Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/9/1)-(5/4/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/9/1)-(5/4/6/9/1)-(5/4/6/9/1) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/9/1)-(6/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/9/1)-(6/2/4)-(8/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/5/8)-(6/2/4/5/8) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(8/7)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/7)-(1/3/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(1/3/5/2)-(2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2)-(2/4)-(2/7/9/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/10/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/10/8)-(2/4/10/8) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/7/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/7/9/1)-(2/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/6)-(2/7/9/1/6) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/9/1)-(2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/1)-(2/8/6)-(5/9/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(5/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/10)-(5/9/10/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/10)-(5/9/10/6/8)-(5/9/10/6/8) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT FORTITUDE Apr22 Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROYAL THUNDER Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50    
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Dec14 (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
4  NOMO RON Apr28 Feb03 Dec17 Nov05 Oct07 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  CHARLIE POTATOES Apr01 Feb22 Jan11 Nov24 Nov03 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  HAPPY CHAMP Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 10% 9.20    
7  TRINGALE Mar11 Jan26 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00    
8  SHOULDA HAD IT May06 Apr01 Mar10 Mar03 Feb20 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
9  JUNGLE WARRIOR Mar10 Feb01 Jan05 Dec17 Nov24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 7% 14.10    
 
CT-2   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN HIGH GEAR Apr28 Apr06 Mar30 Mar10 Feb23 (mcdonal)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
2  TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct08 Sep17 Jul23 Jul02   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 2.50 13% 7.00    
3  TALKING TEDDY Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 Dec01 Nov12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
4  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Apr28 Mar31       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 11% 7.90    
5  BERTRAM FLIGHT Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Dec01 Nov12 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 ★    
6  JUBA'S HAT TRICK Apr22         (sigler ron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
7  CATS DIAMOND BOY Apr28 Mar30 Feb15 Nov12 Oct21 (lane l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
8  DONNIE B Mar30 Mar10 Feb15 Jan11 Dec17 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 ★    
9  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERINREADYRICK Apr22 Apr13 Feb22 Feb08 Jan07 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  NEVER COMPROMISE Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
3  FEARNOUGHT Apr20 Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan26 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
SCR  OUT OF CENTS Mar11 Feb09 Jan12 Nov18 Oct27 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 2.50    
5  SUPER GARNER Feb23 Feb09 Nov18 Oct20   (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
6  SARGENT KOBE May05 Apr22 Mar31 Feb17 Jan26 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 20.00 ★    
7  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Feb09 Jan12 Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 (walters david )MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50 8% 10.80    
8  AARON'S TAP Apr14 Mar31 Feb24 Jan19 Dec14 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 4.00 66% 0.50    
9  BOSS E BOOGS Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 Jan12   (stehr josep)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON LOVER Nov19 Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  JACKS SISTER JILL Mar31 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15   (clement ro)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 8% 11.10    
3  MOONLIT SHADOW Apr15 Feb25 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
4  COACH RUBE May02 Mar11 Feb01 Jan21 Jan05 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Nov19 Oct13 Sep30 Sep15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
6  CASTLE LIGHTS Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov09 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
7  THUNDER PUNCH May05 Mar01 Jan21 Dec08 Nov24 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
8  MANAROLA Apr13 Mar11 Mar01 Jan28 Dec09 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BAD BRASS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 5% 17.60    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
2  PINK DINGHY Apr29 Sep24       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PINK GLOSS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  ROAD PUNCH Mar31         (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of LOLIBOP by BOP)
4  JAZZ WITH DENIS Apr22         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of JAZLYNN C by GONE ASTRAY)
5  GREY BOUQUET         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CHOCOLATE BOUQUET by ESKENDEREYA)
6  COURT TUDOR Apr22 Mar30 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (kirlew )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
7  MAKIN' GOLD Mar31 Mar10       (campbel)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
8  LITTLE RICHIE         (gur battulga)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of LITTLE BOP PEEP by BOP)
SCR  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Apr22         (lewis r)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
10  GEORGE         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 ★    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TURN CAPP by STREET MAGICIAN)
 
CT-6   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVERBOY LOU Apr25 Apr04 Mar20 Feb14 Jan24 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 6% 16.30    
2  ICING Apr22 Mar18 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Apr14 Mar31 Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Nov30 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
5  PRINCE OF FENTON Apr01 Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Dec19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
6  MR. PETE Apr19 Mar23 Mar03 Jan20 Jan12 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 ★    
7  ONE NIGHT MIKE Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
8  CAMINERO Mar17 Feb15 Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
9  AUBURN MILL Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb09 Jan12 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
10  UNCAPTURED KING Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Dec09 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
SCR  SHOWTIME CAT Apr07 Mar17 Dec30 Oct22 Sep24 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Coin Collector Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL LUCERITO Apr14 Mar30 Feb17 Jan27   (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
2  HONEYQUIST Apr22 Mar31 Dec03 Nov12 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
3  LORD OF CORK Apr14 Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  COLT ROCK Apr27 Apr14 Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of INSTRUMENTAL by ADVOCATOR)
5  LITTLE ROO ROO Mar31 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
6  GREAT SPIRIT Apr29 Mar25 Mar04 Jul22   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 117 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
7  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Apr29 Apr06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 (clatterbuc)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
8  JUBA'S NOTION Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
 
CT-8   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DADDY D R May05 Apr21 Mar30 Dec16 Nov17 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
2  FREEDOM IS RINGING Apr28 Mar30 Mar10 Feb22 Feb08 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
3  STARSHIP TAXI Apr21 Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
SCR  RULING Feb11 Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Sep29 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
5  KUKULKAN (MEX) Mar30 Feb11 Jan27 Dec16 Dec01 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  BIG HAMBONE Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 (atkins )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 10.00    
8  WE B SHACKIN May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Nov17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 ★    
9  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Apr21 Mar30 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
10  MOSS BOSS Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 Dec17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.