Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/7)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(5/2/1)-(2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/4/8)-(5/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(5/3/7)-(6/5/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(6/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(6/5/9/2)-(9/7/4/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/9/2)-(9/7/4/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/2)-(9/7/4/1/10)-(7/3/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/7/4/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/1/10)-(9/7/4/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/1/10)-(9/7/4/1/10)-(9/7/4/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/1/10)-(7/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/1/10)-(7/3/1/6)-(1/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/6)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/6)-(1/6/5)-(3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENERGY EFFICIENT Nov16 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug18 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
INSPIRED IRISH Oct07 Sep15 Jul23 Jun02 May06 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 10.00    
SCR  ENTRUST Dec29 Oct28 Oct19 Aug12 Jul12 (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
SCR  KING COVEE Dec10 Nov26 Oct28 Aug31 Aug12 (bailes w )CARRASCO R 126 3.00    
BILL OF RIGHTS Dec01 Nov18 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 (farrior)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.00    
MASTER OF NONE Dec09 Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 Aug04 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 41% 1.40    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Dec10 Nov26 Oct31 Oct03 Sep02 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00 22% 3.50    
 
LRL-2   01/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL Dec16 Dec05 Nov22 Oct28 Sep21 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 6.00 25% 3.10    
EXIT RIGHT Dec03 Nov06 Oct20 Sep25 Aug30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
DOLICE VITA Dec03 Oct14 Sep30 May27 May12 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
SCR  APOLLO RISING Dec07 Oct13 Jul21 Jul01 May28 (walden willia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00    
BODE'S MAKER Dec01 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Jul30 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
JARDANI Dec03 Oct26 Sep10 Aug29 Jul19 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
HUNTER JOE Dec08 Nov12 Oct12 Sep24 Aug19 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 3.50    
 
LRL-3   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND Dec15 Dec02 Nov15     (mohan da)RODRIGUEZ L 110 30.00    
SUN STREAMING Dec03 Sep09 Aug26 Aug02   (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
MARTHA'S HEART Dec03 Nov17 Oct22     (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 30.00    
IT STARTS NOW Nov17         (de ho)CARRASCO R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  CASHPOINT         (lynch )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
SHARMIN Dec15 Nov12 Oct01 Sep08 Aug24 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 15.00    
NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE Nov09 Oct20 Sep03     (rodriguez rud)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.00    
OUTFACTORED Dec02 Nov12 Aug02     (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
LRL-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND MANNER Dec15 Dec08 Nov16 Nov01 Oct21 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ L 113 5.00    
SUPER QUALITY Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct07 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 10.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 28% 2.50    
HIS NAME IS SUE Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Sep24 (robb troy)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
NOTTOWAY Nov25 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 Sep14 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.40 32% 2.10    
TOP BOSS Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Nov16 Nov02 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 Oct20 Sep26 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00 11% 7.80    
 
LRL-5   01/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINY TIN Dec13 Nov26 Nov19 Nov04 Oct04 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
SAPONARA Nov21 Nov01 Oct17 Sep19 Aug30 (flores-coba f)ROJAS MARTINA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Nov26 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Oct11 (ramire)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 50.00    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 Oct21 Sep24 (eubanks annet)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 12.00    
BRASSTOWN Dec22 Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ L 116 4.50 26% 2.90    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Dec08 Oct13 Sep17 Aug22 Jul08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.20 39% 1.50    
SCR  KRUG Dec08 Nov04 Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00    
POLAR WIND Dec13 Dec06 Nov07 Sep20 Aug28 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Dec22 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 Sep30 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
 
LRL-6   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 45 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY ROOM Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 Aug11 Jul16 (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
I KNOW Dec22 Nov10 Sep08 Sep05 Jul28 (perri g)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
NICO LUCKY Feb25 Feb10       (mancilla ca)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 8.00    
ARMY CADET Oct13 Sep22 Sep01     (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00 14% 6.30    
IMSTILLHERE Nov25 Oct20       (milosevic mil)ROJAS MARTINA 121 30.00    
BAND CAMP Dec22 May18 May04 Mar25   (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
HOLEY MOLEY Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.00 14% 6.10    
THE LAST JUMPSTART Dec22 Dec03 Nov26 Nov10 Oct27 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 15.00    
HURRYING HOME Nov29 Oct26 Oct06 Feb25   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.60 39% 1.60    
10  CORRECTED PEDIGREE Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 Jun03 Apr28 (perri gina)KARAMANOS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTINCTIVE Dec11 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 5.00 16% 5.40    
THEA'S THEME Dec13 Nov25 Oct14 Oct05 Sep13 (ramirez j)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
THUNDER BUGGY Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 Jul14 Jul01 (machado a)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Jul13 Jun30 (horn elizabe)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
SWEET TALIA Dec07 Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 Aug19 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00    
IRISH LACE Dec22 Dec10 Nov17 Nov04 Oct26 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
MATOULA Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 Aug30 Aug09 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ L 116 1.60 33% 2.00    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep01 Aug09 (corrales j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 30.00    
 
LRL-8   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A HINT Dec01 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep13 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
BOSS MAN J J Dec02 Nov09 Oct01 Sep16 Sep08 (salzman timot)ALVELO C 123 8.00    
FREEZE THE FIRE Dec01 Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 Jul01 (lynch )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Dec08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 4.50    
HEMP Dec01 Nov15 Oct20 Jan16 Dec18 (mcfarla)BRICENO GREGOR 126 20.00 7% 14.10    
NOAH CHANCE May11 Mar31 Feb12 Jan28 Dec17 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.80 18% 4.50    
BY ITS ABSENCE Dec17 Dec09 Dec01 Nov05 Oct19 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 6.00    
 
LRL-9   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNLEVERAGED Nov18 Oct13 Aug19 Jul01 May12 (martin ra)HERNANDEZ F 123 10.00    
CLAW Dec03 Nov17 Nov03 Oct21 Sep29 (bailon nes)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 15.00 14% 6.20    
SAVOY Dec08 Oct20 Oct01 Sep24 Sep03 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 1.00 33% 2.00    
GRAND ESCAPE Dec08 Nov25 Oct06 Sep24 Sep03 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00    
MICE AND MEN Dec08 Nov12 Oct14 Oct01 Aug18 (graham robin)BATISTA A 123 10.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Nov29 Nov12 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 20.00    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Nov09 Oct28 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.