Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-5   WIN (3/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/2)-(9/5/2/4)-(2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ALB-6   WIN (9/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/4)-(9/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/4)-(9/5/2/4)-(9/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (3/5/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2/1)-(3/5/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2/1)-(3/5/4/2/1)-(3/5/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/4/2/1)-(9/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-9   WIN (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/4)-(9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-5   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARS AND BIRDIES Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 May19 Apr29 (a)DE CRUZ 124 3.50    
  (by STANFORD out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CHARLIE'S MAN Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr22 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 9% 10.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BLUE JEAN BOURBON Aug18 Jul29 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 (lambert t)ROSENDO J 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by KLIMT out of ON PAROLE by SILVER GHOST)
FULL BORE Sep03 Sep30 Aug31 Jul30   (summers n)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of MY PLACE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GALACTIC CORE         (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
SECOND BATTALION Aug18 Jul29 Jun16 Jun02   (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
WHAT A MEMORY Sep02 Aug18 Jul09 Mar07 Feb14 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 121 10.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLYING NORTH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
BARON'S SONG May06 Apr18 Mar21 Mar06 Feb20 (zimmerman jon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by PVT. LYNCH out of ANNABELLE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
ALB-6   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA B Aug19 Jul30 Jun11 May13 Apr15 (l)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
KEEP IT ROLLIN Jul23 Jun11 May05 Apr18 Mar18 (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEE YOU AT THE TOP Sep02 Jul29 Jun17 Mar19 Feb28 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00    
ZENMAGIC Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 Sep21 Sep15 (cardenas emi)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL Nov21 Oct31 Sep07 Jul02 May20 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 32% 2.10    
FLOWER POWER Jul29 Jun24 May14 Apr15 Apr08 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
HALEY WHO Sep02 Aug05 Jun10 May07 Apr09 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
BYE BYE BROOKY Sep07 Aug25 Jul29 Jun24 Jun11 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
DAHLIA'S DANCER Aug07 Jul16 Jun24 Feb15 Jan17 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 43% 1.40    
 
ALB-7   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 May21 Apr19 (c)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
BAND OF GLORY Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
MAMACITA CARTIER May06 Apr08 Aug17 Aug03 May28 (garcia reza )GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00    
FASHIONABLY QUICK Oct03 Sep11 Aug15 Jul18 Apr16 (long vaughn)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  DREAMER GIRL Aug06 Jul23 May02 Apr04 Mar11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
CAROLYN'S WAY Aug27 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 6.00    
RATIONAL D'ORO Jan22 Jan01 Dec20 Dec06 Nov21 (vaughn lonnie)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
BYE BYE JILL Sep02 Apr22 Oct10 Aug17 May07 (marquez c)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 10.00    
JEDI JENNIE Sep02 Jul29 May21 May14 May06 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
 
ALB-8   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIG RIDER Aug26 May29 Mar07 Jan22 Dec20 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
CANYON DEL ORO Sep07 Aug26 Apr02 Feb28 Feb19 (chavez arturo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
GOLDEN BAND Aug20 Jul08 Apr16 Mar19 Feb14 (a)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
DOS REALES Aug26 Jul21 Jun18 Apr29 Apr09 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 6% 15.50    
NEXT AFFAIR Sep01 Jun18 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
LEAD MONTEREY Sep07 Jul28 Jul08 May20 Apr16 (alamos)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00    
BESITOS CRIMINALES Aug26 Jul23 Jul16 Jun18 May29 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
DECK HUMOR Sep01 Aug26 Jul29 Jul21 Jul08 (lambert c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
PULPITS FOX Jul29 May13 Dec12 Nov15 Sep15 (duree dom)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
10  KICK IT Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 20.00    
11  ESTEEMED May05 Apr26 Apr15 Mar28 Mar12 (macvitt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 30.00    
 
ALB-9   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT STANTON SCOUT Sep07 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 120 15.00    
GLENDORA MINECAT Sep01 Jul16 Jun23 May06 Apr15 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL Sep01 Aug05 Jul03 Jun25 Apr18 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00    
DOM WAYNE Jul16 Apr29 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 17.30    
STOCK DEAL Apr22 Mar21 Feb21 Feb14 Jan29 (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 10.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Sep03 Jun11 Feb28 Feb19 Feb05 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00    
SCR  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Jul28 Jul08 May13 Apr08 Mar05 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 117 6.00    
MONEY LENDER Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May13 (q)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
NORTHCUT Aug09 Jun24 Apr10 Mar12 Feb20 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.