Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - April 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/3/1/5)-(7/8/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(7/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(7/8/4/1)-(6/3/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-3   WIN (7/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/1)-(7/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/1)-(7/8/4/1)-(7/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/1)-(6/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/1)-(6/3/7/4)-(1/2/3/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4/2)-(6/3/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(1/2/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(1/2/3/4/9)-(3/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (1/2/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/4/9)-(1/2/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4/9)-(1/2/3/4/9)-(1/2/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/3/4/9)-(3/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/4/9)-(3/11/8)-(4/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/8)-(3/11/8/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/8)-(3/11/8/4/10)-(3/11/8/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/11/8)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11/8)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/5/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6/9)-(4/3/2/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(4/5/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/5/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/11/10)-(4/5/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/11/10)-(4/5/8/11/10)-(4/5/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINGERS Feb28 Sep28 Sep14 Jul27 Jun30 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 8.00    
DEVILS RED Oct01 Sep13 Aug20 Aug06 Jun30 (finucane richard)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
GOLD BUCKLE Nov16 Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Aug09 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 6.00    
SCR  WELLMAN Feb16 Jan28 Nov22 Oct01 Jul11 (garcia ge)CORREA L 122 2.50    
FLOWERPECKER Nov17 Oct31 Sep20 Aug22 Aug10 (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 119 4.50 40% 1.50    
RANDELLO Feb02 Jan25 Dec16 Nov03 Sep27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
J W RUCKUS Mar28 Mar09 Feb10 Jan25 Jan12 (livers charl)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 5.00    
 
IND-2   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHER Oct18 Sep28 Sep08     (klopp randy)ROMAN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CADILLAC KELLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  KATIECO         (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 121 12.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SHE'S ALOTTA WOMAN by BIG BROWN)
LIL GIN N CLASS Dec16 Nov09 Oct18 Sep08   (egglest)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 14% 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of GINNY'S CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
SHAGGY KITTY         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00    
  (by SHAGAF out of KITTY PURRY by EVEN THE SCORE)
MOLLY'S AUSSIE         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
LILMORECRAKEN Nov07 Oct04 Aug19 Jul11   (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of LIL MORESUMMERTIME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CAROUSING Feb28         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PERFECT KAY by KANTHAROS)
COZY GAL Mar30         (davis joseph)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 12.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of SHEZA COZY GAL by PASS RUSH)
PEWTER'S PROMISE Mar24 Feb24 Nov09 Jul21   (lauer micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PRIZE WINNER by PURE PRIZE)
 
IND-3   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT LIVIN Feb24 Feb15 Jan04 Dec01 Nov10 (labra rogelio)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHANGHAI EXPRESS Mar17 Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50    
TU CHA Jan13 Dec16 Oct30 Oct04 Aug26 (roussel j)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
THE KID PATAKY Oct28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul06   (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00 9% 9.80    
JURADICIAL Mar28 Feb15 Jan04 Oct28 Oct10 (pino v)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
GOODY FOUR SHOES Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
FOREVER PINK Nov10 Oct28 Oct10 Sep11   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
FOREVER NOTED Oct28 Jun07 May17 Apr25 Nov17 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
IND-4   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S BOY Jun17 May15 May08     (mullins scott)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 20.00    
GREEWHIZ Apr08 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
SINGLE DIP         (klopp randy)MORALES JOSHUA 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
SAKRA'S PROMISE         (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 110 6.00 5% 19.00    
YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Nov09 Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00    
ANDELE ANDELE Nov01 Oct11 Sep08 Aug17 Aug02 (duran antonio)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  CALL ME KAT         (sanchez)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
ZACH Nov14         (haran john)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
TANEYCOMO Nov13 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug16 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 124 30.00    
10  THREE TWO RUN Nov17 Nov09 Oct09 Nov01 Oct25 (anthony david)HISBY RONALD 124 15.00    
11  STAR REVIEW Nov09 Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 Aug03 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
IND-5   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALOSHES         (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of ACCESSORIZING by OLD FASHIONED)
SPOONER         (klopp randy)ROMAN A 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
OCHO'S SECRET         (eggle)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
  (by OCHO OCHO OCHO out of SECRET INTENT by BROKEN VOW)
GOT THE LIFE         (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 10% 9.40    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of INITIATION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SHIPSHEWANA Oct18 Sep08 Aug19 Jul21   (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ANGEL CHOIR by STAR CAT)
OUTLAW WOMAN Mar01 Jan03 Nov09     (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of TRIP TO THE STARS by TRIPPI)
WHO NOT WHAT Nov09 Sep08       (lauer m)PILARES P 121 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of ONE WISE LADY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
LA FLAKA Sep08 Aug19 Jul21     (gonzalez lil)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TAZMANIAN ANGEL by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
INSPIRED FIRE Jul21         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 121 6.00 5% 18.10    
  (by FIRING LINE out of SPOUSAL PRIVILEGE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  CHANNAH DEL MAR Nov09 Oct23 Sep28 Sep08 Aug19 (paquette i)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of VISTA DEL MAR by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
IND-6   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOO DEVIL         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of DEVILS DRAGONFLY by DEVIL ON ICE)
KOBE W Aug27         (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 122 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TIPPERARY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
LINZER Mar06 Jan18 Dec22 Oct29 Oct07 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MACAROON by TAPIT)
SHARON'S PRINCE Feb17 Jan31 Jan06 Dec06 Oct12 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
FULL ARMOR Nov25         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of MISS TATTLE TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
DASHED Feb23 Feb09 Jan26     (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MATTIE ROSS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LOMA PALOMA Aug27         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CANDYMAKESMESMILE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
AZTECA'S GOLD Nov07 Oct11 Sep25     (lacroix gene)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of WANTA GO by APTITUDE)
MR. MELO Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Aug08 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of DE MELO by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
10  D' PISTOL         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of D' ELEGANCE by EL CORREDOR)
11  SMACKDOWN         (asmussen )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80 27% 2.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROAD OF HONOR by CAHILL ROAD)
 
IND-7   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL ROSILLO Feb22 Feb09 Dec13 Oct16 Sep20 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 8.00    
HOMERUNHAPPY Dec20 Nov08 Oct02 Aug30 Aug15 (o'donnell mar)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 7% 12.80    
MOLLY'S TOWN Dec08 Nov25 Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 (garcia )DE CRUZ 115 3.50 29% 2.50    
NEW YEAR'S FEVER Aug30 Aug05 Jul05 May22 Apr27 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  EL CUERVO FELIS Mar08 Jan24 Dec05 Nov02 Oct16 (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 12.00    
PICKLE FEET Nov15 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 May03 (eggleston tim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STONE'S THROW Mar08 Feb01 Dec28 Dec08   (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Sep12 Aug18 Jul09 May29 May11 (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
BUTCH'S BEST Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 Aug03 Jul08 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
10  KING ME Dec01 Sep22 Jul22 Jun18 Sep30 (littlefiel)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 20.00    
11  MEADOW VALUE Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 Dec29 Dec15 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 15.00    
 
IND-8   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN WILLIE Mar22 Feb23 Jan26     (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD Mar29 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14   (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 8.00    
BEKHAMBOY Aug20 Aug06 Jul15     (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
CENTAURO Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Dec28 Dec07 (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
LOBO SALVAJE Jan05 Dec27 Oct31     (bahena )DE CRUZ 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
PRINCE OF PENNIES Dec07 Oct31 Oct16 Sep06 Aug04 (elliott mich)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 10.00    
FREAKY Z Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan06 Dec09 (hancock dana)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00    
SERGEANT GUMP         (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
MO ANGELL Mar28 Mar16 Mar03 Nov17 Nov01 (haran john)PAULY SUMMER 114 15.00    
10  BE RUTHLESS Oct31 Sep18 Aug03 Jul13 Oct11 (torres erick )CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  CAMPBELL COVERS         (molloy thomas)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
12  TINO Mar21 Mar08 Jan25 Jan04   (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
13  BALLYCOTTON BAY Feb23 Feb02 Jan11     (klopp randy)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00    
SCR  ONLY FRANK KNOWS         (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.