Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/3)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/4)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/1)-(2/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5)-(4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(4/2/6)-(6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/2)-(4/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/8/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-9   WIN (4/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE CHROME Apr20 Mar26 Mar05 Feb22 Dec30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  IRONMAN RICHIE Apr20 Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 Feb16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
3  BOURBON TEDDY Apr20 Feb22 Jan12 Dec10 Nov12 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  SUPRISE CAT Apr20 Dec17 Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 10% 9.00    
5  TIMEHASCOME Apr27 Apr02 Mar15 Feb22 Jan12 (rodriguez edua)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
6  TAPIT SAM Apr20 Mar30 Mar12 Feb16 Feb03 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
HAW-2   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD SECRET Apr18 Mar30 Dec17 Nov26 Oct09 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  GREELEYS ICE Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Oct21 Jun25 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
3  HATCHET CREEK Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Dec16 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
SCR  CHOPPER Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 122 5.00    
5  DEVIL'S RULE Apr20 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Dec30 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
6  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Apr16 Mar26 Dec11 Dec02 Oct27 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
HAW-3   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAIN ATTACK Dec02 Sep23       (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of NOLA STAR by THREE WONDERS)
2  GO ON GIRL Dec11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 Aug03 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
3  FREEDOM ATTACK Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Sep23 Sep09 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  COWGIRL FRANKIE Apr18 Mar16 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 (rednour john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
5  BE MY BESTIE Apr02 Mar12 Apr09     (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 1.20 59% 0.70    
  (by LONG ISLAND SOUND out of LOSE NONE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  FAST KYLIE Apr02         (becker scott)EMIGH A 124 4.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of DANCING CELIA by LINE OF DAVID)
 
HAW-4   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SUPRISE Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
2  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Apr16 Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 Jan11 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  NOBLE CREEKER Apr22 Nov17 Sep30 Aug18   (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 118 5.00    
SCR  LOOKING SALTY Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec03 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
5  NORMANDY ANGEL Apr13 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Jun11 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 20.00    
6  SANTINO'S FANTASY Apr07 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00    
7  UNCLE DICK Apr02 Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Dec16 (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE ON DESSERT         (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
2  RUSSIAN HAMMER Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Dec30 Dec17 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  CHERRY ORCHARD Apr13 Mar19       (slager mike)ORM CORY 118 20.00    
SCR  GUST OF WIND Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Dec31 Dec11 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 6% 14.90    
5  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Apr13 Mar23 Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00    
6  PASSING TIME Mar19         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 8.00    
7  LIGHTNING CASHES Mar23 Mar09 Jan19 Dec17   (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-6   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NANNETTE NO Apr16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
2  LINDALOUIMAGE Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
3  ON A TOUR Mar26 Feb15 Feb06 Dec31 Dec04 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 115 1.60 48% 1.10    
4  WEEKEND PASS Apr27 Apr09 Mar16 Dec31 Dec11 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 10.00    
5  COUGER Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 6% 17.10    
6  HER GOLD MINE Apr09 Mar16 Feb27 Feb07 Dec31 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  WATCHIN THE WHEELS Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 10.00    
 
HAW-7   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME SUNDAY Apr18 Apr02 Jan26 Dec03   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 116 3.50    
2  WILMA MANKILLER Jan26 Dec17 Oct14 Aug03 Jul19 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  FREE LOVE Apr11 Dec22 Nov27 Jun03 May12 (lopez eli)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 Jan20 Dec21 (cristel j)MOJICA O 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  OPALINE Mar23         (rivelli larry)COLON H 116 5.00 ★    
6  DESSERT FIRST Feb10 Jan22 Nov26 Oct13 Sep26 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00 9% 10.00    
7  BALIMOS Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct01 Sep10 (rosin w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00    
 
HAW-8   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ISLAND Apr20 Apr06 Dec30     (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
2  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Apr13 Mar19 Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  WELLER ROGUE Mar30 Mar06 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Apr20 Sep10 Aug17 Jul27 Jun11 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
5  WESLAN Apr09 Mar26 Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 115 12.00    
6  HIGH BROW Apr06 Mar19 Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  UNIFIED DREAMS Mar22 Feb21 Feb03 Jan15 Dec16 (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 122 1.80 ★    
8  BEN DREAMING Apr02 Mar25 Mar04 Aug28 Aug12 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 115 5.00 ★    
9  PATH TO SUCCESS Apr13 Mar18 Mar01 Feb03 Jan13 (rodriguez edua)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-9   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERLOTTI Apr23 Mar26       (wainwright joh)LEZCANO ABEL 117 6.00 13% 7.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
2  GOLD SMOKE Apr09 Mar26 Dec31 Dec11 May20 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of ALLUVIAL GOLD by DANEHILL DANCER)
3  MINNESOTA MOON Apr13 Feb25 Jan19 Sep30 Sep07 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 4.00 6% 14.70    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  WINNEMAC AVENUE Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 Oct30   (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 110 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of QUEEN OF THE RINGS by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  EVEN THE WIND Mar31 Feb18       (block chris)COLON H 117 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
6  THREE ROUGH SHODS         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 117 4.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ART FAN by LEAR FAN)
7  ANCIENT MAN Apr13 Mar05 Feb16 Dec31   (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
8  BLAME SHIFTER Mar19         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 117 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BLAME out of BLING ON THE MUSIC by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.