Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/2)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/3/6/1)-(4/2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/3/1)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/2)-(6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6)-(7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/10/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/10/4/3)-(6/10/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(7/6)-(1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(1/8)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/7/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/7/6/9)-(1/8/7/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/10) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNXPECTED TIGER Feb26 Feb05 Dec23 Dec04 Oct27 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 ★    
2  FAST FIXER Mar11 Feb24       (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
SCR  ALTAIR Feb26 Feb05 Jan18 Dec30   (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
4  SEAX Feb09 Jan08 Dec22 Dec09 Oct23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
5  AWESOME PRINCE Mar12 Feb24       (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 0.80 74% 0.30    
SCR  HE'S CONNECTED Feb17 Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 Sep25 (padilla tim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00 ★    
7  MIND FLAYER Jan08 Dec23       (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   03/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY UNION Feb12 Jan13 Dec14     (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 ★    
2  DA JOURNEYGIRL Feb22 Jan20 Jan01 Oct09 Jul17 (minguet ramon)ALICEA JEREMY 111 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Mar08 Jan18 Oct24 Sep27 Sep05 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 6.00 ★    
4  CHILD PROOF Feb08 Dec14       (cruz jesus)ALLEN D 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  SUMMER NITRO Mar04 Feb12 Jan18 Dec16 Dec03 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 15.00    
6  BELMAR SUMMER Mar01 Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Dec03 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 122 0.80 ★    
 
TAM-3   03/22/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICCADILLY Jan20 Apr10 Mar12     (mcgaughey clau)CASTANON L 126 6.00 7% 12.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of QUEEN'S PARADE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  BOSQUE REDONDO Feb17 Dec28       (brown ch)GALLARDO A 126 3.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of NEMORALIA by MORE THAN READY)
3  TYPHOON LAGOON Feb08 Jan22 Jun11     (casse mark)CENTENO E 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (arnett jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CHAPEL by PULPIT)
5  BASSANIO (GB) Jan22 Dec02       (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNNATURAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  KYLE'S DEGREE Feb15 Feb05       (o'connor robe)MORALES PABLO 126 12.00 ★    
  (by ASTERN out of PLEASANT WIND by PLEASANT COLONY)
7  UNEXPECTED (JPN) Jan05         (antonucci je)ARROYO S 126 30.00    
  (by SMART FALCON out of SHIRAYUKI by KUROFUNE)
 
TAM-4   03/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO MAGICO Feb01 Jan14       (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
2  DECEITFUL Feb12 Jan08 Dec07 Sep12 Aug22 (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  REINVEST Feb04         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  SUERTE Feb11 Jan21 Dec02 Oct08 Sep09 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 1.60 ★    
5  GRAND PICK Jan28 Dec21 Oct30 Sep11 Aug13 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  MR JACK Mar03 Dec10 Nov06     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   03/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAINOUT Mar01 Feb01 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
2  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
3  ROUNDABOUT Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec07 Sep17 (terranova p)FERRER C 119 6.00 ★    
4  HIGH VIBES Mar08 Jan18 Dec24 Nov26 Sep17 (seale christop)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 ★    
5  REDZILLA Mar04 Feb17 Feb04 Jan15 Jan04 (paragallo )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 30.00    
6  WALKS LIKE A LADY Mar02 Feb08 Jan06 Dec28 Jun17 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  INVESTMENT INCOME Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Nov08 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
8  WASSER Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec24 Dec16 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
9  C C'S FREEDOM Jan20 Jan07 Oct01 Aug26 Aug02 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
10  BEASTIE GIRL Mar08 Sep05 Aug09 Jul13 Jun10 (rountree cat)BATISTA A 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  GREEN GAL Mar02 Feb09 Aug14 Jul08 Jun11 (rizo jua)FERNANDEZ R 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKING IT TWISTED Mar08 Feb22 Feb04 Jan18 Jul07 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 8.00 ★    
2  LET'S BE HONEST Mar08 Jan15 Dec11 Dec02 Nov04 (arriagada ju)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00    
3  SO MOXIE Feb25 Oct24 Oct03 Sep21 Sep08 (dominguez lui)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00    
SCR  GIRLS IN CHARGE Feb24 Feb03 Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
5  MURUMBI Feb03 Jan06 Dec11 Oct26 Oct06 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 ★    
6  PRETTY RACHEL Mar01 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  ALIZEE Mar01 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Dec07 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-7   03/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPRAY Jan14         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  GO MIKA Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 Dec22 Dec01 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
3  GROMANTINE (FR)         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
4  SUSIE'S SAVER Mar08 Feb18 Dec18 Nov02 Sep28 (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
5  WORLDLY BEAUTY Feb10 Nov01 Aug20 Jul11 Jun23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
6  LA TACHE Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec10 Nov18 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 10.00 ★    
7  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Feb23 Jan25 Aug20     (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
8  BOUDICA Oct08 Sep01 Aug10     (carroll )GALLARDO A 118 1.60 25% 2.90    
9  AZTEC PRINCESS Feb10 Jan18 Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   03/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S MAGIC Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec02 Oct14 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
2  JUST PRAISE Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 (guciardo kathy)BUSH V 119 10.00    
3  FAST N STEADY Feb26 Feb01 Dec08 May06 Mar31 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
4  LINO'S KID Feb26 Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 Nov10 (tsirigotis jam)COTTO L 119 30.00    
5  PIVOTAL RUN Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Nov05 Oct08 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
6  BOURBON BROWN Mar03 Feb01 Nov30 Aug16 Jul11 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 119 6.00    
7  JOE BRAINS Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Nov30 Nov02 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
8  EYE ON THE CANDY Mar31 Feb18       (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
9  FOOD BANK HELPER Mar03 Sep23 Aug15 Jul22 Jun18 (mcburney p)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00    
10  FAST PAYDAY Mar03 Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 Aug23 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  BUSTIN UP Mar03 Jan27 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  DISTORTED TIMES Mar05 Jul28 Jun18 Jun01 May04 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 123 10.00    
SCR  THE BEST DISTANCE Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 Aug31 Aug06 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  BLACK SEAL Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov12 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.