Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/10/2022 10890ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE PROFIT Jul27 Jun26       (dowling will)WATTERS GRAHAM 150 4.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) Jul26 Jul11       (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 156 4.00 ★    
2  HURTGEN FOREST Jul18 May14 Apr30     (kingsley arch)BARGARY JAMIE 150 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  GREY GIANT Jul27 Jul09       (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 145 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) Jul27 Apr30       (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 3.50 ★    
5  BALTIMORE KID (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 2.50 20% 3.90    
6  STATE OF AFFAIR Jul27         (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 152 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF FENTON Jun19 Apr29 Apr09 Feb12 Jan22 (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  KOBE'S LEGACY Jul20 May19 Apr21 Jan27   (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  OFFUTT COLE Jul15 Jun18 May13 Apr27 Apr02 (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 2.50 ★    
4  READYSEEKGO Jul16 May27 May01 Mar24 Feb20 (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 ★    
5  DRINK THE WIND Jul21 Jul03 Jun12     (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.00 60% 0.70    
6  PAPI ON ICE Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Jun02 Apr16 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
7  SHARPOON Jul04 May29 May05 Mar20   (fisher linda)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
 
SAR-3   08/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SOLDIER Jul26         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 119 30.00    
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R Jul08 Jun24 Jun03     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
3  GENERAL BANKER Jul27         (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  CONMAN Jul17         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6% 14.40    
5  SORPRESO Jul17         (rohena j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
6  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA         (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★    
7  BOSS JIM         (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
8  KING OF COMEDY         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
9  MAKAR Jul08         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE         (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  NOBILIS         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
SCR  ARCTIC ARROGANCE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  MAX FOSTER         (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK DADDY Jul23 Jun19 Jun10 May22 Apr29 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 126 5.00    
2  HIGHER STANDARD Jun26 Apr02 Mar09 Feb05   (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  MEXICAN WONDER BOY Jun19 Jun03 May22 May06 Apr21 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 ★    
4  PRIME FACTOR May15 Mar05 Jan23     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  SIBELIUS Jul16 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Feb27 (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 ★    
6  KINETIC SKY         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Jun25 Jun18 May02 Apr25   (heinen h)CANCEL ERIC 125 20.00    
2  PARQUETRY Jul16 Jun18 May05 Feb12 Jan02 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
3  MOON MISCHIEF Jul18 Jun08 May13     (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BE THE BOSS Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 May13 Jan31 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 ★    
5  TONAL IMPACT Jul15 May29 Apr15 Mar11 Feb13 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
6  WRITEITONTHEICE Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 Feb24 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
7  SUPER WICKED CHARM Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 May28 May20 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 123 20.00    
8  B C GLORY DAYS Jul16 Jul09 May21 Apr22 Feb27 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
9  INFLATION ADJUSTED Jul02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  SKYLANDER Jul22 May05 Apr16 Feb25 Jan15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
11  I FOUND IT Jul13 Jun13 May24 May02 Apr04 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 118 20.00    
12  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jul15 Jun09 May12 Mar31 Feb13 (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  PERFECT SILENT CAT Jun20 May18 Apr09 Mar12 Jan05 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-6   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE MY CANDY         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 5% 17.70    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50    
2  PEBBLE LANE         (schosberg richa)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
3  SPINNING COLORS         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
4  HERE WE GO AGAIN         (o'connor ma)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
5  BLANCHIMENT         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
6  JOEY THE FISH         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
7  SECURITY CODE         (serpe phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★    
8  MAPLE LEAF MEL         (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  BOOK AND CANCEL         (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 ★    
10  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jul20 Jul04       (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
SCR  IM JUST KIDDIN Jul15         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  LA CHANCE Aug08 Jul15 Jun14     (rohena j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOCALIZE Jun25 May22 Apr23 Feb26 Jan07 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARGER Jul29 Jul01 Apr07 Mar20 Feb13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN Jul14 May19 Feb23     (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  COUSIN ANDREW Jul28 Jun25 May27 May19   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
4  FORE HARP Jul23 Jun15 Mar08 Jan17   (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
5  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Jul14 Jun18 May22 Apr10 Mar05 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
6  KING MOONRACER Jul14 Jun17       (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00    
7  UNCLE REMI Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 Jun04 May16 (smith lawren)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
8  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Jul01         (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
9  MONTATHAM Jul23 Jun17 Jun05     (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
10  STAINLESS STEEL May28 May06 Apr09 Mar17 Feb12 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
SCR  PROPENSITY Jul14 Jun17 Jun05 Apr24 Mar24 (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISOLATE Jun11 Apr16 Feb03     (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  AWESOME GERRY Jul04 May28 Apr16 Mar05   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jun10 Apr30 Feb05 Jan09   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
4  REPO ROCKS Jul02 Jun14 May14 Apr28 Mar26 (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 ★    
5  MR PHIL Jun10 May22 Apr21 Mar27 Feb27 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALBIE Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 Feb13 Jan13 (ferraro a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAJOR SPIN Jul08 May30 May06 Mar31   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
3  WAR TERMINATOR         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
4  GOLQUIST Jul08 Jun18 May21 Apr08   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 7% 14.20    
5  FRANK'S ART Jul09         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
6  BATTLE SCARS         (atras ro)SANTANA JR 125 8.00    
7  MR. KRINGLE Jul16 Jun18 May13 Feb27 Feb05 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 8% 11.20    
8  FRONT LINE DANCER Jul16 Jun24 May30     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
9  BREADMAN Jun24 May28 May01 Feb24 Feb05 (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 125 10.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 Feb11 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 20.00    
11  TIMBUKTU Jun24 Apr30       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  BLITZ TO WIN         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 19% 4.10    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK Jul08         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Jul28 Jul04 May05 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00    
 
SAR-10   08/10/2022 6270ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE YEAR Jul14 May30 May05 Apr10 Feb25 (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
2  TIZ A GIANT Jul14 Jun28 May17 Mar12 Feb20 (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★    
3  REMOTE Jul14 Jun18 May20 Apr10 Feb05 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  EVAN HARLAN Jul13 May21 Apr10     (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  CLUBBING Jul22 Jun03       (mcgaughey c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
6  FLUTE MASTER Jun26         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
7  RUNNING BEE Jul02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  MOST WANTED MAN Jun24 Feb11       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
9  CLOUD FOREST Jul08 May15       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.