Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Wednesday - November 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4)-(2/3/6)-(7/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(7/4/5)-(6/7/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/1)-(1/5/10/13/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-5   WIN (8/6/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/4/1)-(8/6/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/4/1)-(8/6/9/4/1)-(8/6/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/9/4/1)-(1/5/10/13/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/4/1)-(1/5/10/13/11)-(6/8/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/10/13/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/13/11)-(1/5/10/13/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/13/11)-(1/5/10/13/11)-(1/5/10/13/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/10/13/11)-(6/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/13/11)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/10/4/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/1)-(6/10/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/1)-(6/10/4/2/5)-(4/2/5/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (6/10/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/2/5)-(6/10/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/2/5)-(6/10/4/2/5)-(6/10/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/4/2/5)-(4/2/5/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/2/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/10/9)-(4/2/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/10/9)-(4/2/5/10/9)-(4/2/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD KELLY Oct03 Aug14 Jul12 Jun15 May02 (lawrence ja)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  HIGH NOTE Aug30 Jun20 May15 Apr06 Feb22 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ENCHANTED ROCK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HARMONIQUE Oct03 Aug24 Jul27 Jun27 May18 (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
  (by HARMONY CREEK out of FLO JO P. by RAJA'S GOLD SUN)
4  RAGHBA Aug14 Jul10 Jun05 May02 Mar02 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
5  TRANGO TOWER Aug30 Jul05 Aug11     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LEWIS BAY by BERNARDINI)
6  SHE'S A GEMMA Feb08         (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of FLORIDA FABULOUS by HIGH COTTON)
7  METFARDEH Oct03 Aug02       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DELIGHTFUL JOY by TAPIT)
 
AQU-2   11/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Oct16 Sep18 Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
2  KYLE'S MOM Aug31 Jun21 Apr17 Apr06   (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  BOURBON N LACE Oct15 Sep13 Mar29 Feb22 Oct31 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHA CHA WREN Oct16 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Nov24 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
5  FURRY FOX Oct16 Jan16 Nov21 Sep20   (bhigroog)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 ★    
6  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Oct16 Aug31 Jul31 Jul10 Jun12 (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TOXIC GIRL Oct16 Sep18 Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 120 5.00    
 
AQU-3   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY FIRST LOVE Oct23 Sep28 May01 Apr03 Mar16 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Aug17 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 Nov26 (jones eduardo )ALVARADO R 120 20.00    
3  PROUD FOOT Jul10 Jun07 May17 Apr25 Mar22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
4  DEFENDED Sep20 Aug24 Jul18 May30 May03 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  JACKIE THE JOKER Oct18 Sep27 Aug06 Jul13 Jun27 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAJESTIC RETURN Sep11 Jul10 Jun07 May09 Apr25 (kantarma)SANTANA JR 120 2.00    
7  EDISTRUDIS Aug29 May24 Mar29 Mar09 Dec27 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-4   11/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVENTURIST Jul13 May18 Feb23 Jan26   (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00    
2  MAGNI Oct10 Sep13 Aug16 Jun29 May25 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  FEVER NIGHT Jul12 May26 May17 Apr19 Mar29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
4  GOTTA GUY Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 May25 Feb09 (padilla hugo )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
5  MCDIESEL Apr26 Mar16 Jan02 Nov16 Oct19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISSION HILL Oct22 Aug31 Jul27 Jun04 Jun30 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 30% 2.40    
7  SERGEANT CAPPS Oct19 Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
8  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Oct10 Sep01 Aug17 Jul03 Jun25 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-5   11/12/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT A LEE         (miceli michael)CIVACI SAHIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAMMY C NOTE Oct10 Sep26       (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
3  LODATO Aug31 Dec22       (d'angelo f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
4  PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE Oct10 Aug13 Jul17 Dec27 Dec08 (morley thom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNTIL LAST CALL Oct10         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
6  RHYTON         (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  OUT OF THE FOG Sep26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun28   (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
8  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS Sep26 Dec12 Nov15 Oct17 Jul18 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 62% 0.60    
9  FRIC AND FRAC Sep26         (levine b)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAKEYOURMOMENT Oct04 Sep01 Aug10 Jun27 May25 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
SCR  ORIE Oct10 Sep26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun28 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
SCR  STROBE LIGHT Oct10 Jun21 May26     (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  ALZERO Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 Mar29 Feb21 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
SCR  CARC BROTHERS         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  PRETRIAL STATEMENT Oct26 Sep01 Aug10 Jun14 Sep22 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  ISOLA D'ORO         (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
 
AQU-6   11/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE NUMBERS Oct22 Aug27       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  DOPPIO ESPRESSO Oct22 Aug27       (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 10.00    
3  AVERY'S WONDERLAND Oct22 Sep25 Aug16     (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
4  ONE BAD HABIT Oct11 Sep21       (keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
5  RIVER EMPRESS Oct04 Sep14 Aug21     (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  KAREY Oct04 Sep14 Aug10     (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
7  SMILING ROSIE Oct04 Sep14 Aug21     (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 30.00    
8  NOISETOMAKENOISE Sep28 Aug22       (green j)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
SCR  MISS MAGICAL Jul04 Jun08       (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
10  SALT PRINCESS Oct04 Sep14 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
11  MARIPOSA MOON Sep21         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  ANGELIC QUALITY         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
13  LENDALFOOT Oct12 Sep11       (brion keri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-7   11/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFUAH Oct11 Sep19 Aug07 Jul13 Jun25 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHARED SUCCESS Oct11 Aug16 Jul11 Apr19 Mar08 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
SCR  PINEAPPLE MAN Aug13 Jul11 May23 Apr11 Feb21 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct24 Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 Apr06 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
5  CUT THE CORD Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 Jun20 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.60    
6  AGGREGATION Oct11 Sep12 Aug16 May19 Mar30 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  LEFTEMBEHIND Oct09 Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 May11 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 121 8.00    
8  SHADOW DRAGON Sep27 Jul31 Jul04 Mar22 Feb22 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK Oct11 Aug02 Mar01 Jan26 Dec15 (winne)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 50.00    
 
AQU-8   11/12/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 (brown r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
2  MUSICAL MAESTRO Oct09 Sep19 Jun12 May02 Apr09 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRRELEVANT Oct05 Aug27 Jul16     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
4  WILL NOT BE SWAYED Oct24 Aug15 Jul06 May08 Mar20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 117 8.00 12% 7.70    
5  CITY OF OSCARS Jul26 Jun21 Feb06 Jan11 Dec06 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LET IT RIDE Oct18 Oct09 Apr30 Apr09 Jul26 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
7  MARCUS GIFT Oct17 Sep18 Aug02 Jun08 May03 (devaux adr)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
8  TYPHOON FURY Oct09 Sep11 Aug17 Jun27 May02 (charlerie g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
9  KORRONGO Oct17 Sep19 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
10  DEVIL IN DISGUISE Oct18 Oct09 Sep11 Jul10 Apr17 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  BIG Z OG Oct26 Aug23 Jul18 May26 Apr19 (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
SCR  STORM THE STREETS Oct22 Sep20 Jul12 Jun01 Apr13 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  SOCIAL HOUR Oct17 Oct05 Sep13 Aug15 Jul23 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
SCR  EXPLORATION Sep27 Aug16 Jul16 Jun15 May17 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
SCR  COMPLEX MUSIC Oct19 Sep12 Aug18 Jun27 May18 (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Oct22 May24 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 (diprima gregory)RIDER TBA 122 30.00    
 
AQU-9   11/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL SHOOTER Sep25 Aug03 Jul06     (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00    
2  GILBANE Oct11         (clement mi)RIVERA R 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  BRILLIANT FURY Oct11         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
4  MR BROWNS TOWN Sep25 Aug20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 49% 1.00    
5  FAZZONE Oct16         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 5% 18.70    
6  EXHIBITION ONLY Sep28 Aug29 Jul26     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
7  MAGNUM'S MACROBRST Sep25 Aug07       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
8  INTROUBLEAGAIN Oct04         (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 15.00    
SCR  NARNIA         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEXINGTON PIKE Sep25 Aug20       (pletcher)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 18.80    
11  RAFA JUNIOR Sep13         (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
12  GABORONE Oct02         (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 119 12.00    
SCR  GRUMBLYRUMHOGAN Oct23 Sep28       (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  MO SPICE Aug29         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  NEIGH BABY Oct09 Aug30 Aug08     (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.80    
SCR  CLASSIC COMMANDER Oct24         (sciacca gary)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.