Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-1   WIN (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/2)-(11/3/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-2   WIN (11/3/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/10/5)-(11/3/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/10/5)-(11/3/1/10/5)-(11/3/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/1/10/5)-(2/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-3   WIN (2/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/10)-(2/1/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/10)-(2/1/3/10)-(2/1/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/10)-(2/6/7)-(6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ALB-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(6/5/3)-(4/7/1/10/12) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ALB-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-6   WIN (4/7/1/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/10/12)-(4/7/1/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/10/12)-(4/7/1/10/12)-(4/7/1/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-1   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUTION CARDINAL Sep09 Aug19       (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
2  ONLY ONE AMERICA Sep10 Jul29       (fincher t)VALENZUELA A 117 3.50 8% 11.20    
  (by MARKING out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
3  STRADIVARIAN Aug13         (m)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
4  INZAWAY Sep09         (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 112 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ONZAWAY by ARCH)
5  SHUDDER Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 Apr15 (barraza s)CARRENO J 120 8.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  ARIZONA LINDY Jul30 Jul02       (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  GREASE MISSLE         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 117 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MIDNIGHTHUSH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  MY GOOD GOOD BOY         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
ALB-2   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILOVEHER May21 May07 Apr22 Mar28 Apr02 (summers nancy)ROSENDO J 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  SPARKLE IN THE SKY Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00    
3  UPDIP Jun24 May21 Apr15 Mar21 Jan29 (armstrong sherry)JAIME R 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  WHAT A MEMORY Sep15 Sep02 Aug18 Jul09 Mar07 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 124 15.00    
5  CANDY TRACK Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Mar14 Mar05 (eliott roger)MEDINA ANTHONY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CORY LOVES RAIN Sep03 Aug13       (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
7  SNOOZY SUZY Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 Jun27 May21 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
8  GREEDY Aug19         (story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
9  KATZIE BABY Sep02 Jul09 Jun24 Nov26   (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
10  HEY MACARENA Jul22         (van rober)CARRENO J 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
11  PANDORA WHO Jun24 May20 Mar26 Feb19 Feb05 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
12  COWGIRLLOVER Sep07 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (long vaughn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
 
ALB-3   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Jul23 Oct30 Oct10 Sep10 Aug14 (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  HIT THE SEAM Sep09 Aug20 Jul26 Jun07 May28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM Aug12 Jul03 Apr22 Apr12 Mar29 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  REINING PESOS Sep01 Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 May07 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FINGLAS LAD Sep09 Sep01 Jul08 Jun16 Apr23 (lucero r)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
6  JUST AWESOME M Jul08 Apr15 Apr02 Feb19 Feb07 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
7  LOTTA GUSTO Sep03 Apr29       (hudson je)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
8  RIGHT ON TIME Aug21 Jul10 Jun19 May20 Sep08 (r)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
9  LIFE JACKET Aug25 Jul29 Jun11 Feb07 Dec13 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
10  CRUMAN TAPOTE         (gonzales )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARIMONY Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 116 20.00    
SCR  DISCREET TIGER Sep17 Jun23 May20 May07 Apr15 (chacon sebedeo )ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
 
ALB-4   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP WARNING Sep20 Sep09 Aug05 Jul09 May27 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
2  BRAZEN NOW Sep02 Aug12 Apr22 Feb25 Feb04 (armstrong)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  LIL LATIGO Sep17 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jul10 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 8.00    
4  ESTEEMED Sep15 May05 Apr26 Apr15 Mar28 (macvitt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  TW SKIPPING STONES Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 Aug13 Aug01 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
6  TOTALLY TIGER Apr08 Mar12 Feb21 Jan24 Jan08 (gonzalez andres)CARRENO J 124 8.00 32% 2.20    
7  DOM WAYNE Sep15 Jul16 Apr29 Mar19 Feb19 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50 5% 17.70    
8  BRICKHOUSE Sep16 May06 Mar26 Mar20 Mar06 (leon alexis)ROSENDO J 124 10.00    
SCR  NOT THAT SERIOUS Sep17 May20 Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
 
ALB-5   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Charles Taylor Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE RAY Sep10 Aug17 Jul21 Feb18 Jan21 (fincher w)VERGARA P 118 10.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TANGO JULIET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  MY MAN BIGGIE Sep11 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (simpson shannon)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
3  CHARLEE MAE Sep14 Sep03 Aug05 Jun24 Jun01 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by GORMLEY out of CORINTHIAN LUCK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  LET THERE BE PEACE May06 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Jan10 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 118 8.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MINSTER'SADVENTURE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
5  JULIA'S WARRIOR Jul16 Jun18 Mar24 Mar02 Jan20 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by OUTWORK out of MAJESTIC MARQUET by PROUD ACCOLADE)
6  FLYING CONNECTION Sep02 Jul22 May05 Mar26 Feb28 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of FREE FLYING SOUL by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  SPECIAL MOMENT Sep13 Jul16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar11 (ashford h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of BLAME IT ONTHESONG by BLAME)
 
ALB-6   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTERCLASS Sep03 Jul22 May20 Mar28 Mar19 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  MONIKER Jun10 May13 Apr22 Feb28 Feb14 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 119 15.00    
3  DIXIEMAGIC Sep08 Jul17 Jun17 Mar29 Dec28 (long vaughn)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
4  BARNFIELD Aug20 Jul27 Jul02 Jun10 Apr12 (woolley ben)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  AUDACE Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 Sep19 Jul16 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
6  TALE OF TRUTH Sep14 Sep03 Aug24 Jul30 Jul15 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00    
7  GOLDEN MERGER Sep03 Aug18 Jun11 Jan22 Dec14 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
8  ABSTRACT KAT Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 Jun11 May29 (gonzales )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00    
9  ABETEMARCO Sep03 Jun11 May20 Apr29 Apr16 (garcia c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
10  GO LAKER GO Sep03 Aug21 Jul17 Jul08 Jun17 (b)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
11  MAGIC IS FLYING Apr29 Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 Jan03 (armstrong)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
12  REVOLT AND RIOT Sep15 Sep03 Jun11 Feb28 Feb19 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 6% 15.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.