Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/10)-(7/2/8/10) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/9/10)-(2/7/8/9/10)-(2/7/8/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/2/8/10)-(6/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(8/3/1)-(2/1/4/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(4/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (9/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/8)-(9/4/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/8)-(9/4/6/8)-(9/4/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/8)-(5/7/2)-(3/6/8/4) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(3/6/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/4)-(3/6/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/4)-(3/6/8/4)-(3/6/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOGGY ALBION Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun26 Jun19 (meals loi)HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
2  MCGOLDEN Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 May16 Apr26 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
SCR  FINLANDIAS NEAT Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 May21 Apr19 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FINLANDIA by ROYAL ANTHEM)
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER Jul22 Jul10 Jun04 May07 Apr15 (cain crysta)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 4.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRES LINDA by MARQUETRY)
5  STUNNING HERO Dec07 Nov27 Nov01     (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of SID'S KID by SMART STRIKE)
6  PAPA DEL CIELO May20 May06 Apr20 Mar12 Jan14 (gotera c)GUERERE ANGEL 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
7  HIKE'S DREAM Jul05 Jun21 Dec07 Nov07 Nov01 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of SILENT SPIN by JOHANNESBURG)
8  SCREAMING JEREMY Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun04 May22 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  KEYSER Aug02 Jul18 Mar15 Feb02 Jan01 (gotera car)LEON A 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  MR MAYHEM Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 (inirio carlos)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of MOUNTAIN FIRE by FIRE SLAM)
SCR  LUTE'S ANGEL Dec29 Dec08 Sep28 Aug10 Aug03 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 123 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DISCREETLY ELUSIVE by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  SPICE CITY         (godsey c )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
 
MNR-2   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORAL LEGACY Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 May30 Nov06 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
2  PERFECT PICTURE Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 May17 May09 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  PAPA HONOR Jul23 Jun06 Oct20 Oct09 Sep18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 0.60    
SCR  CHEEKY CHAPS Aug02 May30 Dec13 Nov07 Oct11 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
5  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 May30 May22 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
6  BOLD ADVENTURE Jul13 Jun17 May18 Feb09 Jan18 (loveland del)LEON A 120 4.00 66% 0.50    
7  BULLION Jul25 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May20 (montano wilfr)TOLEDO S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  FARM STRONG Jul24 Jul04 Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 (meals lois)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY STORMY Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 May30 Nov22 (murillo rodrigu)LEON A 120 10.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  MR. MAGICO Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Oct13 Aug31 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50    
3  HARD N'SWEET Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  FEVOLA Jul31 Jun13 May30 May02 Dec07 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
5  SELLING OUT Aug02 Jul18 May30 May22 Jan05 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 5.00    
SCR  PIONEER DANCER Aug02 Jul23 Jun25 Feb21 Feb02 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  RULING FRONT Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun15 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
8  ESTILO VARONIL Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 May16 Feb02 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
MNR-4   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURR HILL BULLET Nov17 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Jun18 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 14% 5.90    
2  TWILIGHT YEARS Jul03 Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 Sep23 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
3  S S CITY SCOUT Jul30 Jun13 May02 Jul17 Jul03 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 30.00    
4  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Jul27 Jun16 May19 Apr14 Mar31 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 6% 16.30    
5  FAST RIDE Jul12 Jun25 Jun06 May21 Dec06 (rawlings amand)DIAZ I 120 15.00    
6  DRUNK TEXT Jul06 Jun16 May26 May06 Apr22 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUST JUBA Jul31 Jul22 Jul01     (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 119 6.00    
 
MNR-5   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWEAQUED Jul05 May23 Mar26 Feb09 Jan15 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.80    
2  OUT OF ROMANCE Jul31 Jul11 Jun25 May29 Sep27 (howard m)WHITACRE B 120 20.00 5% 17.30    
3  CELESTIAL ORB Jul31 Jun21 Jun07 May24 Apr30 (lawrence dalt)NELSON TYRONE 120 6.00    
4  MAMALONA Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May21 May15 (soto antonio)LEON A 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
5  SHARP JUSTICE Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 May18 May11 (donjuan sergio)DIAZ R 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
6  MEDWAY QUEEN Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 Apr19 Apr06 (delong ben)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
7  U SO MONEY BABY Jul30 Jul12 Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
8  RUN AWAY FEVER Jul31 May29 May14 Apr15 Mar28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
 
MNR-6   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 Apr23 Feb23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00    
2  LADY NOGUEZ Jul18 Jul03 May09 Mar08 Feb19 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 4.50    
3  PETTIGO GIRL Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May22 Mar07 (norris step)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
4  BAD KARMA Jul18 Jul05 Jun25 May30 May15 (silva juan )STEINEMAN JAMES 110 6.00 24% 3.20    
5  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Jul11 Apr19 Sep05     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 10.00    
6  POLYESTER BRIDE Jul18 Jul02 Jun20 Jun06 May02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  MISS FORT Jul30 Jun20 May18 Nov23 Oct31 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
8  MAOILIN Jul18 Jul03 May31 May15 May02 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00 7% 12.80    
9  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Jul26 Jun21 May04 Apr19 Apr05 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER ANT Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May24 May06 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
2  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May12 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Jul24 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr21 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
SCR  AGADOR SPARTACUS Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 Jun20 Jun05 (silva juan )STEINEMAN JAMES 110 15.00    
5  TWO GUNS Aug04 Apr02 Mar04 Feb25 Feb15 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  GOLDEN TONE Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun14 May27 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00    
7  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Jul31 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 May22 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 123 1.60 19% 4.40    
 
MNR-8   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET ALONG Jul04 Jun19 May29 May20 May07 (meals lois)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
2  KAZTHAROS Jul31 Jul12 Jun28 May10 Mar24 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
3  PAPA CHARLES Jul31 Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 May23 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  FROSTED WHITE FACE Aug07 Jul17 Jun04 May09 Aug17 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRASBOURG Jul04 Jun12 May29 Apr21 Apr08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00    
6  CRACK THE MOON Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 May16 May01 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  FIFTEEN TO VEGAS Jul26         (hamilton beverly)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00    
8  BORN FOR VICTORY Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 Jun20 May30 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 120 12.00 17% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.