Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2/1)-(5/3/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/2)-(5/1/7)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/2/6)-(5/1/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(4/1/6)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2/3)-(4/1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/2)-(4/6/1/5/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/6/1/5/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(4/6/1/5/2)-(6/1/3/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/6/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5/2)-(4/6/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5/2)-(4/6/1/5/2)-(4/6/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5/2)-(6/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5/2)-(6/1/3/5)-(1/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5/2)-(6/1/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/3/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5)-(1/3)-(8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/11)-(1/3/11) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Jan26 Jan12 Aug24 Jul30 Jun16 (romero j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 ★    
2  MEG AND CLAIR Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Aug21 Jul11 (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 8.00 6% 16.30    
3  MAGICAL STARDUST Jan19 Dec29 Sep26 Aug16 Apr29 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  HAPPY SAILS Jan19 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 Aug06 (silva carlos )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
5  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Dec29 Dec15 Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 (duhon joseph)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 0.80 32% 2.20    
 
FG-2   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE STAR MAX Jan20         (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  IRON FORTUNE Jan16 Apr13 Mar17 Feb20   (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 5.00 ★    
3  ELIEZER Apr20 Mar04       (hirdes john)MURRAY M 125 8.00    
4  WILD FIST Jan07 Dec08 Nov27 Aug18 Jun24 (peterson je)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00    
5  THEOS FLEW Dec08 Nov26 Sep26     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
6  CAME OUT KICKIN Dec17 Nov19       (romero lynn)CULP BRIANNE 112 10.00 ★    
7  MINE YOUR BIZ Jan16 Dec16 Nov27 Aug26   (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FG-3   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET VISTA Jan15 Dec10 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
2  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Jan05 Dec23 Dec03 Nov24 Sep05 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 ★    
3  CRYPTOZONIC Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Sep12 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 ★    
4  YOUNG TUSCAN Jan15 Nov26 Sep13 Jul26 Jul14 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Jun15 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 115 8.00    
6  ALTERANA Jan15 Dec10 Nov03 Oct12 Aug06 (charles keith)MELANCON G 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
FG-4   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHER JEFF Jan07 Dec16 Nov27 Apr15 Mar24 (arndt theodore)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 ★    
2  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Jan15 Dec08 Sep27 Aug27   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  INFINITESIMAL Jan01 Dec11       (david b)CULP BRIANNE 120 2.50 ★    
4  STAR READY Jan07 Dec17 Aug21     (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 117 8.00    
5  ALL TOGETHER Jan15 Dec31       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00    
6  RONALDS GATSBY Jan07 Dec08 Nov26 Nov02 Sep26 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  CARROLL CREEK Jan15         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 112 12.00 ★    
8  HARD KINGS Jan07 Nov26 Mar20 Mar09 Jan30 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
 
FG-5   02/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY BEHAVE Jan13 Dec08 Nov16 Oct14 Sep15 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
2  ANGEL OF VERDUN Jan15 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul20 (ladner joh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 10% 9.00    
3  ROYA Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 Aug30 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
4  TOTAL MALICE Dec11 Nov18 Oct13 Sep19 Aug05 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  JUST PASSING THRU Jan15 Dec22 Sep27 Aug27 Aug02 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  SENSE YOU LEFT Jan15 Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun05 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
 
FG-6   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME THE TOLL Jan22 Dec22       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  JACKIE FLASH Jan16 Jan06 Dec15 Sep27 Sep07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 125 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  SULTRY LASS         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
4  SURREY Dec15 Mar09 Feb17 Jan10   (delany sarah)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  TRANSPARENCY         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 125 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
6  KIKI KRAZY         (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AUNT ELS by CONSOLIDATOR)
7  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Dec19 Jul30       (mcgee paul)CARROLL DECLAN 125 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LOTSANDLOTSOFHOPE by TIZNOW)
8  MAGIC PALACE Nov09         (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
 
FG-7   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLTORO Dec14 Oct14 Sep08 Jul04   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
2  CALM COOL         (stall m)LANERIE J 117 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
3  CAMP AKEELA Nov19 Sep28 Sep05 Jul15   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TREE CHOPPER by WOODMAN)
SCR  SUPER COOL STORM Jan12 Oct28       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
SCR  CHAMELEON Jul02 May25 Apr24     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  ACTING Sep10 Jul22       (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MOANIN (FR) by MEDICEAN (GB))
7  MO LOVIN Dec23 Nov26       (ortiz alexa)PARKER L 117 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BSHARPSONATA by PULPIT)
SCR  FANCY CABER NEIGH Dec23         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 117 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FANCY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
SCR  TIANA'S STAR (GB)         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of TIANA by CURLIN)
10  SALSALITA VERDE Jan20         (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
11  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Dec31 Nov18       (shirer a)PARKER L 117 6.00 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
12  LAYLA'S SONG Jan12 Oct24 Oct11 Sep22 Aug21 (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CUPOLA by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  JAYLA Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 117 6.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
FG-8   02/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KASEN'S SISTER Jan16 Dec29 Nov09 Oct21 Aug12 (leblanc jeanne)HEBERT J 121 12.00    
2  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Sep20 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00    
3  KEHRON'S CREED Jul30 Jun18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHADES OF TRUTH Jan19 Dec30 Nov19 Oct20 Aug27 (delany sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  CANDY'S PRIDE Jan16 Dec26 Nov25 Sep25 Aug16 (morrell cynthia)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
SCR  SCAMPERING GRAYCE Jan29 Sep24 Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
7  BLONDIE LOX BABE Jun18 Apr13 Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  THEBOYZGALAXY Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Sep13 May30 (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
9  PEACEFUL VISION Jan19 Dec29 Sep13 Jul30 Jul13 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.