Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(2/3/4)-(3/10/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/10/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/10/7/9)-(5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/10/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/7/9)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7/9)-(5/6/1)-(7/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(7/2/5/8)-(1/12/11/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/10/8)-(7/2/5/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/5/8)-(1/12/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/8)-(1/12/11/9)-(6/11/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (1/12/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/11/9)-(1/12/11/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/12/11/9)-(1/12/11/9/6)-(1/12/11/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/12/11/9)-(6/11/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/12/11/9)-(6/11/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/11/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/5/3)-(6/11/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/5/3)-(6/11/5/7/3)-(6/11/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/11/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC MAX Aug03 Jun24 Jun01 May06 Apr19 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  BAYTOWN FROSTY Jun11 Jan12 Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 15.00 6% 14.50    
3  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 May14 Apr18 (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE Jun25 May29 Apr26 Mar23 Jan18 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
5  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Jan12 Dec22 Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00    
6  DON'T WAIT UP Jul07 Jun18 Jun01 May08 Apr12 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
7  JOVA Jul05 Jun01 May03 Nov22 Oct25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
8  ONE FOR RICHIE Jul06 Jun01 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
IND-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED SLEW Aug02         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 117 6.00    
2  GOODLOOKINJUSTICE Jul05         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  MOLLY'S TOWN Jul21         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 2.00 17% 4.70    
4  HAWKEYE (IRE) Jul03         (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  THE KID PATAKY Jul06         (cunningha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 112 8.00    
SCR  LEO SPRINGS Jun20         (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 108 12.00    
 
IND-3   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON PALM SUNDAY Aug03 Jun22 Nov06 Oct09 Aug11 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
SCR  MOWINS Aug05 Jul03 May06 Apr15 Feb25 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00    
3  TAKE CHARGE GENT Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 May15 Mar26 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
4  STARSPANGLEDXPRESS Oct05 Sep14 Sep07 Jul07   (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 119 15.00    
5  BOCO Jul06 May15 Apr21 Mar24 Feb10 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
6  POINT PROVEN Jun17 Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 Nov26 (cohn g)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
7  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 Jun24 Jun03 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  GUNOE Jul06 May08 Mar17 Jul31 Jan22 (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
9  ALTAZOR (ARG) Jul11 May19 Apr15     (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
10  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Jun02 May07 Nov18 Oct16 Jul30 (roussel j)MOJICA O 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  CALL OF HONOR Jul19 Apr19 Oct31 Oct11 Apr23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00    
 
IND-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METALLIC MAN Jun24 May31 May10 Apr27 Nov21 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  BEST OF GREELEY Jul06 Jun18 May19 Apr22 Mar17 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00    
3  ONE COOL DUDE Jul14 Dec30 Nov25 Oct19 Sep12 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 15.00    
4  HOT PASTRAMI Jul13 May14 Mar03 Jan15 Dec10 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
5  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Jul26 Oct02 Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
6  ORO AZTECA Jul15 Jun20 May10 Apr18 Nov23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  HUNTERTOWN Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May13 Apr27 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 118 12.00    
 
IND-5   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTY SUE Jul20 Jul05 Jun21     (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by CSABA out of SUE CITY SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
2  REDHOTJUSTICE Aug02 Jul15 Jun20     (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SISTER CRIMSON by SKY CLASSIC)
3  MEAN ELENITA Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May25 May15 (garcia israel)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of LUCY by AMERICAN LION)
4  BEYOND JUSTICE Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May15 May03 (nance jonathan)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
  (by ELUSIVE BLUFF out of GRACE OF GOLD by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  HERE KITTY KITTY Aug02 Jul08 May15 May03   (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by CSABA out of SHIELD by RAHY)
6  THIZZLE Jul15 Jun27 Jun06     (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 5.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of ON THE COVER by PULPIT)
7  SHANGHAI EXPRESS Jul15 Jun27 May25 Apr25   (west m)MOJICA O 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of BANBURY FAIRE by BANBURY CROSS)
8  LUCKY LINDA W Jul15 Jun21 May25 May10 Apr25 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY FIRE out of YORK AVENUE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  GOODY FOUR SHOES Jul15 Jun20 May25 May03 Nov14 (richardvi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 15.00    
  (by MONBA out of HOLLY AT LAW by BERNSTEIN)
10  NOW HERES THE PLAN Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May15 Apr25 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50 ★    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of FASHIONABLY COOL by TIZNOW)
 
IND-6   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDELE ANDELE Aug02 Jul03       (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
  (by SKYLORD out of FOREVER RED by RED RANSOM)
2  HOLIDAY CITY Aug02 Jul03       (garcia israel )SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PROPHET OBADIAH         (leonard ge)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 20.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of BEYOND by CENTAINE (AUS))
4  TREMOR         (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
SCR  HAY BILL Aug02 Jul03       (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of THUNDERING JILL by THUNDERELLO)
6  POSITIVE CHANGE Aug02 Jun20       (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 ★    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of DIVINING CHANGE by LANGFUHR)
7  BOOMING         (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of IMALLABOUTTHATBASS by INCLUDE)
8  GLAZED         (medina toma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of PADDYDUNALOT by MORE THAN READY)
9  TACKLIN FUEL         (holden j)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of OLIWA by IRISH RIVER (FR))
10  REFLEX Jul21 Jun20       (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00    
  (by SLOPE out of INSTANT REFLECTION by PROPER CONQUEST)
11  GREEWHIZ         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 6.00 6% 15.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of MEMORABILIA by UNCLE MO)
12  POP THE CORK Aug02         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of TIZ VEGAS by TIZNOW)
SCR  MISTER EZRA         (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of FLEET ENCOUNTER by INTIDAB)
 
IND-7   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDHILL Jul21 Jun15 Mar17     (pittman bonnie)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
2  TOTALITARIAN Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun07 May25 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
3  BREAKOUT STAR Aug05 Jul18 Jun14 May17 May06 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEELINGOODBILLYRAY Jul12         (holden j)RODRIGUEZ A 112 30.00    
5  THE MOTTO Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun07 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
6  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul23 Jul10 Jun17 May30 May09 (finucane richard)PRESCOTT R 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
7  COSMIC STARDUST Jul21 Jun22 May30 Mar25 Feb19 (wilkes r)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 3.50 ★    
8  SUNDAY TRYST Jul20 Jun24       (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 117 30.00    
9  TAKE A DIP Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 May25   (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 15.00    
10  CHARMING VICTORY Aug10 Nov17 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 117 30.00    
11  STEALTH MISSION Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 Dec14 Sep30 (patrick g)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.50 9% 10.30    
SCR  ETERNAL BLISS Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 Mar19   (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
13  BARRELHOUSE Aug08 Apr21 Mar01 Jan27 Dec16 (mccarthy micha)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00    
SCR  THALBERG Dec22         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00    
 
IND-8   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE N PRAISE Aug02 Jun10       (green dar)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
2  MY BOYS Jul05 Jun10 May31 Oct05 Sep12 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  CAROLYN'S ANGEL Jul15 May16       (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 6% 14.40    
4  BICARB BETTY Aug02 May25 Apr25 Mar26 Feb26 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  KNOTTY BLONDE Jun20 Jun06 Nov14 Oct26 Jun20 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 124 1.60 7% 12.50    
6  IMA N H LADY CAT Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May15 Apr25 (hayes mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 20.00    
7  TEN LIL VICTORIES Aug01 Jul20 May25 May15 Nov14 (holden j)SANJUR SANTO 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.