Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/3/1)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/1)-(4/3/6)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/2/5)-(4/3/6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/4/1)-(4/6/2/3/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5/6)-(2/4/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(4/6/2/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (4/6/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/7/5)-(1/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/3/5)-(4/6/7/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(1/4/2)-(7/2/9/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5/6)-(1/4/2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/2/9/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/2/9/1/4)-(6/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/2/9/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/1/4)-(7/2/9/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/1/4)-(7/2/9/1/4)-(7/2/9/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/9/1/4)-(6/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9/1/4)-(6/3/1)-(5/9/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/1)-(5/9/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/1)-(5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN SUNDAY Jan04         (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
2  DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Jan16 Dec16 Nov27 Oct22 Oct05 (morrel)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 ★    
3  DARK MATTER Jan18 Jan07 Dec22 Dec10 Oct22 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  MULETRAIN Jan18 Jan07 Dec28 Dec15 Oct26 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  K V TARGET Jan20 Jan07 Dec28 Dec14 Dec01 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 3.00 18% 4.40    
6  SABERMAN Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov10 Oct12 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
7  LOVE OURS Jan13 Jan05 Nov12     (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 118 4.00    
 
DED-2   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTED Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27 (mojica a)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
2  DA DUE RUN RUN Jan13 Dec16 Jul29 Jul07 May28 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 117 3.00 ★    
3  DIANNA'S JET Dec30 Dec14 Nov23 Oct15 Sep26 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  KATIE'S KARAT Jan07 Nov23 Jul10 Jun26 May21 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.60 54% 0.90    
5  GIRL THIRSTY Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct13 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 114 8.00 ★    
6  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Jan13 Dec14 Nov23 Nov12 Oct13 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 7% 12.60    
 
DED-3   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON N STEEL Jan05 Dec07 Nov12 Oct26 Sep03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by IRON FIST out of OH WISE ONE by DUNKIRK)
2  PITCH AND RUN Jan13 Oct20 Sep18 Sep03 Aug01 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
3  BOSS MAN ZONG Jan13 Dec27 Dec07     (dison m)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00    
  (by ZONG out of OFFICE GOSSIP by STORMIN FEVER)
4  CALCULATED Jan12         (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by KLIMT out of DOS LUNAS by HENNESSY)
5  CASH HOLIDAY Jan05 Nov18 Oct28 Aug18   (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 5.00 ★    
  (by KOH I NOOR out of ALL MY CASH by HONOUR AND GLORY)
6  GRAY DANE Jan08 Dec15 Nov17 Oct28 Aug24 (bernard john)VARGAS P 123 10.00 ★    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
 
DED-4   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL HOT TODDY Dec27 Jun12 May15 Feb03   (lara jorge)BARRERA J 109 6.00    
2  SUE HAPPY Jan04 Dec21 Nov25 Oct13 Aug26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 12% 7.50    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Jan04 Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 Aug11 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 7% 14.30    
4  REBECCA G Jan14 Dec20 Nov19 Nov03 Oct15 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  CUSTOM MAIDEN Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Sep10 Aug18 (washington richa)STOKES A 114 10.00    
6  BEAUX TOX Jan12 Nov19 Oct28 May31 May15 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 114 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  CLOCKED IN TYME Jan12 Oct21 Aug11 Jul09 Apr23 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Mar27 Jan29 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00    
SCR  G VICTORY Nov30 Nov04 Sep28 Jul21 Jul04 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 112 8.00    
3  CUCINA Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Sep16 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00 ★    
4  RUMOHR REIGNS Dec21 Oct08 Aug27 Jan27 Jan08 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 34% 2.00    
5  WISE VERDICT Dec30 Dec10 Nov17 Nov03 Oct13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00 5% 17.50    
6  EXTIRPATOR Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 Oct13 Sep04 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 21% 3.80    
7  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jan12 Aug21 Jul12 May24 May15 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 114 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
DED-6   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY TO MISS Jan11 Dec27 Oct21 Aug19 Jul13 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  GUITARZAN Dec28 Dec07 Nov25 Nov03 Jul23 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 117 5.00 7% 13.30    
3  LIAM SKYE Jan06 Dec15 Nov03 Oct05 Aug20 (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 114 8.00    
4  DARREN'S FORTUNE Dec16 Nov03 Oct19 Oct05 Aug24 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  TEMPRANO Jan19 Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 Oct19 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 2.50 ★    
6  JUSTA SWINGING Dec28 Dec10 Nov23 Nov10 Oct26 (turner patti)BACA L 114 8.00 ★    
 
DED-7   01/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEE GEE Nov19 Nov05 Oct06 Aug19 Jul01 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  BECCA'S BOUQUET Dec19 Dec03 Oct29 Aug05 Jul02 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  GRACESSPECIALTOUCH Dec28 Dec07 Oct12 Jul22 Jul02 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 117 12.00    
4  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Sep27 Sep11 Jul30 Jun13 May17 (vincent jarv)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENVOYS LEGACY Dec27 Dec02 Nov11 Oct06 Jul15 (toups brent)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 8.00    
6  STARBUCK LUCK Dec30 Oct27 Jul29 May06 Apr20 (segura kearney)STOKES J 114 10.00    
7  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Dec30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 Jul22 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  TIDDLY Dec30 Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep20 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
9  PUZZLING PRIORITY Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 Sep18 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 114 4.50 13% 6.70    
 
DED-8   01/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LAURA Dec14 Nov12 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 (guillory j)BIRZER E 117 5.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  XCARET Jan13 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Sep26 (guillory he)MORALES ROBERTO 117 5.00    
2  SIMPLE PLEASURE Nov15 Sep19 Aug21 Jul30 Jun23 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 ★    
3  FOUR PRINCESSES Nov23 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  JACKIES IRISHDREAM Dec29 Dec14 Nov12 Oct28 Aug14 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00    
SCR  HIGHTAILING Sep20 Aug22 Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00 ★    
6  ANOTHER HOT MESS Jan14 Nov12 Oct07 Sep14 Jul06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
DED-9   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEMYVALENTINE Dec19 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Aug27 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
2  SHOTGUN ANNIE Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Sep27 (west henry)BOURQUE J 123 10.00    
3  SOUVENIR CHANNEL Dec09 Nov25 Aug10 Jul27 Jul16 (dison ma)STOKES A 123 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY DEAL Dec29 Dec19 Nov11 Oct19 Aug30 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  CAT HAIR FLYING         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  BISTINEAU BELLE Aug25 Jul23 Jul14 Jun29   (romero gerald )BACA L 123 15.00    
7  TENPINS TEMPEST Jan14 Jan05 Nov09 Oct20 Aug27 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 4.50 ★    
8  PRIME CHOICE Jan05 Oct20 Sep11     (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
9  SABERFIGHT Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 Aug27 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.