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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(8/2/6)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/4/6)-(8/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(7/1)-(2/7/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-3   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/7/9)-(8/6/12/13) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/9)-(2/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/9)-(2/7/9)-(2/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/9)-(8/6/12/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9)-(8/6/12/13)-(8/7/2/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/6/12/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/12/13)-(8/6/12/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/12/13)-(8/6/12/13)-(8/6/12/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/12/13)-(8/7/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/12/13)-(8/7/2/10)-(6/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/7/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/10)-(8/7/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/10)-(8/7/2/10)-(8/7/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/10)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/10)-(6/7/3)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(2/4/5)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/4/3)-(4/3/2/9/11) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/3/2/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (4/3/2/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/9/11)-(4/3/2/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/9/11)-(4/3/2/9/11)-(4/3/2/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul12 Jun18 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
CALIENTE RUM Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun16 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  IN GOOD TROUBLE Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 (dunham ber)RIVERA R 113 5.00    
LA LUISA Sep20 Sep04 Jul09 Sep03 Aug05 (penaloza migu)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00    
SO SWELL Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 (smith everton)RANGEL JOEZER 122 6.00    
DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Sep04 Jul18 Jun24 Mar29 Feb28 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES Sep04 Aug03 Jun26 May31 May02 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PRX-2   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNO BARBER GIRL Sep12 Aug29 Jun27 May31 Apr26 (lake a)MOYA F 118 3.50    
LOST LUGGAGE Aug19 Jul15 Jun30 Jun07 May18 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
AMALFI LADY Sep18 Aug29 Jul12 Jun18 May28 (christman kimb)CORREA JULIO 118 12.00    
LITTLE DOYLE Sep04 Aug28 Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Sep18 Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul04 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
LUCKY BREEZE Aug29 Jul04 Jun01 May16 May03 (arce josue)ANGULO J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Aug11 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May29 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00    
TOTAL DISCRETION Aug29 Jul24 Jun26 May29 May04 (guerre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 42% 1.40    
LORD JOAN Sep18 Feb22 Feb15 Jan17 Oct29 (collazo dan)CASTILLO A 122 5.00    
 
PRX-3   10/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE ELEGANCE Sep09 Aug18 Jun04 Apr14 Mar19 (maymo ale)VARGAS A 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
GINGERS WISH Sep19 Jul18 Jul11 Jun07 May26 (smith donovan)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
RANDOM LUCK Sep09 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 (cole-davis tin)MOYA F 122 6.00    
AEGEAN SEA Sep11 Aug30 Jul17 Apr11 Mar24 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00    
SCR  PARISH BELLE Aug27 Jul16 Jun21 May24 Jul01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA Sep12 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Nov25 (tapsas eli)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
CONFIRMED GENIUS Sep23 Aug30 Jul12 Jun26 May29 (padilla-precia)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
PRX-4   10/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLBDANCING Aug30 Jun12 May16 May01 Apr11 (bullock jorda)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
BULLET ON TAP Sep09 Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 Apr27 (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 49% 1.10    
SWEET LILLY FACTUM Jul18 Jun13 May23 May08 Apr19 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
CREME CARAMEL Sep13 Aug05 Jul18 Jun07 May16 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
PEARLS AND HEELS Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 (martin ramon )IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00    
SCR  MATOULA Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jul18 Jun24 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
LULI'S DANCER Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 May10 (pollara )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  TRUE BLUE PEARL Sep02 Aug03 Jun17 Apr23 Mar29 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
CRAZY SERENA Aug23 Jul26 Jun26 Apr04 Feb28 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
PRX-5   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIANE'S MERLOT         (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
SARATOGA SWEETS Sep04 Jul17       (coletti edw)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 5.00    
SCR  HARLEE Sep16 Aug15 Aug01     (bedard alan)OCASIO M 119 20.00    
LA SIERVA C         (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  WICKED SPICE Aug27         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00    
SHUDABEENACOWGIRL Aug22 Aug02 Jun18     (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
BREEZY DANCE Sep23         (padilla hug)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00    
SHARP EYES Sep10 Aug13       (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 112 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  LINOSSILVERGAL         (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 15.00    
10  SWANS ISLAND Aug21         (montoya )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 15.00    
SCR  MII AMO Sep04 Aug21 Jun18 May23 May01 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 3.00    
12  GONE         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 12% 7.00    
13  SUNSHINE THREAT         (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
 
PRX-6   10/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG LEGGED BOY Sep20 Sep02 Jul03 Jun14 May15 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 118 12.00    
SMARTHUMOR Aug30 Jul19 Jun14 May24 May03 (tapsas elias)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
HANEY BOYS Sep19 Jul19 Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 122 5.00    
ALONZO MOSELY Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 (polachek jane)OCASIO M 122 10.00    
WHERESTHEPASSION Sep19 Aug30 Aug02 Jun19 May30 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 12.00    
SCR  W. P. CADET Sep19 Sep11 Sep01 May12 Apr21 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
RECKLESS PLACE Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 May29 Apr09 (wilson tony)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
BOSSMAN JONES Oct11 Aug22 Jul25 Jun14 May23 (servis joh)RIVERA R 117 2.50 64% 0.60    
DADASHEV Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 Jul25 Jul05 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 10.00    
10  MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 (ash)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-7   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC TIGER Sep23 Sep11 Aug12 Jul29 May26 (richards m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 15.00    
PARDSY Sep18 Jan25 Jan03 Nov14 Oct18 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
BIG BROWN SHOES Sep06 Aug13 Jul12 Jun19 Jun06 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (maymo ale)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
JEBOLOGIST Sep11 Aug04 Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 (mccaslin john)MOYA F 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
HONORARY DEGREE Jul05 May02 Apr04 Jan18 Nov27 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
LORD UHTRED Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jun24 May27 (guerrero g)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 4.50    
 
PRX-8   10/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN MY OPINION Sep18 Sep01 Aug19 Aug09 Jul17 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00    
FLOR DE SOMBRA Aug29 Mar25 Nov25 Oct24 Sep24 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  SUNDRIA Aug21 Jul11 Jun05 May22 May03 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
MARY Q Jan24 Nov29 Nov09     (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
COMEDY ACT Sep23 Sep05 Aug17 Jul02 Jun15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM CONCERT Sep05 Aug12 Jul15 Jun03 Apr22 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
KISSES FOR EMILY Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 May22 Nov28 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
 
PRX-9   10/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A DANGEROUS GUY Aug30 Jun14 Jun03 May10 Apr11 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00    
ICONIC LEGACY Sep06 Jul24 Jun19 May23 May02 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 8.00    
ROB THE RICH Sep19 Aug28 Jul09 Jun03 Apr24 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 2.50 9% 9.70    
TUFF CONSTITUTION Aug24 Jul18 Jun21 May22 Dec13 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
POWERFULLY BUILT Sep04 Jul14 Jun10 Apr27 Mar26 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
GEEBERT Sep19 Sep04 Jun14 May29 Apr24 (mos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
TALENTED MAN Aug21 Jul07 May31 May08 Aug22 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
SCR  VEESON Sep18 Aug21 Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
 
PRX-10   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VESELSKY Sep03 Jul09       (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
LORD SEABEE         (jenkins suzanne)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 11% 7.80    
BIG POPPER Aug26 Aug05 Jul24 Jul16 Jul01 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 17% 5.10    
CADDY MAN Sep05 Aug19 Jun27 Apr06 Mar25 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
SHEA D CAPTURE Sep19 May15 May08 Apr15 Apr03 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 124 20.00    
ARTHUR S GOLD Sep19 Jul07 Jun01 May04   (wyner harold)MOYA F 120 20.00    
SCR  SONIC BLOOM Jan19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct17 Sep24 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
SPARTAN BOY Sep03 Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 (aristone p)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
UPTOWN SHOES Sep18 Aug29 Jul05 Jun21 May23 (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  CAPT COMPLICATED Sep18 Sep01 Aug09 Jul21 Jul11 (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 6.00    
11  IT'S A PITY Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 Jun18 Jun05 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  IM STILL BRAVE Aug13         (maymo ale)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
SCR  GABAGOOL Aug25 Jun10       (margotta anthony)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00    
14  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 Jul12 Jun21 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.