Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(8/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(8/7/4)-(7/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4)-(7/3/1)-(8/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(8/7/1)-(1/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/1)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1)-(1/7/5)-(7/4/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-5   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(7/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(7/4/9)-(5/1/2/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-6   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/9)-(5/1/2/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9)-(5/1/2/6/10)-(5/2/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (5/1/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6/10)-(5/1/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6/10)-(5/1/2/6/10)-(5/1/2/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6/10)-(5/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/10/7)-(5/2/10/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/10/7)-(5/2/10/8/7)-(5/2/10/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMSEY Aug28 Aug08 Jul12 Jun17   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
WESTERN MOON Oct13 Sep01       (rodriguez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TAP TARGET Oct09         (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by TAPIT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FUNSTRUCK Sep29         (olivo k)MCKEE J 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
  (by UNIFIED out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
WILD SEAN Oct09 Dec10 Oct20 Sep22   (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
ANCIENT MAN Sep29 Aug17 Jun07 May04 Apr13 (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
AUDEN Oct13 Sep09       (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FILIMBI by MIZZEN MAST)
 
IND-2   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGS FOR DAYS Aug10 Nov17 Oct31 Aug31   (fosdick steve)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
TEN LIL VICTORIES Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (holden j)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
SCR  LEA ANN'S PRINCESS Oct16 Sep27       (mcbride bar)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
DABNEY Oct05 Sep18 Aug26 Aug02 Jun10 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  SIGNATURE CALL Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 (granitz anth)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 2.50    
CABIN ABBY Oct16 Sep25 Aug31 Jun13 May23 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 125 10.00    
MUST BE A MIRACLE         (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
COLOR ME FAST Oct16 Sep11 May30 May11   (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
IND-3   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERPECKER Sep20 Aug22 Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
SPOKE Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jun15 May25 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Oct09 Sep28 Aug09 Jul15 Jun07 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 25% 3.00    
A FEW TOO MANY Oct12 Sep14 Aug05 Jul06 Jun22 (elliott m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
SCR  GUARD Oct04 Sep20 May16 Jan15 Dec11 (thompson erin)HUGHES CARLY 122 30.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN Oct04 Sep20 Sep08 Aug17 Jun24 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 125 1.40    
AZZARO STEEL Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug09 Jul15 (contreras ci)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Oct04 Sep20 Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
CIELO AZUL Oct17 Oct04 Aug22 Jul15 Jun20 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 6.00    
 
IND-4   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREEWHITESOLDIERS Oct05 Aug26 Jul20     (morey e)FELIX E 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
REAPPLY Sep13 Jun04 May12     (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
FIRST CHOICE Sep09         (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 121 20.00    
AMERICUS Oct04         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Oct19 Oct03 Sep11 Aug28   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  QUERREQUE Sep22         (gutierrez)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
REVENGE TOUR Oct05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 21% 3.80    
MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Sep25 Aug22 Aug11     (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  UKRAINE STRONG Oct03 Aug09       (silva miguel)PEREZ A 121 10.00    
 
IND-5   10/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND AND SEA Oct15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul07 Jun02 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 0.60 56% 0.80    
DASH OF SIMPLICITY Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
LIEUTENANT KITTY Sep27 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Apr28 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
CHIMES Sep25 Sep14 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 (hill john)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
AMAZINGNESS Sep27 Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00 8% 11.00    
SKIPPINJUSTICE Sep27 Sep14 Aug26 Aug19 Jul21 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 119 6.00    
SINGLE HER Sep07 Aug22 Jun07 Nov11 Oct20 (caramori caio)PARKER L 119 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
IND-6   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEENE ON JENNY Sep27 Sep08 Apr19 Mar18 Mar01 (torres conce)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
SCR  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Sep28 Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 (paye jose)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00    
WICKED ECSTASY Oct17 Sep20 Aug22 Jul20 Jul06 (medina toma)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.50    
ZIPPIN PIPPIN Oct17 Sep05 Aug15 Jul03 Jun18 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  STORMY CUT Sep01 Oct06 Aug17 Jul19 May12 (ginter raymo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
STRONG DEMAND Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 Jul11 Jun21 (nance jonath)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
IRISH TAP Sep26 Aug11 Jul03 May18 May02 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
LOONA LUV Oct05 Sep11 Aug22 Aug03 Jul16 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 8.00    
ZERO CLICK Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 May26 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
 
IND-7   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEADOW VALUE         (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
LOBO SALVAJE         (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00 18% 4.60    
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Oct16 Sep20 Aug10 Jun20 Apr26 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 0.80    
BE RUTHLESS Sep18 Aug03 Jul13 Oct11 Aug30 (torres conc)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
PRINCE OF PENNIES Oct16 Sep06 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 (elliott mich)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 4.00 20% 4.00    
SMILING STORMY Oct02 Sep08 Aug20 Jun14 May21 (reyes martin)PEREZ E 122 10.00 11% 7.80    
BIG ANCHOR Oct05 Sep27 Sep08     (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00    
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Oct05 Sep03       (young terry )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
ULTIMATE FIGHTER Sep30 Sep05 Aug20     (villa franci)MORALES JOSHUA 125 20.00    
10  QUALITY TEMPER         (barrett roddin)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 6% 14.60    
 
IND-8   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWDOWN JUSTICE Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug15   (hammond k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00    
HITCHPIN Oct09 Sep11 Aug30 Aug05 Jul13 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 125 3.50 12% 7.60    
SUNDAY TRYST Oct23 Aug17 Jul20 Jun24   (hammond kim)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
REVS MEDAL Oct23 Oct09 Oct02 Sep11 Aug05 (phillips ter)MORALES JOSHUA 122 6.00    
WARRIOR'S PLACE Sep23 Aug22 Jul13     (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 Aug16 Aug01 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00    
SEMINOLE AUSTIN Sep11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 Apr25 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Oct09 Jun24 Jun13 Nov17 Nov09 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 4.00    
SAN RONIN Oct11 Oct03 Sep11 Jul20 Jul03 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 119 30.00    
10  OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Oct18 Oct03 Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 (davis j)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 6% 14.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.