Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/3/6)-(5/1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(4/5/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(4/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(4/5/6/1)-(8/3/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/1)-(8/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/1)-(8/3/1/7)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/7)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/7)-(2/1/4)-(2/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/3/4/1)-(10/12/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/9/1)-(2/3/4/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1)-(10/12/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/1)-(10/12/7/2)-(9/7/6/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/12/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/7/2)-(10/12/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/12/7/2)-(10/12/7/2/3)-(10/12/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/12/7/2)-(9/7/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/7/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/10)-(9/7/6/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/10)-(9/7/6/10/8)-(9/7/6/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENRIC Feb24 Dec24 Jul01 May03 Apr12 (davis n)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 12.00    
2  IM STILL BRAVE Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 Jan27 (torres)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 3.00    
3  FIRELANE Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 (lusk r)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
4  SEAX Mar24 Mar08 Feb16 Feb07 Jan27 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 125 6.00 9% 10.70    
5  ALCAZABA (IRE) Mar08 Feb21 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.20 42% 1.40    
6  THREE WOLVES Apr28         (stormfelt ju)ARROYO S 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  DASH TO FINISH Mar24 Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 Dec29 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 120 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT FACES Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 6.00    
2  HERCULES Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Jan06 Dec22 (james geral)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00    
3  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Feb17 Jan28 Dec20 Jul20 Jun25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  GONE NUTS Mar28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec15 Nov17 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
5  YES I'M A BEAST Feb18 Feb07 Nov22 Nov05 May27 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 121 0.80 36% 1.80    
6  HE'S IN CHARGE Mar13 Feb14 Feb04 Jan05 Dec13 (correa ma)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 6% 16.20    
 
TAM-3   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM KNIGHT Mar06 Feb28 Dec01 Oct15 Aug25 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  CAJUN HOPE Mar10 Feb17 Jan17 Dec10 Oct01 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  GENERAL COMMAND Mar24 Mar10 Feb14 Jan06 Dec13 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.50    
4  O ROMEO Mar10 Dec15 Nov21 Nov01 Oct05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 8.00    
5  MEAN TWEETS Mar29 Mar06 Feb17 Feb03 Jan14 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  THOUSAND LOVES Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (cascallares nestor)BUSH V 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  DISCREET DEVIL Mar10 Feb21 Dec13 Dec01 Nov12 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 125 5.00    
 
TAM-4   04/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A MESS Mar02 Sep18 Aug18 Jul25 Jun06 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Aug20 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 Apr16 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 12.00    
3  MR. HUSTLE Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan10 Dec13 (ness jamie)CENTENO E 118 4.50    
4  EYES ON THE KING Feb16 Jan27 Dec23 Nov04 Sep03 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
5  DRAMA CHORUS Jun21 Apr16 Mar26 Mar01 Feb04 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.50 12% 7.00    
6  GOLDEN GLIDER Mar01 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Dec26 (casse mark)FERRER C 118 6.00 7% 12.50    
7  MOHS Mar01 Feb03 Dec24 Apr16 Sep05 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   04/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFUGIADA Mar14 Nov10 Oct13 Sep22   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BEIRA Mar28 Mar14 Feb04 Dec15 Oct20 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
3  FACTORBELLA Feb10 Jan03 Sep04 Aug13 Jul15 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Sep25 Aug30 Jul17     (kintz matt)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
5  A PRIMERA VISTA Mar09 Jan03 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
6  ESCAPE ROOM Feb11 Jan12 Dec15 Nov10 Oct13 (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
7  RUNAWAY DIVA Mar15 Jan13 Dec20     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIKITIS Feb03 Dec01 Sep28 Sep03 Aug13 (brown ch)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
TAM-6   04/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR LUMPALOT Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 Jan19 Jan05 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  SMILE BRYAN Mar16 Mar03 Feb04 Jan19 Aug26 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  THE BEARRISH ONE Mar17 Feb04 Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.00 ★    
4  TOMMY BEE Mar24 Mar08 Jan04 Oct22 Aug25 (kintz matthew)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALVY Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 Jan13 Jan03 (mendieta ale)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
SCR  VILLAGE PREACHER Mar22 Feb25 Feb02 Dec22 Dec06 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
7  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 Jan17 Dec16 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00    
8  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Mar24 Dec01 Sep01 Jun09 May06 (dominguez lui)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
 
TAM-7   04/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER A FEW Mar16 Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 (smith craig )BATISTA A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WORLD TRAVELER Jan31 Dec15 Nov24 Sep04 Aug16 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  CUPID'S STRIKE Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 Nov18 Oct15 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  SINGALONG KAYLA Feb25 Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Sep22 (carvajal luis )CASTANON L 119 3.50 7% 14.20    
5  ALEXA'S DREAM Mar16 Jan31 Jan21 Dec09 Nov25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
6  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Nov23 Nov09 Oct05 Sep06 Aug23 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP Mar16 Feb10 Dec22 Oct28 Oct12 (carvajal luis)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
8  AZTEC PRINCESS Feb25 Oct24 Oct05 Sep06 Aug21 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
9  LALOBA FEROZ Mar16 Feb16 Nov24 Oct20 Aug19 (cascallares ne)COTTO L 119 6.00 ★    
10  MORENA DANCER Mar16 Mar03 Feb18 Feb09 Dec31 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 119 30.00    
SCR  FABULOUS CANDY Mar10 Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 Aug09 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.00    
 
TAM-8   04/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RAIN IS COMING Feb07 Jan10 Dec09     (marrero n)HERRERA R 125 15.00    
2  LITTLE KENDALL         (romero rafa)VILLASMIL EDGAR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR OF SARAH Mar16 Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 Mar01 (lilly p)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00 ★    
4  RAICHU Mar23 Mar16 Mar02 Feb07 Jan07 (avila ca)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00    
5  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Mar22 Feb18 Jan14 Dec22 Dec07 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00    
6  MS EXCUSE Mar23 Nov22 Nov08 Oct08 Sep13 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 125 20.00    
7  SHE CAN SCAT Mar06 Feb10 Jan21 Dec28 Dec07 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
8  BET THE HOWES Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 Aug18 Jun22 (bowersock ma)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 8.00    
9  LA DE PELUCHE Mar23 Jul07 May28 Sep10   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 125 12.00    
10  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Mar16 Feb18 Feb07 Jan14 Dec13 (gonzalez ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 3.50 49% 1.10    
11  WOW LADY Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 Jan14 Dec30 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
12  BOCCABELLA Mar27 Feb28 Jan31     (gonzalez alda)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-9   04/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Oct11 Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 Apr07 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
2  RANSEUR Mar01 Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 Oct19 (carva)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
3  LE GRIFFON Oct12 Sep17 Jul14 May27 Sep07 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
4  BALLINDINE Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
5  PRINCE GHOST Mar23 Mar03 May20 Apr30 Jan11 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00    
6  STORMY VICTORY Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Dec31 Oct20 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  LAPINSKI UNION Mar16 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
8  PRALINE'S CAT Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 5.00 ★    
9  TORO FORWARD Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 (aguayo ramon)ALLEN D 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
10  KING MIANO Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 Jan24 Dec30 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Mar22 Jan11 Jan04 Dec15 Oct12 (mcgoey m)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
SCR  DRUM AND DRUMMER Mar24 Oct06 Sep06 Aug26 Aug02 (mcgoey mo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BIZ Mar20 Mar01 Feb21 Feb11 Dec01 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Mar30 Mar03 Jan24 Jan06 Dec22 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.