Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/3/2)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/4/5)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/3/1)-(3/6/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/6/8/2)-(1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (3/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/8/2)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/2)-(1/5/3)-(9/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(9/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(9/5/7)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-7   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/7)-(9/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/7)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDERDOG Jun28 Jun10 May27 Feb10 Jan20 (wagner karin)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
CLASSY SOLUTION Jun22 Jun10 May27 Feb01 Jan05 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 8.00    
FIRST RULE Jun23 Jun15 May15 Mar26 Jan11 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  KEEPING THE PEACE May18 May10 Apr19 Apr11 Mar03 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00    
LORD DARNLEY Jun28 Jun03 May24 Apr29 Apr22 (douthall ja)CHATRIE E 115 10.00    
HE'S A SHOOTER Jun15 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  POINTER Jun12 May01 Apr19 Apr11 Mar01 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 10.00    
BACKATYA Jul06 Jun15 May27 May13 May05 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50    
 
DEL-2   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICE HARPER Jun30 Jun17 Apr06 Mar09 Jan19 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
LINAHASPECSHOES Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 May13 Nov02 (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHILD PROOF Jun30 Jun01 Apr12 Mar22 Feb08 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 117 1.80 36% 1.80    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 Dec21 Nov30 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 117 6.00    
MRS BELL Jun22 May12 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 (lucas bonnie)CEDENO CAROL 125 8.00    
NUCCI Jun17 Apr20 Jan20 Jan12 Nov20 (sepulveda carlo)MENA E 117 3.50    
 
DEL-3   07/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTS EDITOR Jun21 May25 Nov20 Nov04   (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by EDITORIAL out of UTTER PLEASURE by CROWD PLEASER)
APRIL FOOLS ANDY Jun09 May05 Apr08 Mar04 Feb03 (moysey chels)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PRALINE'S CAT May31 Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Mar08 (posadas pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00    
  (by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE out of CAT CAN DO by ADCAT)
BLIND EYE Jun09 Feb19 Jan08 Sep25 Jul22 (alvarado diane)MENA E 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A. P.'S GLORY by MINESHAFT)
SILVER STYLE Jun18 Jan19 Dec24 Dec02 Oct28 (arriagada juan)ROSE J 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of ROSIE RED by EXCHANGE RATE)
DONEGAL DANNY Jun03 May13 Jan27 Dec29   (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOST INSPIRING by GIO PONTI)
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA Jul08 Jun09 May25 Mar04 Oct30 (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 8.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SHEISBOLDADVICE by WOODMAN)
 
DEL-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCELY GOD Jun28         (smith robe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 4.50 9% 9.80    
BIG CITY BOB Jun28 Jun13 May29 May16 Apr25 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 8.00    
ROYAL SPY Jul02 May28 May04 Feb10 Jan28 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
EVEN THUNDER Jun01 May12 Jan27 Jan06 Nov13 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
SCR  SEANOW Jul06 May27 May04 Jul04 May15 (magee kieron)ROSE J 120 3.00    
THE WOLFMAN Nov12 Oct22 Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 120 1.50 43% 1.30    
 
DEL-5   07/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 SOFT Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLETE Jun21 May31 Apr24 Mar11 Feb16 (ness jamie)MENA E 120 4.00    
PROTOMAGIC Jun28 Jun17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar24 (sullivan ellio)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KLAYTON'S KANDY Jun22 Jun16 May27 May06 Nov06 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
SNOOTY Jun14 Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 Dec17 (sullivan elli)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00    
ABIDALE Jun06 Mar20 Feb13 Feb04 Jan16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
RAISE YOUR GAME Jul02 May27 May06 Apr20 Apr07 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
SILVER GLEN Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 Apr16 Mar18 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
THUNDER BUGGY Jul01 Jun09 Apr23 Apr08 Mar01 (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  TIZ HERSELF Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 Mar10 Feb19 (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 1.20    
 
DEL-6   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD MUSIC Jun21 Jun02 May19 Mar31 Mar24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.50 31% 2.20    
SWIFTY DEVIL Jun21 Jun02 May20 Apr15 Mar31 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
BRIGHT FORECAST Jun23 Apr08 Mar15 Feb18 Dec21 (nazario pedro)MENA E 118 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  PARADISE VALLEY Jun21 May30 May03     (lynch catha)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 118 3.00    
TAKE A HINT Jun17 Aug31 Aug06     (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
MY HANDSOME MAN Jun21 May26 May04 Apr16 Mar26 (ovando melvin)ALICEA JEREMY 116 12.00    
ALPHA WHISKEY Jun21 Jun01 Apr23 Mar24 Mar04 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
 
DEL-7   07/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC9 SOFT Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLLECTION DAY Jun28 May19 Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 (gorham michael )MENA E 115 8.00 9% 10.00    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Apr15 Apr01 Jan28 Dec07 Nov04 (rigattieri john)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 10.00    
MY BOY PADDY Jun25 Feb02 Jan21 Jan01 Nov14 (rivera justin)MENA E 120 12.00    
SCR  INVECTIVE Jun25 Jun04 Mar19 Feb25 Jan05 (cibelli jane)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
K'S PICK Jun28 May31 Apr26 Apr07   (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 117 6.00 23% 3.40    
COSMIC SPECULATION Jun03 May06 Apr23 Mar22 Feb17 (orseno f)CENTENO E 115 3.50    
SONIC SPEED Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 7% 12.90    
SAGRADA RAY Jun09 May25 Nov23 Oct19 Sep14 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
HIGHESTDISTINCTION May27 Apr23 Mar17 Aug20 Jul30 (schultz lindsay)ROSE J 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
 
DEL-8   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINECRAFTER Jun23 Jun03 May24 May12 Apr02 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
TEXTPECTATION Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 (morzan jav)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00    
APACHE Jun22 Jun09 Jun01 Apr26 Mar30 (sullivan ellio)CEDENO CAROL 119 2.50 15% 5.50    
MIRACLE SILVER Jun23 May24 May08 Apr19 Mar21 (nazario pedro)MENA E 119 3.50 6% 16.90    
CAMP PENDLETON Jun18 Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
COSMIC TREASURE Jun21 Jun03 Apr16 Jan17 Dec29 (simone michael )CENTENO E 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.