Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/1/4/2)-(10/1/2/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(10/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(10/1/2/8)-(6/3/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/2/8)-(10/1/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/2/8)-(10/1/2/8/6)-(10/1/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/2/8)-(6/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/2/8)-(6/3/7/5)-(3/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5/2)-(6/3/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(3/8/4)-(6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/7/1)-(3/8/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/8/4)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4)-(6/4/7)-(5/6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/2/7/5)-(6/4/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(5/6/3/1)-(3/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(3/4/8)-(3/2/10/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/5/1)-(3/4/8/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(3/2/10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (3/2/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/1/5)-(3/2/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/1/5)-(3/2/10/1/5)-(3/2/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAN Jan20 Dec20 Dec08 Nov17 Oct22 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
LAST NATIVE CAT Jan21 May14 Apr22 Feb18   (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50    
FIGHTING SOLDIER Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00    
CUSTOM DANCER Dec14 Nov22 Nov12     (magnon jason)BACA L 123 10.00    
GLITTER STORM         (dison ma)STOKES A 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
CALL ME COLLECT Jun25 Jun04 May14     (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
CHELSEA'S GLORY Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 123 5.00    
 
DED-2   02/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T R'S FIRST Jan19 Jan07 Dec29 Dec15 Nov18 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
STOP SHOP N DROP Jan07 Dec15 Nov03 Oct05 Aug27 (castille rickey)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 6% 14.50    
DARING DARIAN Jan06         (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 10.00    
COUSIN VICKIE Jan20 Dec19 Nov18 Oct28 Sep19 (de beauvill)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
ASHLEY'S GIRL Jan14 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
MISS MIRACLE GIRL Jan07 Dec19 Nov18 Oct07 Aug17 (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
SCR  CAJUN ACES Jan19 Jan07 Nov18 Oct12 Sep11 (antwine michae)BACA L 120 3.50 7% 12.70    
GALAXY AFFAIR Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 5.00    
 
DED-3   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARDI GRAS ALARM Jan12 Dec10 Nov16     (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
TDZ WHAT A DEAL Jan04 Dec16       (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 8% 10.80    
CLEARANCE SALE         (dunn henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 15.00    
ZIPPITY ZOODA RED         (dussette alvi)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 8.00    
BYE BYE BIG BABY         (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING         (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
NIKLAUSIA Oct15 Aug20       (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
MAEMAEMAY         (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
AMELIA VEGAS         (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
10  BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA Jan12         (avant kelly)BARRERA J 115 5.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  GATSBY'S GIFT Dec10 Nov12       (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN PAT         (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00    
 
DED-4   02/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF TENSAS Dec29 Dec16 Nov23 Nov03 Oct14 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
ST MARIA Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Dec09 Nov26 (silva walter)BARRERA J 115 4.50    
KATIE'S C Jan06 Nov18 Oct27 Aug27 Aug13 (mojica a)BIRZER E 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
ABSOLUTELY MINDY Dec19 Dec07 Nov19 Aug25 Aug06 (charles jon)LEDET THEODRICK 120 12.00    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (johnson henry )COTTO L 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
MILA'S KAT Jan20 Jan04 Dec15 Oct29 Apr08 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
MOODY RAFAELA Jan06 Dec07 Nov16 Sep12 Aug27 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
 
DED-5   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAMP ROCK         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
LIL MISS SUNSHINE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
SERENGETI SIX Jan07 Dec19 Dec08     (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
MINT JULIUS Apr30         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 5.00 10% 8.90    
VALERIE LOUISE Aug26 Feb16       (zeno b)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
CIRCLEOFSOUL Jan11 Dec21       (zeno benjamin)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
PIECE OF ME Jan07 Dec10 Nov18     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50    
CHERRY STAR Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 Oct27   (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
DED-6   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OXBOW WIND Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Jun04 Apr29 (del er)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00    
WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Dec08 Oct28 Aug11 Jun30 Apr30 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 112 4.50    
MY LITTLE JUNIOR Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 Oct08 Aug11 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
BIG ROJO Jan21 Dec16 Nov05 Sep27 Sep06 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 11% 8.10    
MR LIBERTY Jan05 Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 2.00    
DURITZ Oct28 Oct14 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 3.50 57% 0.80    
CARRIES MAN Oct08 Jul30 Jul13 Apr21   (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 5% 18.10    
 
DED-7   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R T'S WILDCAT Dec21 Dec02 Oct07 Aug12 Feb26 (sam thomas )RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SON CARLOS Jan12 Aug09 Jul12 Jun04 May09 (dunn ray)STOKES J 114 8.00    
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jan14         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 4.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  SCATAMARAN Dec14 Nov05 Sep10 Sep01 Aug18 (richard chris)BIRZER E 111 3.50    
ALEXIS S Dec16 Nov27 Oct30 Sep18 Aug17 (escobar alison)COTTO L 117 2.00 35% 1.90    
MIRACLE WARRIOR Jan07         (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 30% 2.30    
TAPIT TO THE LINE Jan12 Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 Jun17 (brown i)STOKES A 117 15.00    
SCR  MEANT FOR ME Jan12 May29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan13 (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
 
DED-8   02/02/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHAOS Jan21 Dec18 Nov25 Oct27 Oct12 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 112 4.00    
AFTERNOON ANEJO Oct01 Sep09 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 (alberto antoni)BACA L 117 6.00    
FROSTED DIAMOND Jan14 Nov23 Sep16 Jul03 Jun10 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
GRAND JURY Jan12 Nov18 Oct16 Sep22 Aug30 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
HYPERBOLIST Jan07 Dec23 Dec02 Nov04 Aug04 (noel dane)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
POPEYES HEART Dec22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 117 8.00    
THEO D'OR Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Aug29 Aug09 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00    
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Jan19 Dec02 Nov18 Apr02 Feb23 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 9% 10.00    
 
DED-9   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE SAINT Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 May16 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Jan14 Dec28 Dec17 Nov18 Oct05 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 5.00 14% 6.20    
I'LL RAISE YOU Jan18 Dec19 Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
BETTER WATCH OUT Jan07 Nov18 Oct28 Sep18   (singh )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
STELLA'S SURPRISE Dec17 Dec03 Jun23 May28   (richard russell )FUSILIER C 115 12.00 7% 13.20    
I'M LOOKING UP Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov22 Nov12 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
B B MOODY Jan13 Dec21 Nov17 Feb24 Jan29 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
HONORARIAN Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 Apr29 Apr08 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00    
BUNKIE'S SONG Jan04 Dec10 Oct29 Aug18 Jul07 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 6.00    
10  WONDER RUN Jan04 Nov22 Oct26 Oct14 Jul24 (turner patti)BACA L 117 4.00 12% 7.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.