Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/11/10/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(6/11/10/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(6/11/10/5/1)-(2/3/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/11/10/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/5/1)-(6/11/10/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/5/1)-(6/11/10/5/1)-(6/11/10/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/10/5/1)-(2/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/11/10/5/1)-(2/3/1/8)-(7/5/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/8)-(7/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/8)-(7/5/6/3)-(3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(3/4/2)-(5/4/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/4/1/3)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(1/6/3)-(9/8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/7/9)-(1/6/3/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(9/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-10   WIN (9/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5/10)-(9/8/4/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDONS WAVE Jan21 Jan05 Nov09 Oct21 Sep29 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 0.60 59% 0.70    
SCR  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Sep20 Sep12 (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
3  MOROLICIOUS Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Oct12 Sep23 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00    
4  RED DRAW Jan12 Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr23 (young e)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00    
5  SLIM JIMMY Jan12 Jul22 Jun22 Jun10 May13 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 30.00    
6  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jan26 Jan06 Aug27 Jul16 Jul04 (schneider eric )GLASS DERBE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  NIGHTWIND Jan12 Aug24 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
HOU-3   02/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAN FARMER Feb02 Jan20 Jan12 Jun22 Jun16 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
2  FORT HOOD Feb03 Jan12 Nov13 Oct27 Oct07 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00    
3  IMPERIAL RED BIRD Jan26 Jan05 Nov13 Nov04 Mar25 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  LUCKY PROMISE Jan26 Jan05 Dec02 Nov08 Sep09 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 7% 12.80    
5  HYPERION NORTH Jan12 Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 (t)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
6  RECKLESS RED Feb03 Jan05 Dec02 Nov21 Sep27 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  BLINGO Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov13 Jun22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
9  ZAVALA Jul15 Jun25 Jun02 May05 Apr23 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
SCR  PLAY RULE Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 May20 ( )TBA null      
 
HOU-4   02/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT PIO Feb09 Jan28 Nov11 Oct27 Oct04 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRUCELEA Jul02 May05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 (jacks karen )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
3  LET'S GO ALAMO Sep04 Aug17 Jul21 May21 Apr23 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00    
4  JUST CHILLIN Nov30 Nov01 Oct20 Oct07 Sep15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00    
5  ALTO ROAD Feb04 Oct13 Aug24 May28 Apr29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
6  AGENT PETER GRAVES Jun23 May29 May02 Mar04 Jan19 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  STRAIGHT LUCK Nov25 Aug20 Jun11 May12 Apr16 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
8  LOUISIANA FLASH Feb02 Aug13 May22 May06 Apr07 (hurley ti)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 20.00    
SCR  AVAILABLE STAR Feb02 Jan21 Dec29 Dec13 Nov24 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 1.80    
10  DARK AFTERNOON Nov10 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 Aug26 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
11  SATURDAY'S GOLD Feb09 Jan11 Oct14 Sep29 Aug21 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
HOU-5   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACEIN Dec15 Nov28 Nov01 Jun17 Mar23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  MADAMOUSSEPOUSSE Jan20 Dec01 Nov02 Aug26 Jun24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  MAJESTIC WAYS Jan18 Aug25 May29 Apr07 Feb24 (gelner jayde )JARA FERNANDO 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Jan27 Dec07 Nov01 Sep24 Aug19 (clary rena)DIEGO V 123 3.00    
5  STAR OF THE NORTH Nov14 Sep02 Aug19 Apr24 Apr11 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 10.00    
6  TOLONDA Jan20 Jan05 Aug19 Jul01 May20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
7  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Jan20 Jul01 May29 May20 Mar25 (hurley ti)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00    
8  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jun04 Mar05 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
HOU-6   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Two Altazano Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVERTIDA Jan21 Jan06 Dec01 Nov14 Oct28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GET TIED ON by TASSO)
SCR  SUCCESSFULPATH Jan27 Jan06 Nov21 Jul02   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 4.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SIGNALPATH by ESKENDEREYA)
3  TOO MUCH DREAMING Jan06 Sep24 Aug31 Jul02 Jun03 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
4  INDY LA PRIMERA Jun03         (rangel raul)DIEGO V 117 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of I'M INDY HAVIN FUN by INDYGO MOUNTAIN)
5  HIGH TONE WOMAN Jan06         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 117 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
6  COWGIRLSLIKEBLING Jul02         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of HOWBOUTTHISCOWGIRL by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  TOO MUCH KIKI Jan27 Jan06 Dec14 Jul01 Jun03 (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 122 0.80 62% 0.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
8  DULCE AMANECER YG Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 Sep16 Sep02 (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 117 30.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
 
HOU-7   02/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Houston Turf Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IBERIAN RUNNER Feb11 Jan26 Jan06 Sep09 Aug04 (govea c)GONCALVES R 118 12.00    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
2  VIETNAM VICTORY Dec08 Nov02 Mar25 Jan28 Sep25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
3  SUNLIT SONG Jan05 Sep24 Jul01 Jun03 Mar25 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 51% 1.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLY SO TRUE by EARLY FLYER)
4  SINGAPORE FLASH Jan27 Jan05 Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 116 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of DARE TO DANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
5  EASTER SNAP Dec29 Nov17 Nov11 Nov01 Sep29 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 116 15.00 ★    
  (by ETESAAL out of SENECA SONG by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
6  MOR VICTORY Dec30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Jul03 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 118 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DEPUTY SARAH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  CRAZY RIDGE Jan21 Aug27 Aug06 Jul02 Jun10 (kotara ronald)DIEGO V 116 12.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
8  COWBOY RIDGE Jan21 Jan05 Sep11 Aug19 Jul03 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
 
HOU-8   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jim's Orbit Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED BLING Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 Oct21 Sep13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 3.50 7% 14.40    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of HERE'S THE DEAL by HALF OURS)
2  SILENT BLING Jan06 Jul03 Jun03     (g)DE CRUZ 117 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  SON OF A BLING Jan20 Jan05 Dec11 Nov06 Jun03 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 117 4.50 5% 17.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
4  BANDERA BLING Jan21 Jan06 Aug29 Aug12 Jul03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
5  HEZAKOOLKAT Jan21 Jan06 Jul03 Jun03   (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
6  OZZIES WINGS Y G Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 Jul03 Jun17 (mendoza v)WADE LYNDIE 117 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  RIPSTER Feb09 Jan27 Jan21 Jan05   (george wayne)SALAZAR TERESA 117 30.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of MISS SECRET HEART by TINNERS WAY)
8  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jan21 Jan05 Jun17 Jun03   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 117 8.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of L T RECKLESS by HENNY HUGHES)
 
HOU-9   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST David Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MONEY BAGS Aug26 Jul01 Mar25 Apr29 Mar26 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by SILVER CITY out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
2  I'M A COWBOY Jan28 Jan06 Aug26 Jul16 Jun15 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 116 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
3  DUST EM Nov14 Oct28 Oct12 Aug26 Jul01 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DUST by DIXIELAND HEAT)
4  BOBBY BRINKLEY Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 Aug19 Jul01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 116 10.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
5  GUITAR BOY Jan28 Jan06 Aug07 Jul04 Jun15 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TRICK CITY by HAT TRICK)
6  GOLD PILOT Jul04 Apr30 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 116 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
7  TOO MUCH ACTION Dec20 Nov28 Nov07 Oct12 Aug18 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of QUATRE ROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  MY BOY BLING Jan28 Jan05 Nov25 Oct11 May13 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GURLIN by CURLIN)
9  ALGEBRA Dec20 Oct13 Jun03 May12 Mar25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 ★    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of LITHE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
HOU-10   02/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Miss Bluebonnet Turf Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAHITIAN BREEZE Feb02 Jul02 Jun03 May20 May07 (hurley r)CABRERA DAVID 116 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DYNACHICK by DYNAFORMER)
2  GRACIE'S KITTEN Nov10 Nov01 Aug29 Aug05 Jul29 (maker michael)JARA FERNANDO 116 15.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of EVEN WITH ODDS by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  SKY ROCKER Jan19 Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 Jul03 (willis mind)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 8.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
4  TUDELA Feb02 Jan12 Jun25 Jun03 May07 (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50 5% 17.60    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
5  IZATIZ Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Aug27 Jul23 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
6  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Jan26 Dec02 Nov09 Sep02 Jul03 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 118 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  TURN ON THE BLING Jan20 Nov09 Oct26 Sep29 Aug26 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 118 3.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DARLING by DIXIE UNION)
8  PEEK FACTOR Jan20 Dec07 Oct25 Oct06 Dec14 (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 3.50 7% 13.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SLIM'S SECRET by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
9  IMALUCKYCHARM Jul23 Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 Mar25 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 1.20 68% 0.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
10  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Jan26 Jul03 Jun09 May18 Apr30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 116 20.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.