Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(1/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(1/3/9/4)-(2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/9/4)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/4)-(2/3/4)-(7/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(7/5/4/1)-(9/2/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(9/2/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(9/2/10/1/11)-(3/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
GP-5   WIN (9/2/10/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/1/11)-(9/2/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/1/11)-(9/2/10/1/11)-(9/2/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/10/1/11)-(3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/2/10/1/11)-(3/6)-(7/6/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(7/6/3)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(6/4/2/1)-(5/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1)-(5/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBTLE FAITH Jan18 Jan05 Nov24 Aug25 Jul22 (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 123 2.00    
2  WHISKEY DIAMOND Jan17 Oct03 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
3  TRIBUTE Jan25 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Aug11 (valery paul)MORALES ANGEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOVIA Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 (delgado jorge)RIVERA JON 116 4.50 27% 2.60    
5  GENERAL ROBINSON Jan04 Oct26 Jul15 Jun02 Mar25 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  VINGATIVA Jan10 Dec17 Nov24 Sep22 Sep04 (o'connell kath)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
SCR  GRATIA Feb01 Dec22 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 (dakin a)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00    
8  INDIA PILAGA (ARG) Jan25 Dec14 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 (duco luis)PEREZ EDGAR 123 30.00    
 
GP-2   02/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGENDARY PHANTOM Nov18 Sep07 Aug12 Jul16   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  UZZIAH         (sano antonio)BRAVO J 118 30.00    
3  JABRAN Dec30 Dec17 Nov18 Oct21   (robson lauren)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  SPOKEN BLUNTLY         (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUAIO Sep03         (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00    
6  TAPUCHE         (braddy dav)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
7  INSISTING         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  SIMSOUM Jan06 Dec10 Oct15 Sep16 Aug25 (moubarak nade)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
9  CANAVERO Jan18         (sancal murat)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00 15% 5.80    
 
GP-3   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE DRAMA Dec26 Nov12 Oct21 Aug05 Jul02 (fawkes david)BRAVO J 123 3.00    
2  SIR OLLIE Jan28 Dec21 Sep23 Aug11 Feb22 (vanden br)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
3  EASTSIDE COOL Jan20 Nov24 Oct14 Sep10 Jun04 (hernandez sandino)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
4  COPPERMASTER Dec15 Nov12 Oct21 Jun11 May14 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  AMERICAN PURE Jan13 Dec21 May13 Apr16 Mar12 (o'dwyer je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
6  GILDED AGE Jan20 Dec02 Sep24 Jun22 May25 (d'angelo jo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00    
 
GP-4   02/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEPEU Jan14 Dec26 Nov08 Sep30 Aug04 (sancal murat)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPETTRO Jan10 Sep14 Jul09 Jun15 May26 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
3  KINGDOM ON PAWS Feb07 Jan19 Dec24 Dec01 Oct26 (schistl rafael)JARAMILLO E 123 12.00    
4  BRINGER OF RAIN Jan26 Dec28 Nov25 Nov17 Oct27 (tharrenos wi)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  GLOBES Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 Apr30 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 15% 5.90    
6  ENDLESS SUNSET Jan10 May05 Apr02 Feb23 Dec29 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
7  SURROGATE Nov10 Oct21 Sep29 Sep03 Jul23 (dibona robert)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 24% 3.10    
 
GP-5   02/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORBI ONE Jan18 Dec10 Nov08 Sep30 Aug27 (ortiz john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
2  MALIBU SPRINGS Jan18 Dec07 Oct21 Sep28 Sep03 (stormfelt)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MARQUEE MISS by COWBOY CAL)
3  SWORDOFHONOR (IRE)         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CERCLE DE LA VIE by GALILEO (ARG))
4  PORQUEROLLES         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CORAIL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  STORM READY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
6  KAKE'S ARROW Dec22         (matz michael)ZAYAS J 123 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CHARM CITY GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Feb01 Jan19 Nov12 Sep17 Aug26 (gutierrez )ALONSO LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  BLACK FURY Jan25 Jun25 May25 Jul30   (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 123 30.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of CAFE DE NUIT by HAT TRICK (JPN))
9  FLY RIGHT Jan11 Jul30 Jul07 Jun03 Nov06 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 39% 1.50    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
10  MOUNT HOREB Jan18 Dec10       (attfield rog)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 11% 8.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SABA by ZAMINDAR)
11  SCAT TU TAP Jan18 Jan04 Nov16 Oct20 Apr08 (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
12  UNIT ECONOMICS (GB)         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHERUBIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  TIZADUKE Jan17 Dec26 Dec07 Nov11 Oct14 (yates michael)RIVERA JON 116 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of A PRETTYDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
 
GP-6   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY HAY HARRY Jan18 Jan10 Dec10 Nov18 Oct11 (breen kelly )ZAYAS J 118 3.50    
SCR  CRUZIN FOR CHAOS Jan24 Nov07 Oct11     (viands gregor)MORALES ANGEL 118 30.00    
3  FOR SOME REASON Jan24 Dec10 Nov03 Sep10   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 53% 0.90    
4  KHOPESH Feb01 Jan10 Dec28 Dec10   (mcdona)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  PACK PLAYS Dec10 Oct13 Sep01 Jul15   (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
6  BIG TOBY Jan07 Nov19 Oct15 Aug19   (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  JIGGERY POKERY Jan24 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Aug24 (seale christophe)EGAN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  NO PROBLEM JOE Sep29 Sep15 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (mckathan kevin)PANICI LUCA 118 12.00    
 
GP-7   02/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUCK IN MALIBU Jan19 Dec22 Jun24 May11 Apr21 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00    
2  HITS DIFFERENT Jan19 Dec22 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 (gonzalez nicho)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
3  L. E. GRAY Jan20 Dec15 Oct13 Sep17 Jul21 (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 123 12.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  GOODBETTERBEST Jan18 Dec23 Dec03 Sep21 Sep08 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 123 3.50    
5  I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Jan17 Dec08 Oct22 Jul15 May21 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
6  BLETCHLEY GIRL Jan25 Dec22 Dec14 Nov18 Aug05 (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
7  DUBSTEP Jan25 Dec22 Nov19 Oct06 Dec23 (eppler e)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
GP-8   02/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLING HOLIDAY Jan12 Jan22 Dec23     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
2  BACKCHAT Jan11 Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Sep01 (stormfelt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  SWASHBUCKLE Jan18 Dec22 Nov12 Sep29 Sep15 (negrete javier)PANICI LUCA 121 8.00    
4  STRIDE Jan18 Dec22 Sep23 Aug04 Jun18 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  BORN A GAMBLER Jan18 Dec22 Oct21 Oct06 Sep03 (barboza victo)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50    
6  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Jan10 Dec16 Oct13 Sep07 Aug03 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  MEHLEK Jan18 Oct13 Sep09 Aug13 Aug06 (tharrenos will)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
SCR  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jan18 Dec22 Oct06 Sep19 Sep10 (caramori eduardo)RUIZ JORGE 121 30.00    
9  K. C. CHIEF Dec28 Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 Sep30 (loza jr)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
GP-9   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICO D'ORO Jan26 Dec29 Nov05 Oct21 Sep08 (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
2  AMOR LEJANO (ARG) Jan18 Dec28 Nov17 Jun04 May06 (duco luis)PEREZ EDGAR 123 20.00    
3  LOYAL LOUIE Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 Oct07 (stormfelt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  CROSS HASTE Jan07 Dec03 Nov05 Oct07 Sep16 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 121 8.00    
5  FROSTED FAITH Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Jun03 Mar30 (margotta antho)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  DOC AMSTER Jan13 Dec24 Nov19 Oct21 Aug05 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE B Jan04 Dec01 Nov04 Oct06 Sep02 (acker d)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
8  VOLKERT Jan18 Dec28 Nov09 Oct05 Jul29 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 7% 14.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.