Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/6/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(4/1/6)-(8/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(8/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(8/2/6/5)-(7/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (8/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/5)-(7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/5)-(7/9/8)-(4/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8)-(7/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/9/8)-(4/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8)-(4/9/8/5)-(7/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-6   WIN (4/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/8/5)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/5)-(7/4/3)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXEMPLIFIED         (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BRONZE BEAUTY by LATENT HEAT)
DESERT WOLF Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03   (castillo richard)PRESCOTT R 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BE PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
MIDNIGHT WEST Aug02 Jun14 May29 May08   (medina tomas)MOJICA O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CUPIDS GALLOP by VICTORY GALLOP)
RAMSEY Aug08 Jul12 Jun17     (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
URSO GRAYDAR Aug10         (green dar)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
LUCKY SEVEN Aug08         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET SEVENTEEN by HARD SPUN)
 
IND-2   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ARAMINTA Aug08         (holden darragh)HEARD TYLER 120 8.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of THE SENSE ANGEL by MINESHAFT)
WICKED BEAUTIFUL Aug01 Jul08 Jun13 May22 Apr27 (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
CARIBBEAN BEAUTY Aug06         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FRESIA by EL PRADO (IRE))
MISS QUEST Aug08 Jul08 Sep30     (morey wil)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun08 Feb11 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SASSY SADIE by COLOR BEARER)
LILY'S HOME Mar09 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Dec15 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
 
IND-3   08/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPF ROAD RULES Aug11 Jul06 May31 May06 Apr02 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00 17% 4.70    
ALMIGHTYJUSTICE Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May17 Nov22 (granitz anth)RAMOS D 115 15.00    
BRODY'S FLY Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 Jul05 Apr06 (jones s)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00    
VERSATILE Aug11 Jul12 Jun17 Jun07 May25 (garcia isr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 2.00 37% 1.70    
BAYOU CHROME Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 May30 May09 (leonard)DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
BAILEYS RUN Jul19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jun01 (granitz anth)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
CHAMBERS BAY Jul03 May18 Apr12 Mar17   (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 118 12.00    
 
IND-4   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COG Aug05 Jun29 Jun07 May10 Nov23 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Aug16 Apr19 Mar26 Mar05 Jan28 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
MISTER MACHO Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May09 Sep15 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
MACHO JUSTICE Aug11 Jul05 Jun20 May22 May03 (rechy chaz)RAMOS D 115 12.00    
WISHY WASHY Jul18 Jun20 Jun13 May17 Nov22 (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T SAY ELLY MAE Jul19 Jun20 May22 Apr19 Nov16 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 119 3.00 12% 7.60    
RUNNING SMART Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun13 May24 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
BARN STORMER Aug11 Jul03 Jun08 May18 Nov17 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
 
IND-5   08/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAME GAME Aug20         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00    
STRANGE JOY Aug15 Jul19 Jun17     (bright derrick)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
JUICY JUSTICE Aug16         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL ITCH Aug08         (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  ESPERE Jul01         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Jul19 Jul06 Jun08     (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.00    
PRETTY VEGAS Aug02 Jul07 Jun08 May31 May10 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.50 46% 1.20    
SEAU N'TAP Jun10         (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 120 15.00 7% 13.10    
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 19% 4.40    
10  LUCK BE MY LADY Jul06         (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00    
 
IND-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLIE MAES REVENGE Jul21 Jun08 Nov21 Oct25 Oct05 (herrell ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
SCR  NEVER TO MANY HUGS Jul18 Jul03 Jun10 May29 May15 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 15.00    
ALWAYS BLOSSOM Jul20 Jul07 Jun21 May30 May11 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
ANAITA Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May03 Nov15 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
INDIAN ZARA Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May11 Apr26 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
C F V TU BRUTUS Jul18 May15 Oct27 Oct10 Sep27 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
SCR  B FLAT OUT Jul18 Jun29 Jun10 May29 May18 (phillips ter)RAMOS D 118 8.00    
OUT OF PROMISES Jun29 Jun10 May02     (langemeier l)MOJICA O 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
SNUGGLER Jul03 Jun13 May23 May02 Nov10 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00 14% 5.90    
10  ICEY ANGEL Aug11 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
 
IND-7   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL ARIA Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Apr16 Mar31 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50    
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Jun16 May29 May02 Apr13 Feb09 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
HARVEY'S PRINCESS Aug05 Jul12 May10 Oct01 Aug25 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 7% 13.90    
CHICA DE ORO Jul11 May29 Apr27 Mar31 Feb08 (tomlinson michael )MOJICA O 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
CHARLEE O Jul22 Jun10 Mar09 Jan05 Dec14 (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 1.60    
WICKED INTENT Aug04 Jul15 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
TALL GIRL Aug05 Jul11 May28 Apr15 Mar12 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
IND-8   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS COMPRESSOR Aug02 Nov17       (cluley denni)RAMOS D 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Jul03 Jun08 May18 Apr26 Nov23 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 5.00    
ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 Jun14 May30 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00    
JURADICIAL Aug03 Jun22 Oct29 Aug31 Aug02 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Aug15 Jul05 Jun07 May30 Apr25 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 1.80 17% 4.80    
D' KITTEN Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 May30 Nov17 (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
GIRLS ARE TUFFER Aug03 Jun22 May31 May17 Apr25 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.