Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/1/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6/7)-(2/1/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6/7)-(2/1/3/6/7)-(2/1/3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6/7)-(7/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6/7)-(7/2/4)-(1/6/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/5/1)-(7/2/4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(1/6/7)-(5/1/6/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-3   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/2/4)-(1/6/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(5/1/6/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(5/1/6/4/2)-(6/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/1/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4/2)-(5/1/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4/2)-(5/1/6/4/2)-(5/1/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4/2)-(6/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4/2)-(6/5/7)-(5/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/3/8)-(6/5/7/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(5/4)-(4/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/6/2)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1/7)-(4/6/2/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/8/6/1)-(3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/1)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS SKYWALKER Feb05 Jan22 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 15% 5.90    
2  NOOGE Feb04 Jan20 Apr07 Mar09   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  TEXAS PRADO Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov19 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  BILLY YANK Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec08 Nov05 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
5  EUROEAST Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
6  BRAZIL NUT Jan20 Dec10 Sep14 Aug24 Jul22 (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 8% 11.10    
7  VAPORIZED Feb05 Jan13 Dec06 Jul11 Jun22 (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 15.00 6% 15.00    
 
HOU-2   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY MACHO Feb10 Jul23 Jun26     (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 ★    
2  DOUGH BOY Jan28 Jul23 Jun26 May15   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
3  MY LITTLE PRINCE Feb10 Jan21 Jun05 May15   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50    
4  TAPITURE JONES Jan20 Nov07 Oct14 Jul08 Jun05 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  MORO OUTLAW Feb03 Jan20 Dec29 Nov16 Oct21 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 ★    
6  NIGHTWIND Feb18 Jan16 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
7  POSEIDONS WAVE Feb11 Jan28       (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
HOU-3   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITEROSE JEWEL Feb04 Nov25 Sep26 Sep10 Aug16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
2  BIG WAVE JAMES Feb17 Sep01 Jul23 Jun18   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 ★    
3  LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Mar25 Feb24       (pruitt jody)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
4  WILBERT Feb10 Jan20 Oct28 Oct05 Aug19 (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 ★    
5  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Feb17 Sep08       (bravo franci)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
6  HENDERSON Nov05 Oct21 Sep17 Aug31 Jul28 (rubley kelly)LUZZI J 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  TOP COP         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 5.00 7% 13.20    
8  WOHLGEMUTH (ITY)         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
SCR  NEPHI Feb20 Jan19 Nov26     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.00    
 
HOU-4   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGON TRAIN         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
2  OFF TO THE RACES Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 Sep27 Sep13 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
3  UPTOWN BIGBADJON Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 Apr28   (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of MERRIWEATHER by OPENING VERSE)
4  GOLD BARON Feb10         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 6% 16.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FIFTYSHADESOFGOLD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
5  GOLD PRIZE Nov12 Sep30 Sep07 Aug19 Jul24 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
6  MAYAN Jan15 Dec09 Nov09 Sep22   (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LOST EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  BIG BAD DON Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Feb10 Jan30 (hernandez alex)BENAVIDES D 123 50.00    
  (by CASUAL AL out of WHITE FEATHER by DOUBLE D. SLEW)
8  CALARI BLUECAT Feb10         (keen da)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
 
HOU-5   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT OKIE Jan20 Dec16 Dec07 Nov14 Oct20 (young e)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
2  MANO DURA Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct01 (asmussen m)DIEGO V 122 3.00    
3  PHANTOM RIDE Feb11 Jan01 Nov14 Oct18 Sep21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 ★    
4  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov03 Oct01 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
5  JERSEY JIM Jan27 Nov22 Nov07     (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
6  U. S. ARMY Jan28 Nov22 Sep25 Sep07   (davis shawn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
7  BRIGGSEY Dec07 Nov08 Oct20 Sep30 Aug27 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
8  COSMIC SOUL Feb03 Dec26 Nov04 Sep11 Jul31 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-6   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOOVES YOUR DADDY Feb10 Dec16 Nov22 Nov07 Oct07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
2  RESOLUTIONIST Feb20 Jan14 Dec10 Nov18   (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 1.80    
3  TAPIT CITY Mar24 Mar02 Feb11     (mcdaniel )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
4  GOLD VERMILION Jan01 Dec10 Oct26 Oct08 Jul22 (keen da)GONCALVES R 123 8.00 8% 10.80    
5  CLIFF DIVER Feb20 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Jul24 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Feb19 Jan08 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50    
7  JOHN DOUGH Jan14 Jul08 Jun19 May29 May08 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
8  OLD SOT Feb19 Jan08 Nov27 Oct26 Sep26 (g)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 ★    
9  DYNA STRIKE Feb20 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
SCR  BIG RESULTS Feb10 Jan14 Dec21 Nov30 Oct28 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  ENDLESS SUNSET Feb23 Dec29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00    
SCR  HENNING Feb11 Jan21 Dec14 Sep11 Aug16 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 9% 10.00    
 
HOU-7   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Feb11 Jan27 Jul21 Jul10   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  MORE THAN SHAKIN Feb14 Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 Dec05 (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
3  BLINGONMERCURY Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 Jul21 Jun26 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  PHILOGYNY STREET Aug30         (love alan)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
5  MOONPIE IN THE SKY Feb17 Jan27 Jan06     (dupuy allen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of READUM N REAP by YOUR EMINENCE)
6  BUD GIRL Feb11         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 34% 1.90    
  (by ALTERNATION out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
7  BREEZY BAY         (russell rac)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 ★    
  (by BETA CAPO out of BREEZY KNOWL by VAN NISTELROOY)
8  TWITTER TRAFFIC Jan27         (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ALL A TWITTER by D'WILDCAT)
9  CRANKY SHEILA Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Dec14   (w)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLING'S ACE by TOO MUCH BLING)
10  MOR PEANUTS         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SUSAN B by JOHANNESBURG)
11  PHUNK Feb11 Jan06 Jul17 Jun26 May13 (davis s)GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of ESS E CEE by LAWYER RON)
12  AZUNIA Feb11 Jan15       (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 4.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
 
HOU-8   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIP THE COIN JAN Jul23 Jun26 May22 May14 Apr29 (c)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 8% 11.40    
2  MAGIC BOW Feb11 Jun05 May14 Mar04 Jan06 (stidham j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
3  WAYPOINT Feb22 Dec27 Dec14 Nov12 Oct26 (almaguer angel)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
4  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 Dec08 Nov10 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
5  FRESH ONE Feb11 Jan22 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  MEGA BOND Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Jul12 Jun14 (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  AFLEET SNIPER Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov08 Oct12 (pruitt jody )ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
8  WITH VERVE Jan07 Nov27 Nov13 Oct07 Jun12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
9  CROCODILE JACQUES Feb03 Oct22 Apr09 Feb16 Jan29 (zenon alvin)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00    
SCR  LANGUAGE BARRIER Feb11 Jan22 Dec19 Oct23 Aug27 (sayre d)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
11  MEAN CANNON Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 Nov15 Oct23 (williams st)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
SCR  RIVER RULER Feb11 Jan08 Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
13  DRUM AND BASS Feb19 Feb05 Jan06 Dec07 Oct31 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
SCR  K C TIZ MORO Feb05 Jan14 Jun19 May08 Mar26 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
HOU-9   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITCH'S VOW Feb17 Dec08 Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 (alberto antonio)SANCHEZ M 122 3.50    
2  DARE TO FAIL Feb16 Jan20 Dec22 Oct21 Sep11 (gomez david)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
3  FLASH OF GENIUS Feb16 Jan14 Dec10 Sep25 Sep09 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
4  BRUCELEA Feb19 Jan22 Oct26 Oct01 Aug20 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Feb19 Jan28 Nov25 Nov12 Nov05 (rossi j)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
6  WEST TEXAS BOB Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Dec08 (butler w)BOURQUE J 122 50.00    
7  LARIDAE Feb03 Dec17 Nov15 Oct28 Oct13 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00    
8  GOLIATH RIDGE Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 30.00    
9  PRINCE OF GLORY Feb12 Feb03 Jan08 Dec09 Sep15 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00    
SCR  BIG BERNIE May21 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 (willis )GONCALVES R 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  FIND NEW ROADS Jan28 Nov21       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.