Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE MISSION Aug16 Jul20 Jul06 Jun09 May24 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  RACE DRIVER Aug26 Jul23 Jun18 Feb12   (hernande)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  DEL GRIFFITH Aug24 Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 May17 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
4  SUMMERFEST Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jul20 Jul06 (antus la)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR Aug23 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar25 (hoffman mark)SPIETH S 122 2.50 ★    
7  GINS AND TINS Aug16 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 7% 13.40    
 
PID-2   09/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S KINGDOM Aug13 Jun25 May21 Apr23 Mar03 (de cerda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 ★    
2  CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun11 May27 (connelly teres)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 10% 8.80    
3  BATTLE CHARGE Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 May31 Feb05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 113 6.00    
4  NO MO LADY Jul18 Jun19 May21 Apr30   (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00    
5  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Aug15 Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 May17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  DAKOTA DANCER Sep05 Aug24 Aug15 Jul12 Jan15 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00    
7  LOVELY EVER AFTER Sep05 Jul28 Jul07 Jun13 May25 (girten tim)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
8  VILLAGE QUEEN Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 (potts g)SPIETH S 118 10.00 7% 13.10    
9  DANA'S BEAUTY Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May17 Apr09 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
10  I RECALL Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 Jun09   (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  BABY NO WORRIES Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May30   (girten tim)LOVEBERRY JARETH 113 15.00    
 
PID-3   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TICK ALERT         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 10.00    
SCR  VIDEO STAR Sep05         (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.00 ★    
3  JILL JITTERBUG         (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
4  FAST MULE Sep05 Aug16       (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 5.00 ★    
5  OLDFIELDS         (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 7% 13.00    
6  MEGAN MAKIN MONEY Aug16 Jul26       (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  FREE SHOT Aug27         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
8  HEAVENLY HASH         (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00    
9  SAL'S BLUE JACKET         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
 
PID-4   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMMER LANE Aug23 Jul11 Jun17 May20 Apr22 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 116 10.00    
SCR  MANNY WAH Sep17 Aug02 Jul02 May28 May04 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 ★    
3  QUARTERMASTER Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun29 Jun13 (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 20.00    
4  DIAMOND DUST Aug31 Jul19 Jun21 Jun03 May03 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
5  ENJOY THE MUSIC Aug29 Aug01 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 8.00 ★    
6  NICE ACE Aug22 Aug03 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 66% 0.50    
7  NEWSTOME Aug19 Jul26 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 15.00 ★    
8  PETIT VERDOT Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jun15 Apr27 (van thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  GIVEMETWENTY Sep02 Jul28 Jun27 May24 Apr02 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 30.00    
10  BAHAMIAN PARK Sep12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 118 50.00    
SCR  CHANNEL FURY Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun11 May25 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
12  CASH DIVIDEND Aug14 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May01 (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 118 6.00    
 
PID-5   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jul04 Jun22 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  THE SINNER IS YOU Aug31 Jul21 Jul05 Jun29 Jun16 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  BEAT THE DEALER Sep05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 Mar22 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
5  EMICRACK (CHI) Aug14 Jul24 Jun17 May14 May07 (mcclachr)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 ★    
6  DON'T POKE THE CAT Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 Jul21 Jul17 (gomez alejan)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
7  FUEL THE BERN Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  UNION BROTHER Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 Jun29 Jun06 (reed r)AYALA J 122 10.00 9% 9.90    
 
PID-6   09/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVO SOL (BRZ) Jul16 Jun10 May21 Apr02 Jan05 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 117 30.00    
2  HARLAN ESTATE Aug21 Jul23 Jun12 May22   (attard k)GALLARDO A 117 4.50 ★    
3  CARPENTERS CALL Aug22 Jul23 Jun29 May28 Apr02 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  SURLY FURIOUS Aug22 Jul23 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 117 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  DECLARED Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FARAWAY KITTEN Aug21 Jul03 May28 May08   (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 117 12.00    
7  TITLE READY Aug06 Jul02 May06 Apr02 Jan29 (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 117 2.50    
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS Jul11 Jun25 May28     (hernandez arm)MORALES PABLO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  HE'SPUREGOLD Aug28 Jul23 Jul10 May29   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 12.00    
 
PID-7   09/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Aug30 Aug10 Jul25 Jun22 May12 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
2  SUN DADDY Aug01 Jul12 Jun29 Jun13 May18 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 18.80    
3  VALENTINE BUG Sep08 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
4  TAPSOLUTION Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 10% 9.40    
5  JO JO HANS Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 (brooks e)SPIETH S 117 6.00    
6  HE'S A MESS Sep07 Jul12 Jun22 May30 May16 (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00    
7  VISKI JONES Sep07 Aug09 Jul26 Jun06   (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
8  STRIKE THE TOP Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jun15 May30 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
9  BEACH HOLIDAY Aug30 Jul12 Jun02 May26 Apr14 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 117 20.00    
10  CUZ Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (guciardo john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNASTY OF HER OWN Aug15 Jul24 Jun04 Apr30 Mar13 (beattie todd)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 15.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of LADY DYNASTY by RICHTER SCALE)
2  ALLWORTHY Aug26 Jul02 May14 Mar09 Jan15 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TRAFFIC BLIMP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  CHANGE OF CONTROL Aug20 Jul18 Jun11 May05 Apr16 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of AMERICA'S BLOSSOM by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Aug29 Aug08 Apr09 Apr02 Feb23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 113 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of W W OLD SCHOOL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
5  ARTIE'S PRINCESS Jul24 Jun26 May08     (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of STORMKEEPER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  CARAVEL Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 May06 Mar19 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
7  LINGUISTIC Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 May30 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 113 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
8  MAGGIE'S BID Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 May31 Apr07 (beattie todd)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LAKE HURON by SALT LAKE)
9  JEANIE B (GB) Aug01 Jul18 Jun04 Apr16 Mar10 (stidham )GALLARDO A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATED BREATH (GB) out of EFFIE B by SIXTIES ICON (GB))
10  BOO BOO KITTY Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun30 May30 (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of SEDUCTIVE LADY by LANGFUHR)
11  CAFE SOCIETY Sep05 Aug08 May08 Apr14 Mar09 (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 117 12.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of FULL TAP by TAPIT)
 
PID-9   09/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG Sep05 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (rogers michael)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
2  LEGIO Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 (skawinski ca)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
3  ZEALIN IT Aug31 Aug14 Jun16     (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 ★    
4  RED DUBONNET Aug24 Jul26 Jul07 Jun08   (weaver c)GALLARDO A 122 20.00    
SCR  GOODTIME ARTIE Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMERICAN CHAOS Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 May28 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 70% 0.40    
7  GOLDEN OAK Sep08 Aug24 Jul26 Jul19 Jul12 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 8.00    
8  GENERALONAMISSION Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jul05 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 15.00 ★    
9  FAST AXTON Aug30 Aug02 Jul04     (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 15.00    
10  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Sep08 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul07 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY LOUD Sep05 Aug21 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00    
12  JOYFUL CANDY Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 May26 May03 (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  MY BOY BLUE Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun11   (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00    
14  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 Jun07 (rotunno sydne)VALDES ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.