Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(2/1/6)-(4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/5/3)-(2/1/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/5)-(2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/7/8/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/3/7/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/3/7/8/1)-(9/1/5/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/8/1)-(2/3/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8/1)-(2/3/7/8/1)-(2/3/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/7/8/1)-(9/1/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/8/1)-(9/1/5/11)-(8/5/4/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/1/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/11)-(9/1/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/11)-(9/1/5/11)-(9/1/5/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/5/11)-(8/5/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/11)-(8/5/4/7/3)-(2/3/5/9/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (8/5/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7/3)-(8/5/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7/3)-(8/5/4/7/3)-(8/5/4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/4/7/3)-(2/3/5/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/3/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/9/10)-(2/3/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/9/10)-(2/3/5/9/10)-(2/3/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMING JACK Jan27 Jan04 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 ★    
2  SHACKLED Feb08 Jan06 May05 Apr08 Mar10 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
3  BUCKED TOOTH Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  JAIME JAMEL Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Aug28 Aug17 (cruz jaime)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 ★    
5  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Feb08 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Sep17 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.60 38% 1.70    
6  SCOTTY SILVER Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 (aylor )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
7  MEGA MILLIONS Feb01 Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Oct15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
CT-2   02/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENGUIN PARADE Jan20 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  ONE NIGHT MIKE Jan20 Dec16 Nov16 Oct08 Sep23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  THUNDERINREADYRICK Feb08 Jan07 Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 ★    
4  SPANGLISH Jan20 Dec16 Oct14 Sep08 Jun16 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
5  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 ★    
6  ROYAL PAIN Feb08 Jan19 Dec16 Jun25 May14 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
 
CT-3   02/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 Sep15 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 ★    
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 ★    
3  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Jan18 Jan12 Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 (sandoval m)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
4  JACK'S LILLY Feb10 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  SWEET ANNABELLA Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Nov17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
6  GOSSIPING Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
SCR  SHINY PENNY Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
CT-4   02/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK CANDY Feb11 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 (tomczak mark)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
2  MATH MAN MARCO Dec14 Nov17 Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
3  BE BE BOP Oct28 Sep01 Jun17 May19 Apr27 (davis billy)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST Feb02 Jul14       (brown r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00 ★    
5  MAJESTIC SEAS Feb02 Jan13 Oct28 Jul08 Jun17 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  FOREVER TAKES TIME Feb02 Oct29 Jul14 Jun09 May19 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
7  FREEDOM IS RINGING Feb08 Jan14 Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 8.00 ★    
 
CT-5   02/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY QUINN Jan26 Dec18 Nov04 Sep05 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00 8% 11.90    
2  MO CO GOLD Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov14 Oct16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
3  LADY SERENITY Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 (salzman john)LEWIS M 111 5.00 13% 6.50    
4  SISTER'S DUTY Jan29 Dec08 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
SCR  IN GOOD TROUBLE Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
6  LECTRIC ROD Oct22 Oct06       (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 118 15.00    
7  MANAGED MISCHIEF Jan13 Dec07 Nov10     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
8  CASTLE TOY Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
CT-6   02/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS HORIZON Feb02 Jan11 Nov30 Jul07 Jun18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (bowman elex )LEWIS M 113 30.00    
SCR  KEY TO THE CASTLE Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
4  LAURA'S GRAND Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
5  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Feb02 Jan11 Dec15     (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
7  PRETTY CASTLE Feb02 Jan25 Nov30 Nov03 Sep28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
SCR  SWEETSTREETDREAMS         (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
10  BANK CARD Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24   (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
11  OK EMILY         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE POTATOES Jan11 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
2  REMEMBERING WILBUR Feb10 Aug13 Aug05 Jun26 May27 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
3  FRIENDLY FELLA Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 Oct16 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUTTONED UP Jan27 Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Feb01 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct25 (morrell ju)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  CLOSE THE CASE Feb01 Jan11 Nov24 Sep29 Sep09 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
7  ROYAL THUNDER Feb01 Jan16 Dec04 Oct14 Sep25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 13% 7.00    
8  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
CT-8   02/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINNER BELL Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 Oct20 (king yo)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
2  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Feb04 Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  VIDMER'S COURAGE Jan27 Nov10 Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
4  FOREVER THE BOSS Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
5  BILLINGSGATE Feb04 Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (magana jose )BATISTA A 122 3.50 5% 18.50    
6  POLITICAL DECISION Feb02 Dec14 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
7  GOT FLOFFY Feb10 Jan19 Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
8  ABOUT TO RAGE Oct20 Sep16 Aug20 Jul07 Jun17 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
9  FIT BUT FAT Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  ADIOS SEE YA Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Dec02 Nov17 (straughn william)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.