Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/2/6)-(6/4/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/4/1/7)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(3/6/4)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/5/1)-(8/1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(8/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(8/1/3/6)-(5/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/6)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/6)-(5/7/4)-(6/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-8   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARL'S CODE Dec16 May15 Apr25 Mar13 Feb25 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  TWO HANDS FULL Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 Jun11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50    
3  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Sep01 Jun23 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 1.60 24% 3.20    
4  GO GO GO Dec15 Nov29 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  WITSEC Dec08 Nov08 Sep07 Jul21 Jun17 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 123 3.00    
6  CAT TALE SKY Dec16 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
 
HOU-2   01/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 45 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 8.00 ★    
2  HOLIDAY RUN Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 9% 10.00    
3  MORO BEARD Dec13 Nov17 Jul16 Jun18 Jul22 (ortiz ru)GLASS DERBE 118 12.00    
4  XANDER S Jun04 May21 Apr15 Mar31   (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
5  TEXAS CLUBMAN Aug21 Jul04 Jun18 May27 Apr07 (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  DEVITO Jun24 Jun04 May18 Apr23 Apr16 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 3.50 8% 12.20    
7  MORO TRENDSETTER Sep28 Jul04 Jun02 May21 Apr23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
 
HOU-3   01/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR GIVEN Jun15 May20 Apr01 Mar05 Feb18 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  NORDIC QUEEN Nov08 Sep22 May29 Apr11 Mar21 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 2.00    
3  TEXAS TIDELANDS Jan04 Dec17 Aug28 Jul17 Jun25 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
4  BASKET CASE Nov29 Nov09 Sep21 Sep08 Aug20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PONDERED Dec13 Nov08 Sep30 Sep21 Sep05 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 1.00    
6  KEEP THE BLING Nov09 Oct05 Sep08 Jul31 Jun15 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
7  SANTANGELO Nov29 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  POETIC UNION Nov29 Nov03 Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 4.50    
9  GRASS QUEEN Nov03 Sep08 Jun15 Mar05 Oct22 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.00    
10  HIGHWAY SIXTY ONE Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Sep07 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
 
HOU-4   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTATION Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.40    
2  GAMMA RAY Dec16 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Jun15 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 30.00    
3  DISCOVERY PEAK Dec16 Nov24 Nov11 Nov04 Sep13 (ashford trist)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
4  PREFERITO DA BARBI Nov24 Sep05 Jun10 May21 May08 (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FREE MAKER Dec16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul21 Jun23 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00    
6  DISCO DANZING Dec15 Nov18 Oct26 Oct12 Jun10 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
HOU-5   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINERO DE LA CASA         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  BAFFIN'S BEST SHOT         (george wa)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
  (by BAFFIN out of DAWN NOW by MENHAL)
3  SHAKIN LOOSE Nov19 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Jun17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
4  RED MOUNTAIN Dec07 Nov20       (martin st)TRIANA JR 122 10.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DEPUTY'S WHIRL by DEPUTY SLEW)
5  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Dec08         (davis h)BRACHO A 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JET SET GIRL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  SLEW SKIES Dec09 Nov24 Oct21     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CIELO GRIS by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  TOOLPUSHER Nov15 Oct07       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREETHINKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
HOU-6   01/13/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAY TAY'S BABY Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 Sep02 Aug06 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 4.50 10% 9.00    
2  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Dec01 Nov20 Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
3  CAMARADERIE Nov18 Nov01 Oct04 Aug26 Jun25 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  MY BABYS GONE Dec15 Nov20 Sep30 Sep08 Aug25 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00    
SCR  CHIKARA Sep30 Sep08 Aug06 Jun10 Apr21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
6  SWEET SASSICAIA Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 Jun11 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THINKITASADONATION Oct04 Sep15 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 (g)GONCALVES LEAND 121 8.00    
8  A ROZE AND WINE Nov01 Sep13 Sep02 Jul30 Jul03 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  LET FREEDOM BLING Nov01 Sep30 Aug25 Jun18 May14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.00    
 
HOU-7   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'LL DO Dec13 Sep27 Aug25 Jul04 Jun04 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 ★    
2  LOVE SPELL Jan05 Nov15 Sep30 Jul22 Jun25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00    
3  GRAPNEL Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 Sep09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50    
4  FIRST AVENUE Jul04 Jun19 May14 Apr08 Mar24 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00 10% 9.40    
5  SMOKIN WILLIE May29 May04 Feb21     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.00 44% 1.30    
6  HE SAID WAIT Dec09 Jan28 Dec02 Nov05 Jul24 (castellan)TRIANA JR 121 12.00    
7  KENNY D Dec01         (eoff terry)BRACHO A 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
HOU-8   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXINGTON DIVA Jan05 Sep02 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 20.00    
2  GANGSTER RAP Dec09 Oct28 Oct04 Sep05 Aug26 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
3  TEXAS RED BEL Oct26 Oct07 Sep05 Feb25 Feb11 (payne d)GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
4  YVONNE'S MISS Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 Sep22 Sep14 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
5  PUT A BOW ON IT Dec19 Dec12 Nov13 Jun25 May04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 ★    
6  BANTERRA Nov25 Mar24 Jan22 Dec04 Oct30 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY Dec09 Nov09 Sep21 Aug28 Aug06 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  HOLLY DOLLY Dec02 Nov08 Sep29     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 123 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.