Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/5)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/5)-(7/2/1/3)-(3/5/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(3/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/5/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/4/7)-(7/4/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(7/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(7/4/3/8)-(2/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(2/3/9)-(2/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/9)-(2/3/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/9)-(2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/9)-(2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9)-(2/5/8)-(4/10/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(4/10/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/10/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/9)-(4/10/8/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/9)-(4/10/8/7/9)-(4/10/8/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTPARTY Feb17 Dec31 Apr28 Apr10 Jan30 (allen ferris)MENA E 124 4.00    
2  KAP HOORN Mar06 Feb14 Jan19 Dec08   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  HEY MACARENA Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 (pennella m)MAWING A 124 20.00    
4  HERECOMESPUDD Mar07 Nov02 Sep06 Aug02 Jul13 (oxendine adam)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
5  FOXEY G Mar14 Feb29 Dec20     (kravets b)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STATELY APRIL Mar27 Mar15 Feb24 Feb02 Jan14 (rose da)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 4.50 6% 17.10    
7  LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Dec22 Nov17 (mcmahon hugh)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
8  TROUBLED DREAMS Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Sep01 (mckenz)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
CT-2   04/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY FLAMINGO Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 Nov24 Oct05 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
2  LIVANA Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
3  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Feb24 Jan13 Dec06 Oct12   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PALACIO Mar27 Feb28 Feb17 Feb07 Jan27 (tobin l)MAWING A 122 12.00    
5  TUESDAY TOO Mar15 Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Nov18 (kopecki e)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
6  STORMI VANNA Mar06 Feb14 Nov30 Nov01 Sep15 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
7  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Mar06 Feb14 Jan27 Jan05 Nov02 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 1.40 51% 1.00    
 
CT-3   04/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIA FORMOSA Mar23 Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00 5% 18.40    
2  REZQUIA Mar21 Mar06 Feb01     (kravets b)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
3  WICKED KITTEN Mar13 Feb14 Dec27 Nov30 Oct29 (allen ferris)MENA E 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  EARLY         (crane clo)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
5  CALIFORNIA CODE Feb04 Dec03 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 2.00 12% 7.60    
6  PATARA Feb24 Jan14       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
7  SUPER SNEAKY Mar14 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec02 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
8  SELES Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Jan24 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-4   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLBANK MAN Mar21 Mar13 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 (cooper stacey)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
SCR  STAVANGER Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
3  BON BUENO Feb16 Feb01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 117 1.20 35% 1.90    
4  LET FREEDOM SPRING Mar13 Sep09 Aug17 Jul16 Jun04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
5  SUPERSTITIEUX Mar22 Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 Dec13 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
6  AKINGISALWAYSKING Mar20 Mar13 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 122 30.00    
7  SIR SMOAK Feb21 Jan31 Dec13 Nov25 Nov15 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
8  SCHMEAR Mar13 Feb21 Jan10 Dec07 Nov08 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
 
CT-5   04/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P B FOXY Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14   (venham d)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
2  GOLDEN RUN Mar27 Mar13       (collins t)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
3  CRYSTAL         (albrig)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 10.00 11% 8.50    
4  NOBLE OBSESSION Mar13 Feb23 Feb14 Jan04 Nov09 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  BOBBI TWO STEPS Mar13 Oct28 Sep29 Jul26   (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 5.00    
6  I LOVE MARIA Mar22 Mar07 Jan25 Nov29 Oct26 (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
7  SYBARITE Mar27 Mar09 Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 1.00 42% 1.40    
8  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Feb09         (crane clo)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEG UP Mar28 Mar06 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 (hanagan g)MAYHEW W 120 20.00    
2  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  NEVER COMPROMISE Mar07 Feb07 Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  GOLDEN APPEAL Mar22 Feb29 Jan25 Nov22 Nov08 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
5  MACHEN'S RIDGE Mar29 Feb23 Dec09 Nov29 Nov18 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  MASTER THIS Mar07 Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 Dec13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00    
7  SARGENT KOBE Mar16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
8  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Mar16 Feb07 Jan25 Nov22 Oct18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 ★    
9  REY O REYES Feb28 Feb08 Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   04/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN SYMPHONY Mar16 Feb07 Jun06     (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 ★    
2  VAGABOND VIRGIN Mar14 Feb22 Dec09 Nov01 Oct18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  BREAK THE CHAINS Feb16 Jan28 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
4  ROAD SLEW Mar15 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
5  PAYMENGOLD Mar14 Feb23 Feb01 Dec08 Dec01 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
6  PLAY IT LOUD Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Feb01 Oct25 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
7  ARROGANT RIDER Mar15 Feb02 Dec30 May20 May06 (pickett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
8  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   04/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CORONA Mar09 Feb17 Jan31 Dec15 Aug03 (aylor william )REAP E 120 30.00    
2  TAP THE KEG Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan26 Dec15 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50    
3  SUPER MONEY Mar20 Feb18 Jan31 Dec02 Nov19 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
4  BREAKING BULLET Feb09 Jan10 Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  LUNA WEST Mar14 Feb23 Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
6  DISCO DAISY Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan12 (kravets b)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
7  QUEEN P Dec16 Sep09 Aug05     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PANTHER COMMAND Feb02 Nov18 Nov02 Sep06 Jul01 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 ★    
9  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Mar14 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SERENADE SOLDIER Mar14 Feb21 Feb09 Oct08 Sep15 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 117 3.00 7% 12.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.