Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/9/6)-(1/8/7/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/7/6)-(8/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-2   WIN (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/4/3)-(8/9/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/3)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/8/5/6)-(8/9/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (1/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-5   WIN (8/9/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2)-(8/9/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART TO BEAT Sep03 May20 Apr30 Apr16 Sep30 (archuleta adam)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Sep24 Aug21 Jul15 Jun19 May06 (r)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
W. WHITEHOUSE Sep02 Aug18 Apr04 Mar19 Mar13 (dominguez angel)ROSENDO J 121 25.00    
ENDALE ARCH Oct07 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul29 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 122 20.00    
TAKEITTOTHEBANK Sep03 Jun11 Sep03 Jul10 Jul04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00    
AUTISM WARRIOR Sep04 Aug26 Jun19 Mar18 Jan31 (christian bi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT TO SUE Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
ATTILA THE STAR Sep03 May13 May06 Apr16 Feb07 (cross gary)VERGARA P 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Sep23 Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 Apr29 (wheele)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.50    
10  ROUGE SUNSET Sep04 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun17 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
 
ALB-2   10/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIMONY Oct04 Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (torres-casas)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 25.00    
STYLE BENDER Sep27 Sep09 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 119 6.00    
JUST CALL ME KEN Sep24 Aug26 Jul09 Jun17 May07 (r)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOKER MATT Sep17 Sep07 Aug03 Jul23 Jul16 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.50    
BRAZEN NOW Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 Apr22 Feb25 (armstrong)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
SILVER DADDY Sep17 Jul08 May06 Apr16 Jan22 (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 121 25.00    
ESTEEMED Sep30 Sep15 May05 Apr26 Apr15 (macvitt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 30.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Sep30 Aug12 Jul03 Apr22 Apr12 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
TRICKY LEE Sep11 Sep02 Aug05 Jul02 Apr17 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 21% 3.80    
10  ZENFULLY ZESTY May29 May20 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (gonzalez fra)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 15.00    
11  FORT STANTON SCOUT Oct04 Sep15 Sep07 May06 Apr22 (gherar)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 30.00    
12  OUR VALLEY Sep13 Sep04 Aug17 Jul22 Jul02 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 124 3.00    
 
ALB-3   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Sep16 Jun24 May21 Apr22 Feb28 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRYSTAL WHO Jun24 Jun10 Apr22 Apr09 Feb28 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
THATGIRL'SONFIRE Sep16 Sep03 Jun23 Sep17 Aug19 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
HEY FRIEND Mar21 Feb28 Jan24 Jan03 Dec20 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 35% 1.80    
MAMA WAS A ROCKET Sep03 Jul22 Jan15 Dec13 Oct30 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Sep27 Sep07 Jul22 Jul08 May20 (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 122 4.50    
TURN ON ARCH Sep03 Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 May20 (quiroz filiberto)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
BIKINILESS Feb28 Feb05 Dec19 Dec06 Oct24 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
MADDIE POPPE Mar21 Aug19 May08 Apr24 Mar26 (summers nancy)ROSENDO J 121 12.00    
 
ALB-4   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABOLICAL STORM Sep16 Jul22 Jun11 Oct30 Sep04 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
SECRET'S DOUBLE May23 Apr16 Sep24 Sep15 Aug20 (clemmer phil)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 12.00    
IZERIGHT Aug26 Apr22 Mar26 Feb12 Jan29 (c)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Oct01 Aug26 Jul23 Sep25 Sep10 (danley i)JUAREZ J 119 8.00    
NEW MEXICO JEREMY Sep24 Jul23 May07 Mar28 Feb28 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 119 4.50 10% 9.00    
DIABOLICAL RULER Sep17 Jul14 Jun16 May07 Mar28 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONZO WHO Sep24 Aug26 Apr22 Mar12 Feb21 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
JET N G Jul22 May20 Apr22 Mar26 Feb28 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
ALB-5   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico State Fair Thoroughbred Futurity Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL HUARACHE PRIETO Sep24 Sep01 Jul09 Jun23   (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of ZILLY by WESTERN GAMBLER)
RAIL RUNNER Sep24 Jun09       (olguin ever)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of CLANCY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
WAY TO RULE Sep24 Sep08 Jun23     (fincher w)VERGARA P 117 8.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of SWAPPING LANES by THE WAY HOME)
MARK IT DOWN Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 Jul09   (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 117 8.00 5% 17.40    
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
FAUZETA'S FLAME Sep24 Sep08       (chavez la)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 20.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of FAUZETA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER Sep24 Sep01 Aug06 Jul21   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 117 3.50 6% 16.50    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
STREET MARK Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul09 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 117 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
COMMUNITY LEADER Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of MIDNIGHT SUMMER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MILK IT Sep24         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
10  MAKE UP A STORY Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (f)DE CRUZ 117 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of HOLIDAY HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
11  WALK ON WHISKEY Sep24 Sep01       (chavez la)VALENZUELA A 117 15.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of OLD FASHIONED GAL by OLD FASHIONED)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.