Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/7/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8/6)-(3/7/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8/6)-(7)-(3/6/1/4) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/5/6/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(3/6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7)-(3/6/1/4)-(1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/4)-(1)-(8/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(8/4)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(7/4/5)-(6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(6/2/3)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(5/6/3)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Jan16 Dec15 Nov19 Oct29 Oct19 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SOME IS NINE Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 Oct27 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 122 30.00    
3  RAISE YOUR GAME Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 Oct14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  NOTION INTERRUPTUS Jan15 Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
5  IF THEN Jan16 Dec31 Nov05 Oct08 Sep02 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.00    
6  MO FIRE Jan16 Dec31 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 5.00 7% 14.30    
7  ICY REPLY Jan16 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
8  CAUSE TO DREAM Jan22 Dec31 Nov27     (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 8% 11.00    
 
LRL-2   02/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NOT A BABY Dec31 Nov24 Oct13 Aug31   (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 5.00 ★    
2  THE THINKER Sep18 Sep05 Aug23 Jul12 Jun25 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00    
SCR  SEE OUT Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Nov20 Nov05 (meister s)DELGADO A 126 3.50 53% 0.90    
4  TEGO Jan14 Dec16 Nov27 Nov07   (casey jam)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
5  WIRED IN Jan14 Dec16 Oct20 Oct08 Feb27 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.00 ★    
6  SECRET SANCTUARY Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 ★    
7  SWALLOW BEACH Sep17 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 May15 (meister william)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 20% 3.90    
 
LRL-3   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDGE BOY PALACE Jan06 Dec04 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 9% 9.70    
2  ICY MINISTER Jan06 Nov24 Nov04 Oct15 Sep07 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00    
3  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jan18 Jan08 Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  HELLMAN Jan16 Dec29 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 6.00 9% 9.70    
5  ARISTOCAT Jan16 Dec30 Dec02 Nov20 Nov05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.00 ★    
6  STAR SHOPPING Jan13 Dec30 Nov20 Nov04 Oct20 (robb troy)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PHRA PHROM Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 Oct23 Oct02 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00    
8  TENAX Jan20 Jan13 Dec18 Nov21 Nov04 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00    
 
LRL-4   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R TENDERONI Dec17 Nov07 Oct26 Oct09 Sep14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  GRINGOTTS Dec30 Dec04 Nov04 Oct09 Sep15 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
3  MY BOSS LADY Jan20 Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 Nov06 (nazario pedro)ALVELO C 123 8.00 ★    
4  ABIDALE Jan16 Dec02 Oct31 Oct10 Sep21 (ness jamie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 ★    
5  DULCE KIARA Jan06 Nov24 Oct22 Sep23 Aug19 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 ★    
6  HOW LUCKY Jan01 Jul03 May27 May01 Mar04 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 ★    
7  BIG CHEEKS Jan07 Jan01 Nov30 Jul02 Jun01 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
 
LRL-5   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST MY VOWCHER Jan18 Dec20 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 12.00    
SCR  MR THRIFTY Jan10 Dec06 Oct25 Oct04 Sep01 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 123 8.00 ★    
3  OXIDE Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 Nov11 Oct22 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 ★    
4  ACE NINE NINE Dec27 Dec06 Nov14 Aug17 Jul15 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  CLUBMAN Jan19 Dec18 Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
SCR  BOBBY G Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 (mohan r)ACOSTA D 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  SPEAK UNITY Jan29 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 30.00    
8  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jan08 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 Sep07 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
LRL-6   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENANDJOE Nov24 Nov04 Sep24 Jun26 Jun04 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 6.00    
1A  BRILLIANT CHASE Nov30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar15 Jan26 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00    
2  EXCELLORATOR Dec31 Nov24 Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
2X  SEICHE Jan17 Jan03 Nov24 Nov02 Oct16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
SCR  SECRET ALLIANCE Jan07 Dec22 Jun17 May09 Apr16 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 15.00    
4  GUILLAUME Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 Oct27 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  SHAFT'S BULLET Jan06 Feb20       (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  CROUCHELLI Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (vukelic robert )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
7  GULFSTREAM WAY Dec18 Nov25 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (cox h)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  MOSE PERFECT Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Oct29 Sep25 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 ★    
9  JALEN JOURNEY Jan16 Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 Oct29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 12.00    
10  WORKIN ON A DREAM Jan15 Dec30 Jun04 May20 Apr23 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00 ★    
 
LRL-7   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR TOCSIN Sep24 Aug23 Jul16 Jun10 May21 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 10.00 ★    
2  GOING TO THE LEAD Jan29 Jan19 Dec30 Dec18 Dec10 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
3  GAGETOWN Jan19 Jan07 Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 (cash norman)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 8% 11.40    
4  NOBLE GASTON Dec07 Nov16 Apr13 Mar23   (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 126 6.00    
5  WHISKEY AND YOU Jan21 Oct22 May08 Apr08 Mar19 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
6  DREAMS UNTOLD Jun21 Mar07 Feb01     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 4.00 48% 1.10    
7  JOHN THE BEAR Jan16 Dec03 Nov05 Mar27 Mar06 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISLEY SINGING Jan07 Dec18 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 (frock charle)LEWIS M 116 15.00    
2  STREET LUTE Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr23   (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS KOKACHIN Oct30 May20 Apr23 Mar13 Feb20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50 13% 6.80    
4  MOODY WOMAN Jan07 Nov26 Nov11 Sep24 Aug26 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00 ★    
5  RESPONSE TIME Jan07 Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  FRAUDULENT CHARGE May06 Apr15 Feb10     (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
LRL-9   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER SPIRIT Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Nov25 Nov03 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 120 15.00 ★    
2  IRISH LACE Jan21         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  CALM N COLLECTED Jan13         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00    
4  SWEET FACTOR Jan15 Jan07 Dec03 Nov12 Sep01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 ★    
5  CAMI RACHELLE Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Oct23 Oct01 (salzman ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  JIMMYDABOOK Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct20 (smith d)ALVELO C 120 10.00    
7  WAVERLEY Jan15 Dec29 Nov21 Nov12 Oct27 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 ★    
8  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Jan15 Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 (juarez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.