Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/3/1)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(3/7/8/10/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(3/7/8/10/1)-(2/7/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/7/8/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/10/1)-(3/7/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/10/1)-(3/7/8/10/1)-(3/7/8/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/10/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(6/1/4)-(2/1/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/1/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3/9)-(2/1/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3/9)-(2/1/8/3/9)-(2/1/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGWOODS BECCA Jul07 Jun16 May26 May18 Apr27 (scott anthony)PANAIJO JORGE 125 6.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jul08 Jun10 May27 May12 Mar29 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
YOU'RE A DANDY Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 May27 May11 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
SCR  SAIDAR May19 Apr05       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 125 2.50    
LAYAWAY May13         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TWELVE SHARP Jun18 May18 May11 Apr05 Mar15 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 115 6.00    
 
BTP-2   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S GOLD Dec13 Nov28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 (lopez car)CORREA L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GEMO RAIN Jul05 Jun23 Jun09 May20 May06 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
D'MONEY HONEY Jul07 Jun17 Jun01 May18 Apr27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
SAY IT AIN'T SO Jul12 Jun22 Jun15 May27 Oct11 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.00    
CUT GLASS Jun15 May27 May18 Apr27 Mar31 (howard d)MCKEE J 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
DELAYED ENGAGEMENT Dec14 Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 Oct17 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
 
BTP-3   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE IT UP Jul08 Jun21 May27 May17 Apr28 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
EIDA'S STORM Jul08 Jun22 Jun07 May17 May05 (aguirre r)COLON H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BELLE OF ST. JOHN Jul01 Jun16 May26 May17 Apr28 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
GENERAL GINNY Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 May24 Apr28 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 122 4.50    
SHESMYBROKER Jul12 Jun11 Jun03 May05 Apr14 (crumley j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00    
C V THUNDER Jul05 Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 May19 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 117 5.00    
TRAUMARAMA Jul01 Jun21 Oct05 Sep13 Sep07 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-4   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACAHUETE Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 Apr25 Dec14 (coyle vernon )LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
ARTEMUS EAGLE Jun09 May24 Apr13 Mar23 Feb10 (cline rob)CORREA L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jun29 Jun17 May18 May04 Mar09 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jun09 Jun01 May06 Apr14 Mar12 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 10.00    
ALTERNATE NIGHTS Jun14 Nov17 Nov02 Sep29 Sep08 (lauer micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00    
DOWN HOME KITTEN Jul08 Jun17 May25 May04 Mar24 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00    
FEELING IT Jun29 May27 May05 Mar16 Jan18 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
BTP-5   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT ON THE SUGAR         (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MERIDIAN MAMA by FORESTRY)
CALLIE'S PASSION Jul08 May19 Sep16 Jul20   (rutledge )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BID N ASK by SWORD DANCE (IRE))
WHO RUNS THE WORLD Jun14 May18 Apr25 Feb15   (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LUCY N ETHEL by DURING)
SAHARAN FLEECE Jul08 Jun21 May25     (douglass dev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
  (by SAHARA SKY out of FLEECE by STORM ACCOUNT)
SCR  MISS BEE HAPPY         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BETROTHAL by TIMELESS MOMENT)
SOUTHERN MESA Sep14         (royal madelyn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of WILDWOOD DOMAIN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
GOOD TURN Jun30 Jun14 May04     (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
TAPIT'S RUBY         (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by TAPIT out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
LOVE MY CANDY Apr29 Mar11 Oct28 Sep15 Aug10 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  ARAYA Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 Sep09 Aug18 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN May29 May09 Mar15 Sep05 Aug28 (laugherty joe)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BTP-6   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA HOOT Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 May24 May09 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANCIENT BROWN Jul10 Jun07 May05 Apr28 Apr15 (montano wilfri)COLON H 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
FIVE QUEENS Jul05 Jun21 Jun03 May24 Apr28 (adams l)REYES R 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
ABOUNDING Jul12 Jun15 May11 Apr28 Mar18 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 2.50    
LUCKY TUESDAY Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Oct19 Sep16 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Jul05 Jun14 May25 May17 May05 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
DANCE ON OVER Jun10 May19 Apr27 Jan05 Dec05 (green troy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHANGA LOCA Jun01 Apr28 Mar09 Feb18 Feb08 (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
TWIRLING RUTH Dec15 Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
SCR  FRANGO ELECTRICO Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr18 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 6.00    
CAMI CAT Jul08 Jun21 Jun03 Apr27 Mar30 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 122 2.00 18% 4.50    
PELLETIER Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May27 May05 (hernandez javi)COLON H 120 8.00    
BLEST LIFE Jun29 Jun01 May12 Mar16 Mar09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
BTP-8   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYSECRET Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 May04 Feb09 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 23% 3.40    
I'VE BEEN THINKIN Jul07 Jun20 May07 Apr05 Nov23 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
CAPTIVE STAR Jul07 May12 Apr26 Feb23 Feb08 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
KENTE KLARKE Jan04 Dec21 Nov10 Sep14   (austin steve)MARCANO Y 120 30.00    
TRANQUIL TIMES Jun30         (fernandez kell)COLON H 125 4.50    
ISABEL DE CLARE Jul03 Jun15 Jun02 Feb04 Jan04 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 125 5.00    
HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Jul08 Jun23 Mar15     (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
AUGURI (ARG) Jun01 May13 Apr29 Mar18 Dec22 (cline rob)CORREA L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Apr06 Feb01 Jan05     (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WRITTEN CONSENT Jul07 Jun21 May27 May19 Mar21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.00    
SCR  AWESOME MARINA Jul08 Apr08 Mar22 Jan04 Dec10 (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.