)-(3/1/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/1/4)-(9/8/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/5)-(3/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/9)-(3/1/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/9)-(3/1/6/8/9)-(3/1/6/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/01/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP IRON FIST Apr06 Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 (castille carro)THORNTON G 123 1.80 15% 5.50    
2  MY SUGAR FIX Feb29 Feb16 Jan15 Dec29 Dec08 (schwandt em)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 20.00    
3  CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Dec29 Dec08       (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 11% 8.50    
4  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 Jan27 Jan05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  ZOSIAS SHIP Jun16         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
6  ASPEN LINK Apr06 Nov01       (thomas lee)MAGNON H 123 6.00    
7  STEEL GUITAR Mar02 Nov22 Oct27     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CRIMSON GLORY Jan19 Dec27 Dec01 Feb24 Feb03 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
9  STARTINI Feb29         (klanfer alan)ROSIER R 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  TALKABOUT Apr10 Mar09 Feb08 Jan15 Jan06 (broussard jarmondr)STOKES J 123 15.00    
SCR  LUCCA'S LILYBY Apr12 Aug12 Jul01 Aug27 Aug18 (cormier dona)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
SCR  RUSTY'S SUNRISE Apr18 Mar20 Feb24     (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
SCR  UNKNOWN CALLER Apr18 Mar15 Feb25 Feb03   (knudsen kent)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  CHUCHI Apr18 Mar20 Mar01 Jan25 Dec14 (ellis randy )DEL-CID MARLON 114 20.00    
 
EVD-2   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE FINE WINE Apr17 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec09 (shamsie rand)DEL-CID MARLON 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  INDY LOVER Apr13 Mar13 Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 123 4.50    
3  LILY'S CREED Mar13 Feb23 Jan21 Jan04 Jun11 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  FREEFORM Apr10 Mar13 Feb16 Jan11 Dec21 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 123 12.00    
5  AVENDORE Feb24 Feb10 Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  SANTANGELO Apr13 Mar24 Jan28 Jan13 Nov29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00    
7  THAT IS AWESOME Apr13 Mar09 Feb07 Dec18 Dec06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 12% 7.70    
 
EVD-3   05/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINOR DISCREPANCY Feb02 Nov24 Nov02 Aug29   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.00    
2  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Apr05 Feb25 Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
3  LOUDERMILK Mar24 Feb02 Nov09 Aug12 Jul04 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
4  HEZA ROYAL CAT Dec30 Oct28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 123 12.00    
5  GRACIOUS KAT Apr05 Mar20 Feb10 Jan20   (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  CUSTOM CADILLAC Mar10 Feb15 Apr27 Mar11 Feb10 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R T'S CAJUN LADY Mar02 Oct06 Apr15 Mar25 Aug20 (sam w)FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of THE GONCULATOR by CURLIN)
2  BABY JANE Mar24 Jan18 Dec18     (perron gerard)VARGAS P 118 5.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HARD HEADED WOMAN by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  KAT'S PRINCESS Apr10 Jan11       (toups brent)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of INDIAN AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  OUR GAL LAYLA Apr10 Mar24       (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by HALF OURS out of MY GAL LAYLA by MY PAL CHARLIE)
5  MOION Apr13 Mar20 Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 6% 17.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AS THE SNOW FLIES by MALIBU MOON)
6  FRANCESNFRIENDS Mar24 Dec10       (ludwig)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GENTILLY LACE by ON TARGET)
7  GETOUTOFDAWAY Apr10 Mar24 Feb23 Feb03   (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by D'WILDCAT out of BABEFROMTHEGITGO by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
8  USAIN D'ORO Mar02         (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLUE ORLEANS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  BROADWAY STAR Apr10 Mar02 Feb16 Jan19 Nov25 (cuccia j)STOKES J 123 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CLOSING REPORT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
10  STEPHANIE'S MARIA Apr10 Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan01 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 118 12.00 5% 17.90    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of ROSALBA MARIA by UNCLE MO)
11  POT'S PAYCHECK Mar24 Feb16       (jackson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of LAKE NATRON by MORE THAN READY)
12  COAL DANCER Mar24 Jan04 Dec18 Nov22 Oct27 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DANCE TILL TWO by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
 
EVD-5   05/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHNELL Apr05 Mar03 Feb12 Jan28 Jan20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50    
2  SLITHER Apr13 Mar14 Feb07 Nov25 Oct07 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  GOLD MERRITT Feb07 Dec21 Sep02 Aug13 Jun19 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 12% 7.20    
4  WHY JOEY WHY Apr05 Feb07 Jul22 Jun01 Feb21 (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DRIVE FOR FUN Dec14 Nov24 Nov01 Jun15 May14 (ward derrick)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00 34% 1.90    
6  MUCHO MARVIN Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec06 Nov10 (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 3.00    
7  ADIEU LE CHAT Nov30 Nov16 Oct11 Aug11 Jul08 (ladner j)ROSIER R 117 6.00    
 
EVD-6   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUT IT BACK DAVE Apr17 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08   (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
2  KAH NIGH Apr20 Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 (dussette alvin)FLORIAN JOSE 115 12.00    
3  HUDSON'S DAY Apr11         (woodley carl)DEL-CID MARLON 115 8.00    
4  AUTUMN ROB Apr19 Feb08 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 4.00    
5  CAJUN CYCLONE Apr11 Mar06 Feb02 Jan20 Dec31 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
6  I NITA WARRIOR Apr17 Feb22 Jan20 Dec19 Dec06 (reeves jeff)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
7  BABY'S LAST DANCE Jan11 Nov10 Oct07 Jul20 Jun17 (castille ca)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIT THE BULLSEYE Mar13 Feb22 Dec19 Nov29 Nov03 (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 8% 11.10    
 
EVD-7   05/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONITOR MILLS Dec27 Dec14 Oct20 Oct06 Jul13 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 ★    
2  JAYS HOLIDAY Apr05 Mar22 Feb29 Dec13 Nov24 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00    
3  MY PAL SWEET Mar22 Feb24 Jan18 Nov01 Jun25 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
4  SEEHOSS Feb21 Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 10.00 ★    
5  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Apr12 Mar06 Feb16 Feb03 Jan04 (fuselier jonah)THORNTON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SINGLE SHOT Feb29 Feb16 Jan04 Jan26 Dec11 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 118 4.00    
7  HOUSE BOURBON Apr10 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Dec09 (landry allen)MAGNON H 115 20.00    
8  BET AGAIN Apr05 Feb08 Dec14 Nov15 Jul06 (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 6.00 6% 16.90    
9  TONTERIA Feb29 Feb03 Jan04 Sep12 Aug19 (jeansonne justin)STOKES J 118 1.80 70% 0.40    
10  RISING KOTO STAR Mar15 Feb24 Jan26 Jan04 Dec09 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 113 20.00    
SCR  ORLEANS TOURIST Apr12 Mar23       (marechal merli)SUAREZ ANGEL 113 5.00    
SCR  THROWIN' SHADE Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Feb24 Feb03 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
SCR  COURTMAN Apr05 Mar22 Feb02 Dec15 Nov23 (david b)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
 
EVD-8   05/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK OF THE TOWN Apr20 Mar24 Mar02 Feb01   (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  TILT A WHIRL Mar22         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
3  TAYSOM Apr11 Mar22 Feb25 Feb01 Jan12 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 118 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  ROCKY BOY Apr11 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Dec13 (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 123 15.00    
5  A FOOL FOR CARLOS Apr18 Nov15 Oct12 Jun02   (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
6  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Jan13 Nov10 Oct20 Oct05 May27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 19% 4.30    
7  BOONE LAND EXPRESS Apr13 Oct28       (robbins ray)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
8  MY UNCLE BILLY Apr11 Feb16 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 5.00 ★    
9  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Apr18 Mar24 Feb25 Feb08 Jan21 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHASING CHAYSE Apr11 Feb25       (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.