Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - March 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/4/2/9)-(4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/9)-(5/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/9)-(5/4/2/9)-(5/4/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/9)-(4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/9)-(4/6/7)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(2/1/4)-(9/7/6/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(9/7/6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(9/7/6/3/4)-(2/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-5   WIN (9/7/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/3/4)-(9/7/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/3/4)-(9/7/6/3/4)-(9/7/6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/6/3/4)-(2/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/3/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/8/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/8/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/8/10/1)-(3/1/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/8/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/1)-(2/8/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/1)-(2/8/10/1)-(2/8/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/10/1)-(3/1/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/4)-(3/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/4)-(3/1/9/4)-(3/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLA MIA Feb23 Feb02 Jun11 May20 May05 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 6.00 9% 10.50    
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 Oct25 Aug26 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 3.00    
3  KEEP THE BLING Feb19 Jan13 Nov09 Oct05 Sep08 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00    
4  SOARING LADY Feb16 Feb03 Nov08 Sep29   (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.00 65% 0.50    
5  SING IT BESSIE Jan20 Jun25 May05 Apr02 Jul21 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUD GIRL Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Jun03 Apr01 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00    
 
HOU-2   03/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINTBRUSH Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 Sep04 (g)DE CRUZ 121 3.00    
2  STREET TAPPER Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 Nov02 Aug25 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 15% 5.50    
3  AUTOSTRADA (CHI) Feb18 Nov21 Oct26 Oct07 Jul02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 20.00    
4  QUINN ELLA Feb18 Feb02 Dec10 Nov25 Aug20 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  SUPER CINDY Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Nov24 Nov08 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  NORDIC QUEEN Feb25 Feb03 Nov08 Sep22 May29 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  RUBY THE DESTROYER Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 Nov21 Oct20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
8  ROYA Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Jan06 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
9  SWANAGE Feb18 Feb04 Jan19 Nov01 Oct25 (scholl )GONCALVES R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   03/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRATTON Feb23 Aug06 May28 May12 Apr08 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.50    
SCR  RED BIRD'S STORM Feb11 Feb02 May27 May14 Apr29 (g)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
3  DETECTIVE BERNARDO Feb11 Feb17 Jan21 Sep27 Aug28 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
4  CREATIVE MIRACLE Feb03 Jan05 Dec19 Oct11 Sep16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  HARRY Feb11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (roubi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 20.00    
6  BOARD CERTIFIED Feb18 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
7  BIG PAPER DADDY Sep16 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AARON'S SPIRIT Feb11 Jan19 Dec16 Nov20 Oct19 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
 
HOU-4   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE SWORD Feb17 Jan19 Dec20 Nov30 Oct13 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 4.50 33% 2.00    
2  PINKY RING BLING Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  JALEN JOURNEY Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 0.60    
4  WORDS OF WISDOM Feb18 Dec07 Nov18 Oct27 Oct12 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CROW'S NEST Mar02 Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 Nov17 (a)DE CRUZ 119 50.00    
6  AMERICAN CODE Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Dec08 Nov15 (ruggeri nico)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
 
HOU-5   03/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNA STRIKE Jan28 Jan12 Nov08 Oct19 Oct06 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 15.00    
2  SPIN WHEEL Mar02 Feb03 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00    
3  BAY BE GONE Feb18 Feb02 Jan12 Nov09 Sep11 (g)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
4  WHITEROSE JEWEL Feb18 Jan19 Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  VARSITY Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
6  TAKE FLIGHT Jan28 Jan12 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
7  GOOD SWIMMER Feb18 Jan28 Feb19 Jan15 Nov05 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
8  DECLARE WAR Feb25 Jan28 Jan05 Sep10 Aug29 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 121 30.00    
9  GLENDALE Feb18 Feb02 Jan06 Nov17 Oct26 (cravens ronn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
HOU-6   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE NEIGHBOR Dec15 Nov25 Oct20 Sep21 Feb18 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  TITLED LADY Dec01 Oct12 Sep08 Aug19 May11 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
3  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Feb10 Dec08 Nov04 Oct25 Sep09 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.00    
4  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Feb10 Dec15 Oct26 Aug31 May28 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PEEK FACTOR Feb17 Jan20 Dec07 Oct25 Oct06 (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.50    
6  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Feb17 Jan20 Jul01 May29 May20 (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
 
HOU-7   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET OF HOOF Jan28 Jan04 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  EMPERADOR Feb23 Feb11 Nov10 Jul31 Jun29 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 1.80 33% 2.10    
SCR  SMOKIN WILLIE Feb02 Jan13 May29 May04 Feb21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec20 Dec09 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 10.00    
5  RISKY PRIORITY Feb23 Jan27 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
6  HE SAID WAIT Feb18 Jan13 Dec09 Jan28 Dec02 (castellan)TRIANA JR 121 20.00    
7  GRAPNEL Feb02 Jan13 Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00    
8  WICKED AGAIN Feb18 Jan26 Dec16 Nov05 Oct08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50 20% 4.10    
9  BALI ROLLING TIDE Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 (werneth a)DIEGO V 121 30.00    
10  FIRST LINE Feb18 Jan21 Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
HOU-8   03/10/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY OF THE FAMILY         (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 15.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
2  WAVE AFTER WAVE Jan20 Oct28 Aug06     (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 3.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of CANDYBEDANDY by HOLY BULL)
3  ALL JACKED UP         (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SHAYEVILLE SLEW by CAPE CANAVERAL)
4  TIZ FABULOUS Jan20 Dec01 Nov04     (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MEDAGLIA D'ARGENTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  BRILLIANT SPIN Jan13 Dec01 Oct26     (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
6  TRAVIS Jan20 Dec02 Nov18 Oct07   (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 2.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of FOREVER SINCE by SUPREME CAT)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Dec29 Sep11 Aug05 Jun03 Feb10 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  WOODY'S CHOICE Jan20 Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 Aug26 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of MA PETITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  FLASH HUMOR         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LOCUM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.