Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/6/2)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/7/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/6)-(1/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOCLIPS Jun28 Jun13 May23 Nov16 Nov01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00    
2  SUNSHINE GIRL Jul12 Jul04 Jun26 May29 May16 (ficarella bro)DAVILA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUIDANCE Jun27 Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Nov25 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jul10 Jun20 May23 May11 Apr27 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
5  RUXTON ROCKS Jun28 Feb25 Jan20 Dec11 Nov25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
6  ALL BIZZ Jun28 May16 Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
 
FL-2   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIT OF ARMOR Jul05 May17 May05 Jan12 Nov18 (barrow paul)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  QUAD PARTY Jun26 Jun14 May17 Apr24 Nov21 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 3.50 7% 12.70    
3  ROYAL KAZ Jul05 Jun26 May30 May17 May08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  STORMY NEW YORK Jul05 Jun13 May30 May17 May02 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
5  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Jul05 Jun13 May24 Nov02 Oct19 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  MISAWA Jul04 Dec08 Sep04 Aug18 Jun30 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 124 1.80    
 
FL-3   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY QUINN Apr27 Apr06 Feb22 Jan26 Dec18 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  BON FIRE DIVA Jul11 Jan08 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 (williams omani)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
3  GOING GOING GONE Jul11 Jul03 May31 May17 Apr25 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 1.80    
SCR  BAD CONNECTION Jul11 Jun26 Jun14 May31 May02 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 110 5.00    
5  TASTY WAVE Jul03 Jun13 May22 Oct05 Sep13 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
FL-4   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Jul04 Jun21 Oct24 Sep26 Aug08 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  IMPROVISE (FR) Jun10 May07 Mar26 Feb26   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  CAPITAL GAL Jun21 Jun06 Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50    
4  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Jun12 May29 May16 Mar24 Feb17 (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 8.00    
5  ICE LOVE Jul10 Jun20 Oct10 Sep05 Jul27 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 1.50    
6  GRANDMA T Jun26 May29 May16 Jun30 Apr22 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
FL-5   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO WHAT IT TAKES Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 May24 Nov16 (dean victor )HARKIE K 122 12.00    
2  FREDDYMO FACTOR Jul04 Jun11 May29 May14 May04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  HONORABLE LILLY Jul11 Jun19 May16 Apr25 Feb18 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.00    
4  STAY HOME MAMA Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Nov21 Nov07 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  MISS PAB Jul11 Jun27 Jun19 May24 May08 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 12.00    
6  TOWERING GAZE Jul09 Jun01 Apr21 Apr08 Mar10 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
FL-6   07/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALOON GIRL Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May29 May16 (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MELISSA'S SMILE Jul11 Jun21 May22 Nov15 Oct09 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00    
3  CHARGE NURSE Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 Sep14 (englehart jere)COA J 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  UNICORN SALLY Jul04 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 May30 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
5  DAREDEVIL BULL Jul11 Jun27 May24 Oct31 Oct17 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  SWEET BLINDNESS Jun21 Jun06 Jan25 Dec09 Nov15 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 4.00    
7  CURLY GIRL Jun27 May22 Apr27 Apr02 Mar03 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
 
FL-7   07/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLTEN GOES Jun28 Oct19       (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  SHANTY SHACK Jul10 Jun21 May09 Oct18 Sep28 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  CONNECT THE BROCKS Jun27 Jun05 May22 Apr16 Mar03 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 8.00    
4  COLOR COMMISH Jun28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov16 Nov02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
5  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Apr08 Mar18 Dec30 Nov14 Oct18 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  OLD POINT Jul10 Jun18 May19 Apr21 Mar31 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
7  SORPRESO Jun25 Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 3.50    
8  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Jul10 Jun21 May15 Nov09 Oct17 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00    
 
FL-8   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BRAD SOLDIER         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
2  STORMY'S IN STYLE Jun12 May16 Apr16 Mar24 Aug22 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  FOUR QUARTZ Jun26 Jun14 May16 Mar03 Feb18 (thompson mar)HARKIE K 116 20.00    
4  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jun26 May29 May16 Apr25 Apr05 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
5  SCOUTING PARTY Jun26 May29       (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 10.00    
6  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS May28 Apr23       (buckley)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
7  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jul12 Jun19 May30 May16 May02 (williams omani)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
8  MA MI JO DREAMS Jul04 Jun05 May13 Nov19 Oct30 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.