Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - June 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(7/1/2/3)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(5/3/1)-(1/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(1/4/7)-(2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/6/3)-(9/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(9/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(9/4/5/7)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (9/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/5/7)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LAD-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   06/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DORGENOIS May13 Apr19 Mar18 Dec22 Dec02 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 12.00 16% 5.20    
LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Jun10 Apr26 Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 (martin kevin)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50    
DONTFORGETRDREAMS Jun10 May13 Nov03 Oct14 Aug27 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
OUR CUSTOM DARLING Jun03 May13 Aug06 Jul04   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Jun12 May28 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA May28 May20 Apr07 Mar18 Mar09 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 114 6.00    
 
LAD-2   06/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUNNING May06 Mar18 Jan15 Dec11 Sep30 (antwine michae)BURNINGHAM J 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
FIVE O FOX May30 Apr30 Apr08 Mar09 Feb20 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.50 15% 5.90    
CHIEF BULLET Mar08 Nov30 Nov09 Oct18   (del erick)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINNING DANCE Jun10 Feb11 Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00    
NOBLE CONNECTION May29 May12 Apr14 Mar10 Jul30 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 119 2.50    
JARED THE WARRIOR Jun10 May30 Jan07 Dec03 Sep24 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00    
BELLA'S GATSBY May21 Jan19 Dec19 Nov22 Sep18 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
LAD-3   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY BREW Jun15 Jun03 May20 Apr08 Mar06 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
BIDOFHONEY Jun15 Jun03 May05 Apr21 Mar25 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
ARKLAHOMA SOUL Jun04 Jan14 Dec19 Sep26   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
WAIT ON ME Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Dec19 (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 114 10.00    
PETULA Jun04 May04 Apr22 Mar16   (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
SMARTY'S ANGEL May05         (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
 
LAD-4   06/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Feb17 Feb02 Jan14     (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
GTUONE BUCK Jun04 May14 Mar24 Mar05 Feb17 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 8% 12.30    
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Jun18 May07 Apr22 Feb18 Dec15 (bruno j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW May14 Mar23 Mar05 Jan22 Dec16 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 119 2.50    
PRICED RIGHT Jun04 May06 Jan27 Sep27 Sep13 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
NINEJUANJUAN CALL Dec02 Nov19 Oct21 Jul26 Jul16 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 12% 7.00    
RISKTAKER May22 May06 Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-5   06/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY NIGHTS (IRE) Jun04 Jan21       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
  (by FAIRY KING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MR LEO AND JOSE May27         (del erick)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MISS HUNNY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
HUMOR ME PLEASE Jun04 May27 May07 Apr15 Mar31 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.50    
  (by LEA out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TAPIT TWICE May27 Apr23       (dixon tim)BOREL H 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of ORANGE STREET by STORM BOOT)
WINDTAPPER WIN Jun05 Apr23 Mar09 Jan21   (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WIND CHEATER by FORESTRY)
LOOKIN AT BETTY Jun02         (charles jonatha)MCMAHON J 119 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BORN SPECIAL by EXUBERANT)
HE GOTS TO GO May27 May10 Mar10 Feb03 Dec22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
 
LAD-6   06/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROMPTON May21 May08 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
ORDER OF MERIT Jun04 May13 Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
MUNNINGS CATSLE May27 Feb21       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WILTON Jun03 Mar31 Jan22 Jan08 Oct15 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
OCEOLA Jun03 Jan11 Dec21 Oct19 Sep18 (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
TWO B May08 Mar01 Feb11 Jan08 Dec22 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
LAD-7   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIN DUDE May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar02 Feb02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50    
RUNANDHIDE WIND Aug03 Jul13 Jun09 May26 Apr22 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
SCR  MORO FLASHBACK Jun09 Jul02       (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00    
UPTOWN SOCIAL May30 Apr16 Mar23 Feb20 Feb10 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.50 27% 2.60    
PARTYINTHESTREETS Jun04 May06 Apr23     (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 114 12.00 6% 15.80    
PREMIUM Jun04 May14 Apr29 Apr14 Mar15 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
MIRI A COINCIDENCE May06 Apr16 Mar23 Mar12 Jan15 (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5% 17.80    
RED RAIDER XPRESS Jun12 May15 May06 Feb28 Jan20 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00    
AUX ARCS Jun04 May05 Apr07 Feb20 May08 (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
LAD-8   06/26/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS SINGH ANGEL         (savoie sherman)BURNINGHAM J 124 8.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
MY MY Feb08         (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MISS PATCHOULI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CHARMONTE Jun12 Mar12 Dec22 Sep05   (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LOVEMEORLEAVEME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LUV AND COMMITMENT May29         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of QUENBY by AMBASSADOR (IRE))
BARRETT Sep14         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of MISS RELENTLESS by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  MARMO MOON Jun12 Apr08 Mar16 Oct29 Oct13 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
SURREY Jun09 May11 Apr08 Feb24 Feb09 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  CHARLIZE Apr07 Mar05 Feb11     (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.