Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(4/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/3)-(4/5/3/8)-(6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/8)-(6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/8)-(6/7/1)-(2/3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(2/3/1/6)-(1/4/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/6)-(1/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/6)-(1/4/8/5)-(2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5/10)-(1/4/8/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/8/5)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/5)-(2/3/7)-(7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(7/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/9/5)-(7/3/2/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(6/3/2/5)-(3/5/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/8/5)-(6/3/2/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/5)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/26/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVEN ADVOCATE         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SONG OF MELODY by FLAT OUT)
GOTTA KEEP HIM Apr05 Mar21 Feb29 Jan13 Oct20 (claire alexis)THORNTON G 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SPOKEN CODE Mar24 Mar09 Jan21 Dec22 Nov23 (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPOKEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MAX IS G MONEY Mar21 Feb12 Jan21 Dec22 Nov25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
IRISH RANSOM Mar09 Dec31 Nov10     (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
U RASCAL U Mar22         (ladner herman)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LIMARI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DONEGAL DREAMER Apr12 Feb08 Jan21 Dec08 Aug20 (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
SEAVILLE Apr12         (ladner chad)STOKES J 120 10.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
STRONG DIAMOND Feb29 Feb10 Feb01 Jan12 Oct07 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Apr05 Mar24 Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 (delany sarah)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of THREE GRACES by DONERAILE COURT)
 
EVD-2   04/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN AWAY SON Apr12 Dec08 Nov24 Jul22 Apr30 (nichols bessie)DEONAUTH P 117 20.00    
SCR  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Jun23 May19 Apr13 Feb25 Dec10 (chatters ben)QUILES ANTONIO 117 3.00    
B W P SPIRIT Oct25 Aug26 Aug10 Jul29 May26 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 6.00 6% 16.70    
DREAMER'S DISEASE Apr11 Mar01 Jan14 Dec22 Nov05 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
PAYOFF CYCLE Apr12 Feb29 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 20% 4.10    
J B GRAY Apr05 Mar07 Feb13 Jan11 Dec21 (balderas al)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 12.00    
TRAELEE Feb21 Feb01 Dec21 Aug11 Jul08 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 15.00    
SUN SQUALL Apr05 Jan21 May13 Apr21 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-3   04/26/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING I Mar02 Feb15 Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 (west henry)STOKES A 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  CUSTOM COMEDY Feb22 Dec29 Dec08 Nov25 Mar25 (terre david)STOKES J 120 2.50    
MISSHEARTBREAKER Feb07 Jan12 Jul29 Jun24 Dec07 (delahoussaye br)MCMAHON J 123 15.00    
MO DIXIE DIVA Feb23 Feb01 Mar15 Feb23 Jan20 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
APRIORITY GIRL Apr05 Mar02 Feb01 Dec18 Nov16 (west henry)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
CALERA LOVE Mar14 Nov03 Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
TROSKA Feb01 Dec18 Nov21 Oct25 Aug12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
EVD-4   04/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN AMERICAN Apr11 Mar24 Feb09 Jan06 Dec27 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 4.00 16% 5.10    
COUNTRY LADY Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 2.00 24% 3.20    
MARY JACK Apr11 Mar14 Mar01 Jan27 Jan06 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 120 2.50 24% 3.30    
BAR TAP Mar14 Mar02 Feb15 Dec30 Dec06 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
HOLY WAR Feb17 Jan26 Dec18 Feb03 Jan13 (west henry)STOKES A 117 20.00    
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Mar21 Feb29 Jan04 Dec15 Aug26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
FOLLOW THE SAINT Feb23 Jan05 Nov18 Oct21 Jul29 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
GIRL THIRSTY Feb24 Feb03 Dec19 Dec02 Nov18 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
 
EVD-5   04/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANKTON'S COWGIRL Mar13 Feb15 Jan19 Dec15   (landry ra)POMPELL L 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
RUNLIKELANIE Feb15 Jan19 Dec09     (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 123 8.00    
CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Apr06 Feb08 Jan15 Dec10 Apr08 (lee don)FUSILIER C 123 2.50    
NEW DESTINY Apr13 Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 Nov01 (larrosa a)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
LAWLESS TIMES Mar20 Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 Nov08 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
PORTO DEL ACE Apr06 Feb15 Dec27 Nov08 Aug11 (averett ronnie)STOKES J 123 15.00    
CIRCLE UP Mar14 Feb10 Jan11 Dec08   (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
SARAH'S COURT Apr11 Feb29 Feb15 Jan18 Dec09 (landry ray)ROSIER R 118 5.00 7% 13.50    
MEGANS MILLIONS Apr06 Feb15 Feb03 Jan04 Dec06 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
10  RUNTOLIVE Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Nov03 Oct16 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 10.00    
 
EVD-6   04/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Apr10 Mar23 Mar07 Dec09 Nov17 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
GARFISH Apr06 Mar08 Feb08     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 2.00 56% 0.80    
CARPIS Feb24 Feb08 Dec31 Dec09   (david b)THORNTON G 117 2.50 20% 3.90    
COURT JESTER Feb24 Jan19 Dec09 Oct26   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
PRODIGY PARADISE Feb16 Jan19 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Apr10 Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Jan04 (knudsen kent)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00    
FREDDIE BY A NOSE Mar15 Feb23 Feb13 Nov25   (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   04/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE HYPE Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
BETISON Feb17 Feb02 Dec06 Oct21 Jul27 (brinkman bre)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
GOODNIGHTLOVING Aug03 Jul06 Apr28 Apr15 Feb11 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
HARLANS WARRIOR Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Jul14 Jun08 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
MACEE Apr06 Mar13 Feb25 Jan25 Jan05 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 120 8.00    
FASTED Apr06 Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 123 3.00    
FOUR PRINCESSES Apr06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 Nov25 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
ASHLEY'S GIRL Apr11 Feb25 Jan12 Dec27 Oct13 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 120 15.00    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Apr11 Feb22 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 123 20.00    
 
EVD-8   04/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Apr06 Feb15 Jan20 Jan04 Dec06 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
FRENCH FRANC (FR) Feb11 Jan03 Dec22 Sep22 Jul23 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
MISS TULSA Mar16 Feb16 Feb03 Dec30 Nov15 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
CAVE CREEK Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Dec19 (dussette alvin)ROSIER R 118 6.00    
BOX OF PICTURES Mar03 Feb03 Nov17 Aug04 Jun04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOR HARPER Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Dec01 Aug27 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
DADDY HEY DADDY Mar01 Sep03 Aug19 Apr22 Dec09 (garcia luis)STOKES J 115 12.00    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Apr18 Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 Dec21 (claire alexis)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
ROYA Mar22 Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SAENZ Mar02 Feb15 Dec30 Nov25 Aug26 (mojica edit)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00    
 
EVD-9   04/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Apr05 Mar14 Feb07 Jan20 Dec28 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHY PREMO Feb09 Dec14 Oct26 Oct14 Aug10 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
HOME VISIT Apr11 Feb24 Jan26 Oct20 Sep15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Apr05 Mar13 Feb13 Feb01 Jan11 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
UNFATHOMED Apr11 Mar13 Feb09 Dec18 Nov18 (broberg karl)STOKES J 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Apr17 Mar13 Feb18 Feb01 Nov10 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
SCR  RUN ROCKET Apr11 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
SCR  INSPECTOR ED Mar07 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 Nov24 (knudsen kent)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
PERFECT PERIGEE Apr12 Aug04 Jul14 Jun19 May29 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.