Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/4/6)-(1/5/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/4)-(6/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/5/3/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6/4)-(7/5/3/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6/4)-(7/5/3/6/4)-(7/5/3/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6/4)-(6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6/4)-(6/4)-(3/7/5/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/5/1)-(6/4/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/7/5/1)-(5/3/1/2/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/4)-(3/7/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/5/1)-(5/3/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/1)-(5/3/1/2/6)-(8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/1/2/6)-(8) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/2/6)-(8)-(8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-6   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/3/7/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8)-(8/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8)-(8/5)-(2/9/4/1/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/3/1/6)-(8/5/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5)-(2/9/4/1/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/9/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/1/7)-(2/9/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/1/7)-(2/9/4/1/7)-(2/9/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE EMPIRE Jan29 Jan02 Nov11 Oct30 Sep11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.20 48% 1.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of TAPITRY by TAPIT)
2  LIL BOSS Feb04 Dec27       (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SARA'S CAPE by CAPE TOWN)
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 Nov09 Oct19 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 9% 9.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  MORE TAJ         (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 124 12.00 ★    
  (by CONGRATS out of MORETHANBEAUTIFUL by MORE THAN READY)
5  LINDA'S TAJ Jan13 Dec14 Dec02 Nov02 Oct07 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
6  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Jan25 Jan13 Dec02 Nov17 May30 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 117 15.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of KYNESS by CONGRATS)
 
CT-2   02/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEIRS MINUTE Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
2  TWIN CAUSE Dec14 Dec04 Oct22 Oct02 Sep10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
3  LUNAR PRAYER Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov05 Oct15 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
4  STOPWATCHSONNY Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  CASTLE LIGHTS Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov09 Oct08 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 13% 6.40    
6  MY PRETTY EYES Jan14 Dec07 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  DIXIE YODELER Jan20 Jan06 Nov30 Nov18 Oct07 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-3   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) Feb09 Jan26 Dec01 Oct27 Jul20 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 ★    
2  DRY WELL Feb03 Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00 ★    
3  TIMEISGOLDEN Dec06 Nov26 Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
4  BACI Feb02 Jan20 Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 34% 1.90    
5  MISS CHAMITA Feb04 Jan30 Jan18 Jan06 Dec18 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 ★    
6  MOONLIT SHADOW Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 Jun10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
CT-4   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLBANK MAN         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
2  MR MAJESTIC Feb08 Dec11 Oct18 Sep11   (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of LA BELLE CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  MIGHTY MINION Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 Nov09   (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ROBBINETTE by EAVESDROPPER)
4  WILDERZAR Feb10 Dec10 Nov27 Nov13 Oct13 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00 ★    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILDERNESS AREA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
5  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb11 Feb02 Jan13 Jan03 Dec09 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Feb08 Dec09 Nov26 Oct29   (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 122 4.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
7  RECKLESS AFFAIR Jan07 Nov18 Oct22 Aug26 Aug11 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
 
CT-5   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REY O REYES Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 Dec15 (adorno jea)RIVERA R 113 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  GET OFF MY CLOUD Jan27 Dec08 Nov17 Nov05 Oct20 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  TIMMY Jan26 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep09 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  MR. HOSTLER Nov04 Oct18 Oct11 Aug17 Aug05 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
5  LEG UP Feb08 Jan26 Nov30 Nov16 Oct14 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
6  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Feb15 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Aug20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 7% 13.00    
7  CHASE LIL ME Feb08 Jan13 Nov30 Nov04 Oct22 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   02/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REJOICE         (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LIGHT AND VARIABLE by TIZNOW)
2  AFLEET AIRO         (jones e)BAEZ M 115 10.00 ★    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MAGGYS AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
3  BABY BULLDOG Feb04 Jan14 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 ★    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of POLLARD'S GIRL by POLLARD'S VISION)
4  MAJOR NELSON         (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
5  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Feb04 Jan14 Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 (rideout a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of REGAL DAVIDA by HOLY BULL)
6  KIDMAN KERRY Jan24 Nov01 Oct18 Sep24   (whylie herold)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STARSONHERSHOULDER by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  CALERA LOVE Feb04 Jan13       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 117 4.50 ★    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
8  IRISH VALENTINE Feb04         (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 117 2.50 69% 0.40    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of INDIAN BEAUTY by FAST BULLET)
 
CT-7   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYS CASTLE Feb01 Jan19 Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00 ★    
2  KATALIMA Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
3  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Feb01 Jan14 Dec15 Nov19 Nov11 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.50 ★    
4  DALLAS Jan14 Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Nov04 (salinas)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
5  COUSIN WINNIE Jan25 Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 15% 5.90    
6  MAP THE MOMENT Feb10 Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Mar18 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 ★    
7  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jan20 Dec21 Nov11 Sep22 Sep05 (king l)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
8  LUCYLOU WHO Feb10 Jan14 Dec08 Nov19 Oct20 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 59% 0.70    
 
CT-8   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALYPSO GHOST Jan27 Nov13 Oct29 Jun10 Apr03 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 12.00 7% 12.90    
2  SHACKABOOM Feb04 Jan18 Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  SHINY PENNY Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
4  STYLISH PAINT Feb04 Dec10 Oct15 Sep24 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
5  HAD THE NOTION Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct27 Oct15 (harting r)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
6  SUPERSTASIA Jan26 Jan12 Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
7  SEEDS OF TIME Feb04 Jan18 Dec10 Nov12 Oct29 (davis billy)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00 6% 16.00    
8  CHEESE LOUISE Feb10 Jan07 Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
9  ONEPRETTYTHING Feb04 Jan18 Dec14 Sep07 Aug24 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.