Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/6/8)-(4/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/8)-(5/6/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8)-(5/6/8/7/1)-(5/6/8/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/8)-(4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8)-(4/1/8)-(8/4/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(8/4/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(8/4/10/9)-(8/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/10/9)-(8/4/10/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/10/9)-(8/4/10/7/9)-(8/4/10/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/10/9)-(8/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/10/9)-(8/3/4/5)-(6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/5)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/5)-(6/3/1)-(7/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(7/5/2)-(6/2/5/11/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(6/2/5/11/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(6/2/5/11/1)-(8/6/10/1/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/2/5/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/11/1)-(6/2/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/11/1)-(6/2/5/11/1)-(6/2/5/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/5/11/1)-(8/6/10/1/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/6/10/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/10/1/11)-(8/6/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/10/1/11)-(8/6/10/1/11)-(8/6/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS EASY Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 Oct03 Sep20 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 5.00    
2  IMMORTALLOVE Dec20 Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Aug10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  OSCAR GAZE Dec29 Dec01 Sep16 Sep04 Jul14 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.00    
4  BURN THE BREEZE Feb03 Dec16 Nov24 Oct20 Sep24 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
5  ELISSA JOE Dec29 Nov29 Nov03 Sep22 Sep02 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 13% 6.90    
6  BEATIFUL KARLA Feb03 Oct14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul14 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
TAM-2   02/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Jan28 Jan17 Dec23 Dec08 Nov22 (munoz car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00 ★    
2  COURT STAR Jan20         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
3  VAI GATTINA Jan28 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Sep20 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 30.00    
4  ALTHENA Jan28 Jan17 Dec30 Dec15 Dec02 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
5  MY LORDS LADYNESS Jan03         (ness jam)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  PRINCESS ALESKA Feb04 Dec31 Dec02 Oct25   (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
7  TAKE THE COOKIES Jan20 Dec09 Oct07 Aug17   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 ★    
8  SHAMU Jan20 Dec15 Sep15     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  LIME TREE Jan28 Jan20       (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
10  SUMMER FLOWER Jan28 Dec15 Dec02 Sep16 Aug27 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO SEXY Jan05 Dec02 Sep15     (bennett g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 5.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
SCR  APRIL APRIL Feb02 Jan07 Jun16 May25   (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
SCR  TURBO MILLIE Jan14 Jan03 Nov09 Oct12 Sep09 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
 
TAM-3   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY FOR ACTION Jan20 Oct03 Aug17 Jul03   (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  MR. LEFTY Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 Nov22 Sep06 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
3  CALL EM KARL Feb07 Jan07 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
4  CHARLIE'S COPY Jan31         (gonzalez javie)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  EJTIMAA Feb04 Sep08       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  MELODY WIN Oct27 Aug25 Jul27     (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
7  DRINKIN N DREAMING Dec29 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16   (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
8  CHARLICITO         (cascallar)HERRERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   02/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOONIE Aug18         (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEETTRICKYDANCER by GREEN DANCER)
2  CUBANO LIBRE (IRE) Jan26         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ROSE OF MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GROG         (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SQUEEZE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  GRAN YACO Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Oct26 Sep03 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MIDNITE MUSKET Jan27 Dec24       (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
  (by STANFORD out of RANGEY LIL by LION HEART)
6  LATIN FORCE Jan27 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10   (house gary)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
7  HURRICANE EXPRESS (FR)         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HOMERIQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  FACTOR ANALYSIS         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TWO STEP SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  POUND THE ROCK Jan05         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENS STAIRWAY by DECARCHY)
10  A G DIAMOND Jan27 Nov18 Sep09 Jul27 Jun17 (casca)DOMINGUEZ G 120 10.00 5% 18.70    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  ATROCIOUS Jan14         (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
SCR  FRIZZANTE Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Aug17 Jul19 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
SCR  LIVE TO RIDE (GB) Jan20 Oct26 Sep28     (walsh brend)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of MILITANTE by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  ZEKE'S HEART         (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EMERALD GAL by GILDED TIME)
 
TAM-5   02/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAMBO'S RETURN Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Oct26   (clay pat)TARASENCO P 123 30.00    
2  NOMAR'S HOPE Jan24 Jan10 Dec18 Nov29 Oct25 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 123 30.00    
3  FLAVIAN Feb02 Jan13 Dec30 Apr02 Dec09 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  ROMPING RUNNER Feb07 Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 Jul09 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
5  KID EMERALD Jan17 Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 Jul03 (d'angelo)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUR DARK COURAGE Feb09 Jan17 Dec20 Dec08 Aug25 (wasiluk peter )LINDSAY CHAD 123 30.00    
7  DUKE OF DOOLY Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec20 Mar31 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.00    
8  SWING SAMMY Feb02 Jan27 Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TAM-6   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D FLASH Feb04         (jones douglas)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PRINCESS ERIS by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MITOLE'S WISH         (arriagada ju)MORELOS E 120 3.50    
  (by MITOLE out of WHAT'SMINEISMINE by MINESHAFT)
3  INCINERATOR         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PIECES OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BEAR HUNT Jan12 Dec08       (laurin roger)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of BACKSTAGE by SLEW O' GOLD)
5  FROZEN IN TIME         (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FROZEN TUNDRA by MUNNINGS)
6  VINO SANTO Jan26 Jan05       (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RETSINA by IMPERIALISM)
7  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Jan20 Dec22 Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHARMING EMMY by SKY MESA)
 
TAM-7   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX WHIPS Feb07 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Oct25 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
2  BEAST OR FAMINE Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Sep22 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FUEL THE BERN Dec16 Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00    
4  SAHM TEQUILA Jan24 Jan05 Aug27 Jul26 Jul01 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
5  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Jan28 Jan17 Dec27 Nov25 Oct02 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
6  AZTEC LEGEND Jan28 Jan07 Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 ★    
7  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Jan28 Dec20 Jul20 Jun25 May27 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 64% 0.60    
8  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Jan06 Dec15 Nov29 Nov17 Nov05 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
 
TAM-8   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL GHOST Jan24 Jan06 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 (barron rory)ALLEN D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUN HOPE Jan17 Dec10 Oct01 May14 Apr15 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  FREELANCE Jan14 Aug11 Apr29 Apr19 Mar05 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
4  ERLAN Feb03 Jan26 Dec27 Dec20 Dec06 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
5  SMASH FACTOR Jan24 Jan12 Dec13 Oct21 Oct08 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00 10% 9.50    
6  NO MORE DEBT Dec09 Oct14 Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00 42% 1.40    
7  SHAMMAH Feb04 Jun14 Jun05 Oct04 Sep20 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
8  THE GOLDEN ONE Feb04 Jan24 Jan06 Dec23 Dec13 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 12.00    
9  MEAN TWEETS Feb03 Jan14 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 4.50    
10  RUNAWAY TOM Feb03 Jan14 Jan07 Nov24 Aug19 (rodriguez ang)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
11  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Jan17 Nov17 Oct13 Sep16 Aug27 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
12  PRINCELY GOD Jan24 Jan06 Dec27 Sep01 Aug02 (smith g)LOPEZ E 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE MARCO Feb04 Apr03 Feb08     (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
 
TAM-9   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELESS BOUNTY Mar05 Feb19       (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FREE SOUL Jan21 Aug24 Aug12 Jul14 Jun10 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
3  BIG LOUIE Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Dec15 Nov22 (marino g)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 30.00    
4  JOHN JAY Jan21 Dec27 Nov22 Oct26 Sep30 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
SCR  CALLIHOO Feb03 Jan21 Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 (carmichael mi)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
6  CHARGING AERO Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 Nov03 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 111 4.50 10% 9.00    
7  TSHIEBWE Aug26 Aug07 Jun10 May02 Apr14 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
8  WORA Jan21 Nov24 Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  IMPERIAL KING Jan05 Sep06 Aug17 Apr29 Apr01 (rigattieri joh)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
10  ESTILO MAGICO Jan12 Apr15 Mar22 Feb01 Jan14 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
11  ROAD TO STARDOM Jan21 Jan10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug05 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.