Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/2/1)-(7/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/3/7)-(4/2/1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/4/2)-(5/4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/6/1)-(7/4/2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/3)-(5/8/2)-(3/2/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/3/4)-(5/8/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/8/2/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8/5)-(3/2/4/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(3/8/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/8)-(3/8/2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/8/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4/6)-(3/8/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4/6)-(3/8/2/4/6)-(3/8/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(8/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6/1)-(2/4/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/8/6)-(8/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/2)-(8/9/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/2)-(8/9/1/2/4)-(8/9/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME OUTLAW Dec16 Nov19 Oct26 Oct08   (pruitt m)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
2  BLAKE FROM TISH         (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
3  LOOPY DUDE Jan06 Nov26       (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  PURE CANE SUGAR Jan27 Dec07       (a)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  TREASURE COAST Jan27 Dec15 Nov26 Oct27   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 ★    
6  PROPERLY CONNECTED Jan20 Dec20 Dec01 Oct14 Sep27 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
7  BIG TICKET Jan27         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
 
HOU-2   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKING GUITAR Jan14 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00 7% 13.90    
2  SACRED SUNDAY Jan14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 Oct17 (davidson sa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00 10% 9.20    
3  NAUGHTY NATALIE Dec14 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 Jul12 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 6.00 ★    
4  KELLEY SAID READY Jul09 Jun17 May15 Apr29 Apr02 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  CATO'S LADY Jan13 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 (w)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
6  PALM COURT Dec11 Nov25 Oct30 Aug02 Jul05 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.60    
7  WILD PROSPECT Jan14 Dec15 Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   02/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOLDEN BLING Jan21 Dec09 Nov18 Oct19 Sep22 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 8.00 ★    
2  REDEFINITION Oct28 Oct08 Aug26 Jun26 May30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  XTRA SPICY Jan27 Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 Sep07 (j)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
4  CHIKARA Jan06 Oct20 Sep29 Jul21 Jun23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  MIA BABY Jan13 Nov04 Oct19 Oct01 Sep17 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
6  NEON SUMMER Oct12 Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 Jul04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 3.00 ★    
7  TIZ MAGIC Jul16 May30 May08 Feb10   (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 1.00 50% 1.00    
 
HOU-4   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED N WILD Jan16 Dec03 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 ★    
2  DRIVEHAPPY Jan21 Sep25 Sep01 Feb24   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
3  WARRIOR'S MAP Jan16 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 6% 14.60    
4  ERNIE BANKER Jan15 Jan01 Nov07 Oct12 Sep29 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct12 Sep29 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
6  MOVER Jan06 Nov14 Oct12 Sep28 Sep03 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50    
7  RARE STRIPE Jan14 Dec14 Nov03 Oct19 Sep17 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
HOU-5   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAWK'S LIL AVA Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 Jul11 (pruitt jody )ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
2  MAZI Jan13 Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 Oct01 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 6% 16.20    
3  ITS A GEE THING Jun19 May22 May13 Apr29 Apr08 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 ★    
4  LUNA S Jan13 Nov07 Oct19 Oct01 Sep08 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 ★    
5  JIBE Jan13 Dec03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  AUNT JANA Nov09 Oct26 Aug24 Aug12 Jul28 (mallery vonn)EDISON JOCELYN 118 20.00    
7  TWO ANGELS Jan15 Jul04 Jun18 May22 May12 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
8  AMANTE DE SARA Jan21 Jul23 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
HOU-6   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 45 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT TOM Jun05 May15 Apr08     (padilla car)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50    
2  SPEND AGAIN Jan16 Nov25 Feb21 Jan02   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  NOOGE Jan20 Apr07 Mar09     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  LIBERTY SPIRIT Dec16 Nov30 Nov03 May24 May11 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
5  BLACKHEATH Jan15 Jun03 May22 Apr18   (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 ★    
6  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Jan16 May20 Apr30 Apr09   (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
7  VINDICATO Jan16 Nov25 Nov09 Oct21 Oct07 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00    
8  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jan20 Nov30 Jun25 Jun16 Jun05 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  UNCLE CHAN Dec20 Nov10 Aug20     (mallery vonn)EDISON JOCELYN 118 30.00    
 
HOU-7   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY FLIRT Jan16 Jan07 Dec07 Oct08 Aug27 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 1.80    
2  SHESMYBROKER Jan07 Dec15 Nov18 Oct26 Sep04 (davidson sa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 8% 12.20    
3  MAYAPRETTY Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 Nov15 Oct24 (garza joaqu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00 38% 1.70    
4  HIGH VALUE TARGET Jan15 Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 15.00 7% 14.00    
5  SALACIOUSACUSATION Oct27 Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 Mar18 (m)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
6  TAKE ME AS I AM Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 Nov09 Sep16 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 5% 18.60    
7  RIVER LIBERTY Nov03 Aug26 Jul18 Jul12 Jun21 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
8  AWESOME SUNSET Jan16 Dec05 Oct03 Jun06 May25 (williams )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  VEILAZIG Jan16 Dec07 Nov12 Nov04 Oct26 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50    
 
HOU-8   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA SKY TRAVELER Jan13 Aug19 Jun19 May27 May13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 ★    
2  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Jan13 Jul09 Jun17 May27 Apr29 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  HEAD OVER BOOTS Aug27 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 May28 (echeverri)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 15.00    
4  HAPPY SAILOR Jul17 Jul09 Jun17 May27 May21 (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  BEBOP BABY Jan16 Nov30 Nov12 Jul21 Jul04 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 119 30.00    
6  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jan13 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul06 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00 9% 10.40    
7  TOOTIE Jan16 Dec01 May22 May06 Mar25 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00    
8  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Jan16 Nov30 Sep25 Sep03 May21 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 10% 8.50    
 
HOU-9   02/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILL OF THE NIGHT Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep14 Jun11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
2  SINNIN N GRINNIN Jan16 Dec17 Dec03 Nov03 Jun17 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 3.00 8% 10.90    
3  GEE SHE'S PRETTY Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 Oct27 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
4  BALLERINI Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 Jun11 May01 (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50 ★    
5  DIFFERENTBUTOK Dec15 Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
6  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Jan06 Dec01 Nov10 Aug13 Jul16 (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
7  TEXAS THUNDER Jan08 Aug27 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 (jacks)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
8  SUMMER LIGHTNING Jan08 Nov04 Oct01 Aug26 Jul16 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 123 8.00 35% 1.90    
9  SERENDIPITY COCO Dec09 Nov03 Sep21     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.