Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/6)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/6)-(4/6/7/2)-(5/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/2)-(5/4/9)-(6/1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/2)-(5/4/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(6/1/5/3)-(2/1/9/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(2/1/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/3)-(2/1/9/7/5)-(4/5/2/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/7/5)-(2/1/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/7/5)-(2/1/9/7/5)-(2/1/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/9/7/5)-(4/5/2/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9/7/5)-(4/5/2/7/9)-(8/7/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/7/9)-(4/5/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/7/9)-(4/5/2/7/9)-(4/5/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/2/7/9)-(8/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/7/9)-(8/7/3)-(4/10/6/9/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1/9)-(8/7/3/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(4/10/6/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/10/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/9/1)-(4/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/9/1)-(4/10/6/9/1)-(4/10/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATEST NOTION Mar21 Feb24 Jan24 Dec16 Oct12 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.00 44% 1.30    
2  CRUSH 'N RUN Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 10.00    
3  LORD ROCKINGHAM         (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  SEATTLE PRINCE Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 Dec15 Nov25 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ASSET Mar28 Mar15 Mar06 Dec02 Oct20 (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
6  CANDY OUTLINE Mar28 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan13 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPYDYLEGS Mar08 Feb24 Jan26 Jan03 Nov26 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
CT-2   04/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF LUCK Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Dec01 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
2  BEAR'S ESTATE Feb29 Feb08 Jan18 Nov02 Oct16 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AIM FOR THE CORK Mar20 Feb28 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 3.00    
4  DE'S CASTLE Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Feb02 Dec01 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 Jan24 Dec16 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
6  DOCTOR PARDO Mar13 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Dec05 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
7  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Dec01 Nov11 (greaves vernon)REYNOLDS C 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
CT-3   04/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE Mar29 Mar13 Mar02 Feb15 Feb09 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
2  MOCEPHUS Jan31 Dec29 Dec09 Dec01 Nov16 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00 ★    
3  STRETCH THE TRUTH Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Sep30 (bass w)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
4  PRIMAL DESTINY Mar01 Jan18 Nov17 Oct21 Sep21 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
5  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Mar22 Feb23 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 117 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  I SEE THE STARS Nov24 Nov02 Sep20 Jul20 Jun30 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50    
7  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Mar13 Mar06 Feb15 Jan31 Nov29 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
8  JIMMY THE KID Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Feb01 Dec15 (martin august)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 15.00    
9  PRIZE FIGHTER Mar27 Mar06 Oct25 Oct08 Sep03 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   04/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERED BY LOVE Mar22 Mar08 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.80 19% 4.20    
2  MAKIN' GOLD Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
3  KARMA BUS Mar06 Feb23 Dec16 Nov29 Nov14 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELEANORS JACK Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Sep08 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
5  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Mar29 Nov02 Oct13     (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
6  TIME TO ROCK Feb23 Feb01 Jan13 Dec16   (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.40 47% 1.10    
7  BERTRAM FLIGHT Mar22 Mar02 Dec16 Aug17 Aug04 (boggs joanna)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   04/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTED DREAMS Mar28 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (perez ernesto)GALVAN JHAIR 116 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  NONESUCH GIRL Mar23         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ABOUND by SMART STRIKE)
3  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Mar23 Dec15 Nov24 Aug24 Jul21 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
4  MAIDENS BLUSH Nov11         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HOLIDAY APPLE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  GRAN PATRONA         (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of WHENNOONE'SLOOKING by STREET BOSS)
6  SOPHIE'S CANDY Nov09         (locklear jam)BATISTA A 116 30.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  CAST YOUR NET Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Dec20 Dec05 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
8  MISS PEARL HART Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan06 Dec15 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  KEEPEM SAFE Mar08 Feb16       (comi w)PELTROCHE F 116 2.50 8% 12.10    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KEPT by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-6   04/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IS WICKED Mar30 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (johnson deway)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 20.00    
2  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 1.80 15% 5.50    
3  LONG LEGS LOUISE Feb01 Dec14 Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 (lewis r)MAWING A 119 30.00    
4  GREATANDGOOD Mar30 Mar14 Feb17 Nov30 Nov03 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  BREAK THE CHAINS Feb16 Jan28 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  MY BOY CLYDE Mar23 Oct12 Sep17 Nov05 Oct26 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
7  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Mar14 Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
8  MOON FALL Mar14 Dec13 Nov30 Nov11 Oct13 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
9  SUMMONING DENIS Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Original Gold Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT SHADOW Mar23 Mar08 Feb10 Jan10 Dec16 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 126 10.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MALIBU KITTEN by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
2  SENECA ROCKS Mar23 Dec12 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
3  CHANGE THE WORLD Sep22 Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 Jun10 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  XANTHE Mar22 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Nov25 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of ROCHE by REPARATIONS)
5  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Mar07 Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 Aug31 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 117 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
6  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Mar23 Mar08 Feb10 Jan10 Dec16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
7  THE SKY IS FALLING Mar23 Feb17 Jan10 Oct14 Aug25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by CUPID out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
8  MAGGIE'S GIRL Mar29 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 126 1.60 63% 0.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MAGINOT LINE by FIRST DEFENCE)
9  AZZURRA Mar08 Feb10 Jan24 Jan10 Dec16 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 126 6.00 ★    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of WILD IN MANILA by WILD RUSH)
10  JUBA'S PARADE Mar23 Jan27 Jan12 Nov04 Oct14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
 
CT-8   04/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Mar08 Feb02 Jan10 Dec22 Nov24 (agnew naoise)BATISTA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPERSTITIEUX Apr04 Mar22 Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 1.60    
3  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Mar13 Feb25 Feb07 Dec08 Nov25 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
4  REY O REYES Apr04 Feb28 Feb08 Dec06 Nov18 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  HIS ROYAL G Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Dec29 Dec09 (perez e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  NOTION TO TAPIT Mar23 Feb14 Jan05 Nov29 Nov12 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Mar27 Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Dec21 (lucas bonnie)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
8  SPRITZER Mar16 Mar01 Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
9  TAPIO (IRE) Mar23 Feb21 Jan27 Jan11 Dec02 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
10  GOLDEN APPEAL Mar22 Feb29 Jan25 Nov22 Nov08 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.