Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/6/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(8/6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-2   WIN (8/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/7)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(1)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(7/5/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(7/5/3)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(2/1/7/5)-(9/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5/8)-(2/1/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(9/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(9/6)-(6/9/7/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-8   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/6)-(6/9/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6)-(6/9/7/5)-(10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/5)-(6/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/5)-(6/9/7/5)-(6/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/7/5)-(10/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-10   WIN (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/1)-(10/1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/1)-(10/1/8/6)-(10/1/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE FLASH Feb26 Feb09 Jan16 Jan06 Dec15 (asmusse)GONCALVES R 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Apr01 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 (g)DE CRUZ 115 4.00    
3  HOP ON IN Feb18 Feb11 Jan15 Jun26 Jun05 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 115 20.00    
4  CAMARADERIE Mar19 Feb03 Jan01 Nov21 Jun11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Feb25 Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 Jun24 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
6  FROSTY BREW Mar06 Oct29 Sep25 Aug26 Jul15 (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
HOU-2   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR LANA SPIRIT Feb18 Jan21 Nov21 Oct28 Sep02 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
2  TAPADINE Mar18 Feb03 Jan13 Oct13 Sep22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
3  MOR VICTORY Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Nov22 Oct21 (gelner jayd)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  COSMIC SOUL Mar26 Mar04 Feb03 Dec26 Nov04 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 10.00    
5  BRATTON Oct21 Jul24 Jun10     (gustafson a)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
6  CAJUN EDDIE Mar12 Feb24       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
7  KLIMTOMANIAC Mar12 Mar01 Jan13 Dec19 Dec11 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
8  MANO DURA Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 (a)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
HOU-3   04/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Mar17 Feb25 Jan21 Jan13 Oct20 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00    
2  RICHARD'S TX BLING Feb25 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 18% 4.40    
3  LET'S TIE ONE ON Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Jul17 Jun19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 115 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  HIGH DEF RIDGE Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Jan08 Sep17 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 118 15.00    
5  SHANGHAI GOLD Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 Aug27 Jul23 (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 12.00    
6  RED BIRD'S STORM Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 Jan13 Nov03 (g)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
HOU-4   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Mar24 Mar12 Mar03 Nov03 Oct22 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 ★    
  (by JOHN LOUIS' MONEY out of JOHN LOUIS' PENNY by CHIEF THREE SOX)
2  MORO TRENDSETTER Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 Jul23 Jun26 (gustafson a)HAMILTON WESTON 115 8.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
3  SUPER LIAISON Mar19 Feb20 Nov22 Aug25 Aug09 (love alan)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SUPER ESTHER by MALIBU MOON)
4  SMARTY RIDGE Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Dec15 Nov22 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 3.00 ★    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of RUN SMARTY by RUN PRODUCTION)
5  FARM DOG Mar17 Jul23 Jun05 May15   (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of PEEKER'S MELODY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  DADA BOOM RIDGE Mar19 Feb25 Jan13 Jul21 Jun04 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
7  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR         (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 10.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GHURAIR out of WAR LASS by WAR CHANT)
 
HOU-5   04/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO NALA Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 60% 0.70    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
2  RUN WITT RUN Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 May12 Mar02 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 8.00 ★    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SUZY THREE by GLITTERMAN)
3  MADAME RUE Mar24 Feb25 Dec19 Jul09 Jun11 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
SCR  EXPECT LAVENDER Feb25 Feb10 Jan08     (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
SCR  LA VALEDORA Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08   (coats t)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
SCR  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Feb26 Jan06       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 20.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
7  GOVERNOR ANN Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Sep09 Sep03 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 115 8.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of VOLANT by WILD SURF (IRE))
8  DOC'S RUNNER Mar19         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
  (by DOCTOR ROMANE out of MAX'S RUNNER by LION HEART)
SCR  GRACIE'S KITTEN Mar10 Oct05 Aug19 Jul17 Jul04 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 115 2.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of EVEN WITH ODDS by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  BRADEE CASH Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Oct13 Sep17 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
 
HOU-6   04/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINNAMON FACE Jan15 Dec14       (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
2  VISUAL MOON Mar26 Oct29       (deleon a)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
3  SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY Jul21 Jul01       (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 122 2.00 10% 9.00    
4  BOSSADUSU Sep23 Jul17 Jun25     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
5  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Mar26 Mar03 Feb10     (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  BOLD EXAGGERATION         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 15.00 6% 16.20    
7  PERILOUS LIFE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
 
HOU-7   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER LEGS Mar17 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov11 (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 10.00 21% 3.80    
2  ROSIE JANE Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Sep10 Aug19 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 37% 1.70    
3  BOWS N LACE Mar17 Feb24 Dec18 Dec04 Sep17 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00    
4  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Mar18 Feb19 Jan20 Mar12 Jan14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50    
5  DUPLICITOUS Jan28 Nov03 Oct14 Sep18 Sep01 (ortiz j)GONCALVES R 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  ROYA Mar08 Feb09 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 2.50    
7  MINNESOTA NICE Feb20 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
8  CADEAU DE PAIX Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 Jan20 Oct14 (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00 ★    
9  RECLUSIVE Mar19 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Sep25 (h)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
 
HOU-8   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO SPEED RACER GO Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 Oct20 (scholl kevi)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Mar05 Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Mar03 Dec22 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
4  TATANKA Mar05 Oct20 Sep25 Aug20 May21 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00    
5  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Feb24 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 May19 (willis )GONCALVES R 119 15.00    
6  SEDUCTIVE U S A Mar05 Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 Nov24 (g)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  BROCK ON BY Feb10 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 (davidson sarah)MORA GERARDO 119 4.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00    
9  ENGLANDER Mar10 Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 Jan06 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
10  KOKOKOMO Mar17 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00    
11  VANGILDER Mar24 Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 Dec01 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00    
 
HOU-9   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAR FROM FINAL Mar11 Feb10 Jan15 Nov23 Oct22 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MY GOLDEN M Mar25 Feb05 Jan20 May29 May07 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 5.00    
SCR  TALE TWISTER Mar31 Mar05 Feb17 Sep17 Aug08 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
4  REQUISITION Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Jun11 (asmussen m)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
5  FIRST AVENUE Mar24 Feb23 Jan21 Jan07 Aug08 (h)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 8% 12.10    
6  UNDER THE GUN Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  BLING'S BELLWETHER Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan20 Nov08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.50 12% 7.30    
8  DARE TO BE WILD Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov18 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 20.00    
9  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 Aug27 Jun25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
HOU-10   04/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEON SUMMER Feb04 Oct12 Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  DISCREET SMILE Mar12 Feb18 Jan15 Jul17 Jun19 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 12% 7.10    
3  MY GOLDEN BLING Mar18 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE Feb24 Jan22 Oct21 Sep29 Sep03 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
5  RUMPUS Mar26 Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 Sep21 (g)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
6  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Mar18 Jan14 Dec03 Sep21 Sep02 (alarcon san)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 8.00 ★    
7  STELLACZAR Feb11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul21 (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 121 5.00    
8  TIZPLENTY Mar02 Jan14 Dec17 May14   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  RUBIANA Mar10 Jan01 Nov27     (hebert )GONCALVES R 119 20.00    
10  TIZ MAGIC Feb04 Jul16 May30 May08 Feb10 (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.