Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREAMING TAP Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun18 Apr16 (serpe m)LEON SONNY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR. CELLULAR Dec01 Apr09 Feb25 Jan14   (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 121 8.00    
MEDIA SENSATION Nov06 Oct09 Sep02 Jul29 Jul10 (o'connell k)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
NOTHNGOODCOMSEASY Oct28 Sep25 Jul24 Jun24 May01 (nicks e)SUTHERLAND C 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
WHEATSHEAF Nov18 Oct15 Sep16 Jun24   (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 121 15.00    
SCR  FUNDING GAP (IRE) Oct15 Sep02 Jul24     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
MISTER SUPPA LOUIE Oct01 Jul16 Jun18     (arias d)RIOS M 121 30.00    
DUNKLE Nov25 Oct28 Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 (campitelli f)TORRES A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNIVERSE BOSS         (williams mat)MORELOS E 124 20.00    
10  ROCK SOLID WORDS Nov27 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Apr30 (collazo )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 20.00 6% 15.20    
11  GREG'S HONOR Oct09 Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May20 (hennig mark)PANICI LUCA 121 3.50    
12  STORMY VICTORY Nov20 Oct14 Sep24     (crichton rohan)BEATO INOEL 121 20.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S MYTH Jul16 Jun19 Apr23     (dobber w)KRIGGER K 121 15.00    
SCR  CHEF MENTEUR Nov19 Oct30 Oct14 Sep09 Aug20 (mckanas j)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Dec03 Nov05 Oct22     (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 30.00    
SCR  FROSTY WARRIOR Jan22         (collazo henry)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
 
GP-2   12/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUDDING Oct02 Sep09 Aug13 Jul02 Jun09 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 122 1.60 14% 6.10    
THE DISTRACTOR Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 Aug20 Jun17 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  GINS AND TINS Oct26 Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Aug08 (davis scoote)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 15.00    
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT Sep28 Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 Jul10 (abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
I'M A G SIX Nov27 Oct30 Aug28 Jul31 Jun25 (maragh a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
ABSOLUTE GRIT Nov13 Aug13 Jul02 Jun09 May20 (crichton roh)TORRES A 115 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
GP-3   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS CONNECTED Oct21 Sep22 Jan14     (weaver georg)ZAYAS J 121 3.00 10% 8.90    
PRETTY PERSUASIVE Oct15         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
MISS HOLLY Nov26 Aug05       (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 20.00    
KAREN'S REVENGE Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep03 Aug21 (kelly bla)CAMACHO JR 124 12.00    
SCR  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Nov13 Oct14 Aug24     (kelly blake)BRIDGMOHAN X 121 20.00    
GIRLY THE BUTCHER Oct14 Sep17 Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 (miller herbe)TORRES A 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
QUEEN OF MINE Nov02 Oct07 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 (cibelli jane)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
OAXACA Nov19 Nov05 Jul11 Jun29 Jun10 (quartarolo anthon)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
 
GP-4   12/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR ROCKET Oct30 Sep30 Aug03 May28 May03 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
EL BAILADOR Nov12 Oct02 Aug31 Jun18   (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
BLUEY Oct09         (perez lui)LEON SONNY 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
PEINADITO         (laurato mich)TORRES A 122 20.00    
NAVAL OFFICER Nov12 Sep24 Sep09 Aug18 Jul13 (dobles elizabeth )SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
FIGHT Oct30 Oct15 Sep16     (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 20.00    
TOYI Jan30         (hernandez sa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 20.00    
STRAIGHT TIME Oct20 Sep11 Aug17 Jul27 Jun25 (trombetta mi)ZAYAS J 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
GP-5   12/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA COSTA Nov19 Oct15 Aug08 Jul01 Jun10 (russo j)REYES LEONEL 119 6.00    
BEAUTIFUL STAR Nov04 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (hernandez jose)SUTHERLAND C 119 20.00    
SCR  MORNING COLORS Nov25 Apr21 Mar25 Feb24 Jan22 (crichton rohan)RIOS M 123 8.00 18% 4.60    
VANDALIA Nov19 Oct07 Sep04 Aug14 Jul23 (orseno jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
PACIFIC PRINCESS Nov19 Jul01 May07     (laurin roger)TORRES A 112 8.00    
UNA LUNA Jul12 Jun12 May08 Jan28   (gallegos jos)ZAYAS J 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MIA AT MIDNIGHT Oct13 Aug24 Jun11 May15 Mar02 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
KATIESDREAMGIRL Oct23 Oct15 Sep24 Jul31 Jun02 (tharrenos wi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 12.00    
SCR  ISADORABLE AIDA Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul10 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 121 30.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  FORBIDDEN DREAM Apr16 Mar18 Feb09 Jan14   (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 121 20.00    
11  GREY CHARLOTTE Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 Aug19 (campos b)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
12  RADIANT GEM Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun10 May15 (klesaris st)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
SCR  AZIZA Oct12 Sep23 Aug06 Jun11 Jun04 (hemingway mich)SUTHERLAND C 121 2.50    
SCR  ARETE'S CHALICE Oct23 Sep25 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 (collazo henry)PANICI LUCA 118 15.00    
 
GP-6   12/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST SURVIVOR Nov13 Oct09 Sep11 Aug12 Jul03 (dobles eliza)ZAYAS J 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
LUCAGO Nov11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 (gonzalez cla)MORELOS E 122 4.50    
NEVER SATISFIED Oct21 Oct09 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 (brooks g)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00    
UNIFIED CONQUEST Nov13 Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 Jul10 (garoffalo)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
CRACK SHOT Oct30 Aug07 Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 (russo j)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00    
TETRAGRAMMATON Nov25 Sep18 Aug29 Jul30 Jul19 (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
BARONE CESCO Nov18 Oct07 Sep25 Aug26 Jun25 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
 
GP-7   12/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCIDENTAL ICON Nov04         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
ALPHA BELLA Oct30 Oct02 Aug28     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
PEDIGEEK         (casse mark)MORELOS E 118 12.00    
SRI LANKA         (walsh brendan )REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
MYSTIFY (GB) Oct14 Aug20       (davis christ)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 15.00    
SEVEN P'S Nov11         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 20.00    
AL TIRAH         (cordero-lopez al)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
SCR  MUTOLA         (rodriquez)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
WORST BEHAVIOUR Nov12 Oct15       (attfield roger)PRADO S 118 12.00    
10  SOLICITATION         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  SEEKING STARDOM Oct28 Oct07       (fawkes david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
12  STRAND OF GOLD Sep03 Aug07       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
13  WELL INTO         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
GP-8   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENS STREET Feb12         (crichton roh)TORRES A 115 8.00    
BATTLE CRY Oct07 Sep17 Jul21 Jul01 Apr23 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
MURUMBI Oct26 Oct06 Aug07 Jul09 May22 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
LET'S BE HONEST Dec02 Nov04 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 (torres enrique)RIOS M 122 12.00    
SHES ALL WOMAN Nov12 Oct09 Aug12 Jul15 May19 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 1.40 42% 1.40    
OUR FANTASY Nov04 Oct09 Sep23 Aug27 Jul31 (barboza vi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
IT'S SO EASY Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 Jun27 Jan10 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 6.00    
RAIN Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 Sep23 Jul09 (garcia r)REYES LEONEL 122 12.00    
 
GP-9   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER Mar05 Feb10 Jan21     (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
MAGICAL WARRIOR Oct15 Sep18 Sep06 Mar13 Feb27 (bennett gera)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF IRON Oct15 Feb06 Jan12     (fawkes david)ZAYAS J 118 5.00    
ASSERTIKO Nov27 Oct01 Aug12 Jul10 Jun19 (spatz b)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
GANGLY Aug20 Jun17 Apr16 Apr03 Feb26 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP RENEGADE Nov18 Oct15       (dwoskin steven)REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
HANDSOME PRINCE Nov13 Oct22 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 (young jennif)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
AVANT GLORY Nov26 Oct15 Sep18 Jul15   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
SUNSET PROVISION Aug05 Jun26 May01 Apr14 Mar09 (servis tyle)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-10   12/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. ASTOR Oct16         (thomas jonathan)JARAMILLO E 118 8.00    
CUMBERLAND FALLS Nov11         (sweezey ke)ZAYAS J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MORE THAN A DIVA Oct22 Sep01       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SHEZ SPEIGHTFUL Nov18         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE PAYROLL Oct22         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
MORAL TURPITUDE Oct16         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 30.00    
DARLING LUNA Oct21         (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
PENUMBRAS MAKER Nov26 Sep16 Aug28 Jul29   (gutierrez faus)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
ERNA Oct22         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
10  POSHLY Oct28         (sano antonio)PRADO S 118 30.00    
11  MILIEU Oct22 Sep18 Jul31     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
12  LETTER OF GOLD Oct22 Sep14 Aug21     (weaver ge)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.